Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 37-27vs Hawai'i | 22/34 | 310 | 1 | 0 | 9.1 | 79.7 | Season-high 310 yds |
| Wk 1 | L 6-45vs Miami | 21/41 | 214 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 | 73.1 | Season-high 310 yds |
| Total | 43/75 | 524 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 | 76.4 |
#8
Davis Warren
New school, new number, same question — and Davis Warren's early answer at Stanford is 524 team passing yards leader.
6′2″ · 195 lb · Manhattan Beach, CA · Peddie School
CFB Index 28 · #121 of 137 QBsHigh confidencePOTY finalist (model)Transferred Michigan → Stanford for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
On production he ranks #121 of 137 QBs; on reputation he is a projected national-award finalist. The gap between those two numbers is the story.
The numbers
524
passing yards · 2026
1 TD · 0 INT · 7 per attempt
2 games into 2026 so far -- Best game: 310 pass yds, 1 TD, 16 rush yds, vs Hawai'i
Swing playSwung Michigan from 19% to 49% to win.Michigan at Indiana · 20-15
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
4 quarterback for Stanford. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
- Transferred from Michigan to Stanford in 2026.
- Stanford names Davis Warren starting QB (Aug 20)
Buzz vs Tape
Country hotter than the fans
The wider college football conversation reads him warmer than his own fans do — a gap of 21.3 points in belief.
15.4own fans
36.7national conversation
Davis Warren looks so much better than I could've expected. God bless Larry Ellison for getting Bryce Underwood to go to Michigan (and definitely not for anything else)
Also worth knowing:
In Their Words
484 windows · 2026 fan posts
davis×111.0stanford×65.8michigan×10.3better×11.8warren×17.4looked×12.3bryce×6.9passing×7.3
“Imagine if Michigan had a QB like Davis Warren”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
Davis Warren
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-09-15
Davis Warren arrives at Stanford with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
524PASS YDS1PASS TD26RUSH YDS
TEAM PASSING YARDS LEADER
524
Team leader in passing yards (524).
Read the story so far
AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-09-15
His career
2026
- Entered the portal
- Entered the portal
- Entered the portal
Career arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Badges
- Program Benchmark
Coaching lineage · 2022–2026
3 coachesPlayed under 3 different head coaches: David Shaw, Troy Taylor, and Tavita Pritchard. Multi-era developmental context.
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Stanford
2025Michigan
2026Stanford
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
2022Michigan13-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy
2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2026Stanford1-1HC: Tavita Pritchard · Pass-leaning
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score percentiles
High confidence
Elite: interceptions (92nd percentile). Concern: pass yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (7)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Passing profile
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
75 of 75 attempts matched to play-by-play
74 of 75 attempts charted for true throw depth
Adjusted ANY/A
7.0944 of 75 QBsSack rate
1.3%8 of 75 QBsRarely sacked (8 of 75), but Adjusted ANY/A hasn't followed (44 of 75).
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Behind LOS · Negative air yds
7% of attempts (5)
60%comp
Air -4.2 · YAC 5.7 avg
Short · 0–9 air yds
50% of attempts (37)
65%comp
Air 4.5 · YAC 2.9 avg
Middle · 10–19 air yds
31% of attempts (23)
57%comp
Air 14.1 · YAC 5.1 avg
Deep · 20+ air yds
12% of attempts (9)
22%comp
Air 33.4 · YAC 1.0 avg
Overall 57.3% completion on 75 attempts · 22% completion on 9 deep attempts (20+ air yds).
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 262 YDS/g, 0.5 TD/g, 7.2 YPA, 0.0 INT/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tavita Pritchard
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
POTY finalist (model)
Our Heisman model has him in the top five; no finalist honor is on the books yet.
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career stats
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2026
W 37–27
vs Hawai'i
310 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · QBR 79.7 · 16 rush yds (5 car)
With A. Flintoft — 43 AVG · 2 IN 20 · 49 LONG · J. Hall — 2 rec · 81 yds
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 1 · Hawai'i · 3&9 · Q1 · EPA +4.43(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short middle to #11 J.Hall caught at STAN48, for 57 yards to the HAW13 (#2 K.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Miami · 3&6 · Q3 · EPA +2.54(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short middle to #88 B.Blackburn caught at STA45, for 13 yards to the STA47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Hawai'i · 2&7 · Q2 · EPA +2.53(09:42) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #89 A.Joseph caught at STAN38, for 22 yards to the STAN50, out of bounds at STAN50, 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Hawai'i · 2&11 · Q4 · EPA +2.48(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short middle to #11 J.Hall caught at STAN32, for 24 yards to the STAN42 (#5 J.Edmond), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Hawai'i · 2&5 · Q2 · EPA +2.45Atticus Joseph 6 Yd pass from Davis Warren (Emmet Kenney Kick)
- Week 1 · Hawai'i · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.32(11:52) #8 D.Warren pass complete deep middle to #2 Z.Robinson caught at HAW05, for 48 yards to the HAW04 (#13 E.Gipson), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Miami · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.09(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #0 C.High caught at MIA24, for 13 yards to the MIA24, out of bounds at MIA24, 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Miami · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +1.98(12:06) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete deep right to #2 Z.Robinson caught at STA46, for 22 yards to the STA47 (#9 C.Smith), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Miami · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +1.65(14:13) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short middle to #0 C.High caught at STA48, for 18 yards to the MIA48 (#9 C.Smith), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Hawai'i · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +1.60(07:10) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #89 A.Joseph caught at STAN38, for 17 yards to the STAN49 (#25 M.Thompson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Keeps the offense on schedule and doesn't lose the game.
CFB Index positional classification
DNA match
Player DNA
Game Manager
Consistent underneath passer who protects the lead. Rarely loses games; rarely wins them alone.
QB
His 2024 production profile sits closest to Taylor Powell’s 2021 season.
Matches Taylor on
TD rate
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Differs from Taylor on
Rush yards / carry (higher)
Weight (lower)
INT rate (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Tommy DeVito’s path through Illinois.
Matches Tommy on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Payton Thorne's junior season at Michigan State (2022).
Differs from Payton on
INT rate (higher)
Total pass EPA (college ability) (lower)
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Player DNA
Players who play like Davis Warren
Heisman trajectory
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peak #66
Peaked at #66 this season.
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology