Devin Spencer

Junior running back for Arkansas State. 2025: 559 rushing yards, 3 rushing TD, 25 catches.

RB · Arkansas State · Jr. · #4

5′10″ · 183 lb · Riverview, FL

CFB Index 39 · #225 of 326 RBsHigh confidenceReturning to Arkansas State for 2026

Next upSat Sep 19 · 8 pm ETat TCUAmon G. Carter StadiumTCU by 20

The numbers

559

rushing yards · 2025

3 TD · 5.2 per carry · 25 catches

Best game: 71 rush yds, 1 TD, 39 rec yds, vs Louisiana

Swing playSwung Iowa State from 45% to 67% to win.Arkansas State at Iowa State · 52-7

His career numbers, season by season

The story

3 running back for Arkansas State. 2025: 559 rushing yards, 3 rushing TD, 25 catches.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Arkansas State in 2024.

His career, year by year

How he plays

Wins in space out of the backfield.

Yards / carry: 52nd percentile.

The full scouting read

Devin Spencer

RB · Arkansas State · Jr · #4

Wins in space out of the backfield. Second year in the Arkansas State backfield, same address the whole way. One game to point at: 123 rush yds, 10 rec yds against Georgia Southern — Week 9, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
seasons on the roster
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2 seasons under Butch Jones, all balanced offenses — 15-11 over that span.

2024Arkansas State8-5HC: Butch Jones · Balanced

2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

39Below cohort / limited sample #225 of 326?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (85th percentile). Concern: epa / carry (15th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Yards / carry#221 / 456 · 52nd pct

5.0

Success rate#221 / 456 · 51st pct

44.1%

Explosive rate#258 / 456 · 44th pct

5.6%

TD rate#385 / 456 · 16th pct

0.9%

EPA / carry#387 / 456 · 15th pct

-0.03

Box-score rates (8)

Receptions#51 / 338 · 85th pct

Rec yards#114 / 338 · 66th pct

125

Yards / carry#127 / 349 · 62nd pct

5.2

Rush yards#135 / 349 · 61st pct

559

Carries#141 / 349 · 60th pct

108

Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct

Long run#184 / 349 · 46th pct

Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / carry

4th → 15th percentile

Success rate

76th → 51st percentile

Explosive rate

9th → 44th percentile

Yards / carry

50th → 52nd percentile

TD rate

3rd → 16th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Carry shape (PBP, full season)

Yardage DNA

107 carries

17%

Stuffed (≤0)

31%

Grind (1–3)

37%

Chunk (4–9)

15%

Explosive (10+)

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Home7g	51.7	6.2	0.4
Road6g	32.8	4.4	0.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-77g	33.7	5.7	0.3
Weeks 8+6g	53.8	5.0	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Butch Jones

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Starter

A locked-in starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

39 · #225 of 326 RBs

Three-star recruit. Now #225 at the position.

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-Sun Belt

Based on 2025: #24 of 36 Sun Belt RBs

How the All-Sun Belt estimate is computed

15% estimated, 95% confidence interval 13–17%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Arkansas State	108	559	5.2	3	--
2024	Arkansas State	40	206	5.2	0	--
Career		148	765	5.2	3	--

Season	Team
2025	Arkansas State	25	125	5.0	--
2024	Arkansas State	3	14	4.7	--
Career		28	139	5.0	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2025

W 42–24

vs Southeast Missouri State

42 rush yds (3 car) · 1 TD

With J. Raynor — 345 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 80.0 · 17 rush yds (4 car) · J. Waller — 47 AVG · 1 IN 20 · 52 LONG

