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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ja'Vin Simpkins /Coastal Carolina

Ja'Vin Simpkins

RB · Coastal Carolina · Jr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

590 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 125 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Coastal Carolina → UAB for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to UAB

2025Coastal Carolina
2026UAB

RB · COASTAL CAROLINA · SUN BELT

Ja'Vin Simpkins

  • 3
  • #5
  • 5-9 | 190 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 66th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3045

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
1292023
5902025

+357%

Up 357% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#494 national
CFB
College
Coastal Carolina
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements5-9 | 190 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamCoastal Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 494 recruit
Composite rating 0.8869 HighSchool
Signed with Coastal Carolina 2023
Origin Norland Miami, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8869 No. 494 recruit | HighSchool | Coastal Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UAB 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 18, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Coastal Carolina -> UAB 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3045Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3019Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (590).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Coastal Carolina

Composite

0.8869

#494 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ja'Vin Simpkins

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ja'Vin Simpkins

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
590Rush yards
125Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
45.4Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
590Rush yards
125Carries
2Rush TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ja'Vin Simpkins's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Coastal Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3045 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 16.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 664 590 rush | 74 rec | #120/735 (84th pct)
Rush TD 2 125 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 4.7 Per-rush efficiency | #343/735 (53rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
125 86th
YDS
590 84th
YPC
4.7 53rd
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
17 80th
YDS
74 61st
YPR
4.4 19th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-48@ Virginia8263.318
Wk 2W 13-0vs Charleston Southern13584.5016
Wk 3L 0-38vs East Carolina4256.3014
Wk 4W 38-20@ South Alabama9849.3124Season-high 84 yds
Wk 6L 7-47@ Old Dominion8394.9011
Wk 7W 23-8vs UL Monroe10636.3046
Wk 8W 45-37@ App State9657.2026
Wk 10W 44-27vs Marshall9384.2017
Wk 11W 40-27vs Georgia State16744.6016
Wk 12L 40-45@ Georgia Southern15644.3027
Wk 13L 7-51@ South Carolina8263.308
Wk 14L 10-59vs James Madison650.806
BowlL 14-23@ Louisiana Tech10232.3013
Total1255904.7246
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Coastal Carolina8-5HC: Tim Beck · Balanced
2025Coastal Carolina6-7HC: Tim Beck · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Coastal Carolina1255904.72--
2023Coastal Carolina211296.11--
Career2 loaded seasons1467194.93--
SeasonTeam
2025Coastal Carolina17744.40--
2023Coastal Carolina133.00--
Career2 loaded seasons18774.30--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 17 74 rec yds | #111/552 (80th pct)
Usage 16.4% 27.3% rush share | #145/738 (80th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.06 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #279/362 (23rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 590 #120/735 84th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.7 #343/735 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 17 #111/552 80th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 74 #217/548 61st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.06 #279/362 23rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 115 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 16.4% #145/738 80th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 125 #101/739 86th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 46 #191/733 74th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 21 #218/540 60th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 4.4 #444/548 19th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 27.3% #152/738 80th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 22.4% #104/738 86th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 20.1% #123/738 83rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 13.6% #221/738 70th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.3% #190/738 74th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 9.7% #218/738 71st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.7% #179/738 76th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g43.84.50.0
Road7g46.74.90.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g63.76.00.2
Losses7g29.73.60.1

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g45.45.30.3
Weeks 8+6g45.34.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

52Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: rush tds (25th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Carries#101 / 349 · 71st pct
125rush
Receptions#103 / 338 · 67th pct
17rece
Rush yards#120 / 349 · 66th pct
590rush
Long run#166 / 349 · 51st pct
46rush
Rec yards#194 / 338 · 42nd pct
74rece
Yards / carry#200 / 349 · 41st pct
4.7rush
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.06Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Ja'Vin SimpkinsCoastal CarolinaKamari MoultonIowa· 80% simJevon JacksonUAB· 78% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 78% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Simpkins
Carries
71
Simpkins
86
Moulton
85
Jackson
88
Cobb
Receptions
67
Simpkins
63
Moulton
75
Jackson
45
Cobb
Rush yards
66
Simpkins
84
Moulton
85
Jackson
88
Cobb
Long run
51
Simpkins
33
Moulton
70
Jackson
51
Cobb
Rec yards
42
Simpkins
53
Moulton
61
Jackson
47
Cobb
Yards / carry
41
Simpkins
62
Moulton
68
Jackson
71
Cobb
Rush TDs
26
Simpkins
62
Moulton
62
Jackson
62
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jermaine Brown Jr.’s 2020 season.

Jermaine Brown Jr.

82%match

UAB · 2020

#2

Jamal Jones

Arkansas State · 2020

82%
#3

Jocquez Smith

Temple · 2023

80%
#4

Bill Jackson

Tulsa · 2023

80%
#5

Kaegun Williams

San Diego State · 2021

80%

Matches Jermaine on

Yards / carry
Weight
Height

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.

Gerrid Doaks

94%match

Cincinnati · 2020

All-AACNFL Rd 7
#2

Cyncir Bowers

West Virginia · 2025

92%
#3

Chuba Hubbard

Oklahoma State · 2020

All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
90%
#4

Anwar Lewis

Jacksonville State · 2024

89%
#5

Clay Thevenin

Louisiana Tech · 2025

89%

Matches Gerrid on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Velton Gardner's junior season at SMU (2022).

Velton Gardner

80%match

SMU · 2022

#2

Jaivian Thomas

UCLA · 2025

78%
#3

Qua Ashley

Ball State · 2025

All-Conference USA
78%
#4

Alexander Diggs

Kennesaw State · 2025

76%
#5

Charvis Thornton

Louisiana Tech · 2023

75%

Matches Velton on

EPA / carry (adj)
Receiving share
Yards / carry

Differs from Velton on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tim Beck

Pass share

46.3%

399 pass / 463 run

Plays / game

66.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina
2025
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina

Played his entire career under Tim Beck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height5'9"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Coastal Carolina RB3 #3045 #3019 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Coastal Carolina RB3 #2099 #2243 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt RB 3 No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Miami, FL
2024 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt RB 3 No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Miami, FL
2023 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt RB 3 No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Miami, FL