cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Desirrio Riles /East Carolina

Desirrio Riles

TE · East Carolina · Jr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

362 REC YDS · 28 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to East Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to East Carolina for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · East Carolina

Returning around him

  • 51% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 East Carolina player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (23 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

East Carolina · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #78 · 2026 recruiting class #77

TE · EAST CAROLINA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Desirrio Riles

  • 3
  • #6
  • 6-3 | 238 lb
  • Jacksonville, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4178

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
30.02023
3622025

+1107%

Up 1107% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1373 national
CFB
College
East Carolina
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey6
Measurements6-3 | 238 lb
HometownJacksonville, FL
Primary teamEast Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1373 recruit
Composite rating 0.8508 HighSchool
Signed with East Carolina 2023
Origin University Christian Jacksonville, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8508 No. 1373 recruit | HighSchool | East Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4178Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4056Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (362).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to East Carolina

Composite

0.8508

#1373 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Desirrio Riles

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "FSU lands commitment from ECU TE transfer Desirrio Riles"RivalsNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Rivals · n=3
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Desirrio Riles

Only 3 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.9

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #233 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 56th

Why it matters

#233 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.9 yards per reception (28 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.9 (56th)

MODERATE · n=28 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#340 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 at Florida Atlantic — 87 ypr

Result W 42-3

The week the volume broke through — put up 87 yds at Florida Atlantic.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
362Rec yards
28Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
36.2Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
470.6Rec yards
36Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 362): needs 112.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 362): needs 212.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 28): needs 10.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 28): needs 17.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Desirrio Riles's story is about how role and output meet each other. For East Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4178 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 28 2 rec TD | #63/475 (87th pct)
Receiving yards 362 12.9 per catch | #49/475 (90th pct)
Scrimmage yards 362 Total offensive yardage | #49/475 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetBig-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
28 87th
YDS
362 90th
YPR
12.9 80th
TD
2 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 17-24@ NC State6498.2018
Wk 2W 56-3vs Campbell11818.0118
Wk 3W 38-0@ Coastal Carolina177.007
Wk 5W 28-6vs Army11919.0019
Wk 8W 41-27vs Tulsa44511.3014
Wk 10W 45-14@ Temple25025.0031
Wk 11W 48-22vs Charlotte2157.5017
Wk 12W 31-27vs Memphis36220.7042
Wk 13L 24-58@ UTSA11010.0010
Wk 14W 42-3@ Florida Atlantic78712.4127Season-high 87 yds
Total2836213.9242
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023East Carolina2-10HC: Mike Houston · Balanced
2025East Carolina9-4HC: Blake Harrell · Run-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina2836212.92--
2023East Carolina9303.30--
Career2 loaded seasons3739210.62--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.9% 11.0% pass-game share | #70/468 (85th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #79/475 (84th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 28 #63/475 87th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 362 #49/475 90th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #79/475 84th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 12.9 #94/475 80th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 11.0% #70/468 85th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 42 #63/475 87th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 7.4% #61/468 87th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.1% #147/468 69th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 4.9% #87/468 82nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.8% #125/468 74th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 4.7% #93/468 80th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 4.0% #120/468 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.231.815.30.2
Road5g3.440.612.50.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g2.637.915.10.2
Losses2g3.529.59.10.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.223.213.10.2
Weeks 8+6g3.244.814.50.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

65Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (82nd).

Yards / catch#31 / 175 · 82nd pct
12.9rece
Rec yards#49 / 175 · 72nd pct
362rece
Long catch#56 / 175 · 67th pct
42rece
Receptions#63 / 175 · 64th pct
28rece
Rec TDs#76 / 175 · 43rd pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Desirrio RilesEast CarolinaRiley NowakowskiIndiana· 93% simEthan ConnerTroy· 88% simJyrin JohnsonBowling Green· 87% sim
Yards / catch
82
Riles
71
Nowakowski
81
Conner
79
Johnson
Rec yards
72
Riles
77
Nowakowski
79
Conner
88
Johnson
Long catch
67
Riles
69
Nowakowski
61
Conner
59
Johnson
Receptions
64
Riles
75
Nowakowski
72
Conner
86
Johnson
Rec TDs
43
Riles
43
Nowakowski
66
Conner
43
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Christian Trahan’s 2021 season.

Christian Trahan

77%match

Houston · 2021

#2

Jjay Mcafee

Georgia Southern · 2023

77%
#3

John Langan

Rutgers · 2022

75%
#4

Ryan Jones

East Carolina · 2021

73%
#5

Lance Mason

Wisconsin · 2025

All-Big Ten
68%

Matches Christian on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate

Differs from Christian on

Reception volume (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Luke Lindenmeyer's junior season at Nebraska (2025).

Luke Lindenmeyer

86%match

Nebraska · 2025

#2

Toby Payne

Marshall · 2025

All-Sun Belt
83%
#3

Jaheim Bell

South Carolina · 2022

All-ACCNFL Rd 7
81%
#4

Bryce Damous

UAB · 2024

77%
#5

Bru McCoy

Tennessee · 2023

76%

Matches Luke on

TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Blake Harrell

Pass share

44.5%

440 pass / 548 run

Plays / game

76.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

343 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2025
Blake Harrell
East Carolina
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Houston → Blake Harrell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJacksonville, FL
Height6'3"
Weight238 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 East Carolina TE3 #4178 #4056 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 East Carolina TE3 #4769 #5153 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 East Carolina American Athletic TE 3 No. 6 | 6-3 | 238 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2024 East Carolina American Athletic TE 3 No. 6 | 6-3 | 238 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2023 East Carolina American Athletic TE 3 No. 6 | 6-3 | 238 lb | Jacksonville, FL