Davis Warren

#8 · QB · 6th-year · Stanford6′2″ · 195 lb · Manhattan Beach, CA · Peddie School

ZPR4085th of 119 QBsLast gameL 24–52at Louisville · Oct 31
Nextat Virginia TechSat Nov 14 · time TBA

Graded Solid or better in each of the last two games.

Last game: L 24-52 at Louisville, Oct 31 · 23 of 37 for 270 yards, 3 touchdowns, an interception · 2 carries for -20 yards. Started all nine of Stanford’s games.

Stanford’s next game: at Virginia Tech, Sat Nov 14, 12:00 a.m. ET

Stanford is 4-5 in the nine games played. A pocket passer.

Strongest: an interception on 0.8% of throws, 20th lowest of 158 starters.

Passing yards

2,203

186 of 308, 60%

TD–INT

14–3

7.2 per throw

NCAA rating

133.5

81st of 119

ZPR

40

85th of 119

How ZPR works

Up and down: great in 1, shaky or worse in 4.

  • 0-2 against ranked teams, 179 passing yards a game.

Best by our grade: Georgia Tech. Lowest: at Wake Forest, with 1 interception and sacked 2 times. Biggest game: at Notre Dame, No. 3.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Season

Gets better after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Pocket passer

Why this word
Runs1.1 a gameRarelyA lot
Throws9.1 yards past the lineShortDeep
Completes60%FewerMore
Takes sacks4% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws at a middling depth and rarely runs. 1.1 carries a game. Closest matches: Mandal, Simmons, Heintschel, Coleman.

Where the throws go

Behind the line12%typical 17%
Short47%typical 47%
Middle29%typical 22%
Deep12%typical 14%

Runs 1.1 times a game; 94% of starters run more.

Closest in style

MandalSimmonsHeintschelColemanThis QB

Nearer the middle means more alike.

  • Mandal Fresno State · Balanced
    1,595 yards, 10 TD, 2 INT so far. Both protect the ball and rarely throw behind the line.
  • Simmons Missouri · Vertical passer
    1,935 yards, 16 TD, 2 INT so far. Both rarely run and rarely throw behind the line.
  • Heintschel Pittsburgh · Balanced
    1,304 yards, 14 TD, 1 INT so far. Both protect the ball and avoid sacks.
  • Coleman James Madison · Balanced
    1,743 yards, 16 TD, 4 INT so far. Both avoid sacks and rarely throw behind the line.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

  • RecordStanford is 4-5.
  • Fans after NC State

    300 yards and 4 TDs to Davis Warren in 2026 is wild work

    Stanford fan

What’s being said

10 stories in the last 30 days, from 6 outlets.

Oct 7: 1Oct 23: 1Oct 24: 7Oct 25: 1L 7-58 at Notre DameLW 34-7 vs ElonWW 31-28 vs NC StateWL 24-52 at LouisvilleLOct 6Nov 4Most in a day: 7
Oct 7: 1Oct 23: 1Oct 24: 7Oct 25: 1L 7-58 at Notre DameLW 34-7 vs ElonWW 31-28 vs NC StateWL 24-52 at LouisvilleLOct 6Nov 4Most in a day: 7
Stories per day. W and L: the team’s results.

All 44 stories this season

Worth knowing

  • Davis Warren spent four seasons at Michigan before this one.

His most important play this season

  1. Q3, 7:08 · Stanford down 7, ties itDavis Warren finds Caden High for a 49-yard touchdownGeorgia Tech at Stanford, week 4Q3, 7:08 · Stanford 20, Georgia Tech 20▲24%Stanford’s chance to win, 27% to 51%▲24%Stanford’s chance to win, 27% to 51%Caden High 49 yd pass from Davis Warren (Emmet Kenney Kick)Watch from this playESPN College Football

All 12 of his plays on video

Davis Warren

QB · Stanford · #8

Filling the Shoesas of Nov 4

Davis Warren takes over from Ben Gulbranson at Stanford.

2,203passing yards14passing TD26rushing yards

PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP

-20

perception vs production percentile · 2026

The name carries 69th-percentile weight; the snaps grade out 49th. The gap is the open question.

Read the story so far

Davis Warren lines up at QB for Stanford.

On the field, the headline is 2,203 pass yds, with 14 pass td.

Davis Warren inherited the QB job from Ben Gulbranson (3-star).

The number to watch: -20 — perception above tape · pctl gap.

QB successionleap of faith
  • Inherited fromBen Gulbranson 3★

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04