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 1 · Southeast Missouri State · 1&8 · Q3 · EPA -4.68Devin Spencer run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMO 9 Devin Spencer fumbled, recovered by SEMO Nasim Cairo
Week 1 · Southeast Missouri State · 2&10 · Q2 · EPA +4.29Devin Spencer run for 43 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)
Week 13 · Louisiana · 4&9 · Q4 · EPA +3.04(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #4 D.Spencer caught at UL 32, for 9 yards to the UL 30 (#3 J.Dugger), 1ST DOWN
Week 1 · Southeast Missouri State · 4&1 · Q2 · EPA -2.80Devin Spencer run for no gain to the SEMO 32
Week 9 · Georgia Southern · 2&5 · Q2 · EPA +2.79(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush right for 30 yards gain to the GS40 (#19 A.Chaney), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Week 1 · Missouri State · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.70(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush left for 25 yards gain to the MOST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:22, 1ST DOWN #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)
Week 13 · Louisiana · 2&1 · Q2 · EPA +1.90(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UL 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:53 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)
Week 2 · Arkansas · 2&8 · Q2 · EPA +1.70Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Devin Spencer for 9 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST down
Week 14 · App State · 2&6 · Q1 · EPA +1.63(10:48) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #4 D.Spencer caught at ASU28, for 13 yards to the ASU42 (#2 E.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Week 11 · Southern Miss · 3&3 · Q2 · EPA +1.56(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush left for 6 yards gain to the ASU39 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWN

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State	3	42	14.0	1	43
Wk 2	L 14-56@ Arkansas	5	31	6.2	0	11
Wk 3	L 16-24vs Iowa State	10	31	3.1	0	12
Wk 4	L 21-28@ Kennesaw State	14	61	4.4	0	12
Wk 5	L 16-28@ UL Monroe	7	23	3.3	0	11
Wk 6	W 31-30vs Texas State	4	12	3.0	0	7
Wk 8	W 15-14@ South Alabama	8	50	6.3	0	17
Wk 9	W 34-24vs Georgia Southern	14	123	8.8	0	36	Season-high 123 yds
Wk 10	W 23-10@ Troy	5	8	1.6	0	5
Wk 11	L 21-27vs Southern Miss	11	47	4.3	0	12
Wk 13	L 30-34vs Louisiana	16	71	4.4	1	15
Wk 14	W 30-29@ App State	5	24	4.8	0	8
Bowl	W 34-28vs Missouri State	6	36	6.0	1	25
Total		108	559	5.4	3	43

How he plays

Play style

Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.

CFB Index positional classification

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

1/19Inside-5 share

1 of the team's 19 inside-the-5 carries (5.3%).

2026 Outlook

Arkansas State

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Arkansas State

Returning around him

30% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
Transfer portal: -12 net (25 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #91 · 2026 recruiting class #85

DNA match

Player DNA

Satellite Back

Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Patrick Smith’s 2021 season.

Patrick Smith

74%match

Vanderbilt · 2021

Robert Briggs

Southern Miss · 2025

73%

Sutton Smith

Memphis · 2023

NFL Rd 6

70%

Ron Cook Jr.

Buffalo · 2021

69%

Jamal Jones

Arkansas State · 2020

68%

Matches Patrick on

Receiving share

Total rush EPA (college ability)

EPA / carry (adj)

Differs from Patrick on

Height (lower)

Rush TD rate (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Caleb Huntley’s path through Ball State.

Caleb Huntley

93%match

Ball State · 2020

All-MAC

CJ Marable

Coastal Carolina · 2020

All-Sun Belt

92%

Demetric Felton

UCLA · 2020

All-Pac-12NFL Rd 6

90%

Corey Taylor II

Tulsa · 2020

90%

Braylon McReynolds

UL Monroe · 2025

88%

Matches Caleb on

Yards per carry

Recruiting rating

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Sutton Smith's sophomore season at Memphis (2023).

Sutton Smith

73%match

Memphis · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 6

Deon Silas

Iowa State · 2022

67%

Ron Cook Jr.

Buffalo · 2021

65%

Johnnie Lang

Arkansas State · 2021

64%

Cam Davis

San Diego State · 2023

63%

Matches Sutton on

Height

Total rush EPA (college ability)

Receiving share

Differs from Sutton on

Class year (lower)

Yards / reception (lower)

Player DNA

Players who play like Devin Spencer

Herschel Turner

Nevada · 2025

65%

Cam Barfield

Hawai'i · 2025

61%

The backfield · Arkansas State

#4Devin SpencerRB · Jr.559 rushing yards · 2025
#5Kenyon ClayRB · Sr.523 rushing yards · 2025
#20Timothy CarterRB · Jr.2 games · 2026
#24Nasir AllenRB · So.1 game · 2025
#8Corey Reddick Jr.RB · Sr.no box-score line yet

5 more on the roster · Arkansas State team page

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

20247 games

2025 snapshot

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

Starter

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Satellite Back

Players who play like Devin Spencer

The backfield · Arkansas State