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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dexter Ricks Jr. /Liberty

Dexter Ricks Jr.

CB · Liberty · Jr · #20

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

18 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Liberty → Texas State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Texas State

2025Liberty
2026Texas State

CB · LIBERTY · CONFERENCE USA

Dexter Ricks Jr.

  • 3
  • #20
  • 5-11 | 180 lb
  • Milledgeville, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

39

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9413

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1838 national
CFB
College
Liberty
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class3
Jersey20
Measurements5-11 | 180 lb
HometownMilledgeville, GA
Primary teamLiberty

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1838 recruit
Composite rating 0.8230 HighSchool
Signed with Liberty 2022
Origin Baldwin Milledgeville, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8230 No. 1838 recruit | HighSchool | Liberty

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Texas State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 16, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Liberty -> Texas State 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9413Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9497Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Liberty

Composite

0.8230

#1838 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dexter Ricks Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dexter Ricks Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
18Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
39Tackles
2.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 18): needs 8.9/game over remaining 7.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 18): needs 11.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.4/game over remaining 7.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dexter Ricks Jr. is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Liberty's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9413 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 18 13 solo | #2161/4942 (56th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
18 56th
SOLO
13 65th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 3L 13-23@ Bowling Green971.00.00Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 4L 13-31vs James Madison200.00.00
Wk 5L 7-21@ Old Dominion110.00.01
Wk 8W 30-27vs New Mexico State000.00.02
Wk 10W 59-30vs Delaware540.00.00
Wk 11L 17-21vs Missouri State110.00.01
Total18131.00.04
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Liberty8-5HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
2023Liberty13-1HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2024Liberty8-4HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2025Liberty4-8HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Liberty18131.00.04----
2024Liberty39242.00.022--
2023Liberty1070.00.01----
2022Liberty110.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons68453.00.072--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 18 #2161/4942 56th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 13 #1622/4584 65th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g2.00.00.00.8
Road2g5.00.50.00.5

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g2.50.00.01.0
Losses4g3.20.20.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-73g4.00.30.00.3
Weeks 8+3g2.00.00.01.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

39Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Solo tackles#1622 / 2975 · 44th pct
13defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Tackles#2161 / 2975 · 26th pct
18defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Dexter Ricks Jr.LibertyTyler MartinMassachusetts· 65% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 64% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 62% sim
Passes defended
86
Jr.
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Forced fumbles
47
Jr.
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Solo tackles
44
Jr.
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Tackles for loss
28
Jr.
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Tackles
26
Jr.
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Sacks
24
Jr.
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Jr.
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Cover Corner

Steady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tayvonn Kyle’s 2022 season.

Tayvonn Kyle

92%match

Iowa State · 2022

#2

Douglas Newsome

Charlotte · 2021

90%
#3

Rashad Ajayi

Colorado State · 2021

85%
#4

A.J. Odums

UTEP · 2024

83%
#5

Tyreek Chappell

Texas A&M · 2023

82%

Matches Tayvonn on

Weight
PD rate
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jarvis Brownlee's senior season at Louisville (2023).

Jarvis Brownlee

77%match

Louisville · 2023

#2

Kris Abrams-Draine

Missouri · 2023

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 5
77%
#3

Javan Robinson

Arizona State · 2025

74%
#4

Max Melton

Rutgers · 2023

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 11
70%
#5

Micah Robinson

Tulane · 2024

All-AACNFL Rd 7
67%

Matches Jarvis on

Class year
Weight
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jamey Chadwell

Pass share

38.7%

314 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

67.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Hugh Freeze
Liberty
2023
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
era →
2024
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
2025
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty

Coaching transition mid-career: Hugh Freeze → Jamey Chadwell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMilledgeville, GA
Height5'11"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionCB
Jersey20

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Liberty CB3 #9413 #9497 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Liberty CB3 #9945 #9551 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Liberty CB3 #10383 #10192 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Liberty Conference USA CB 3 No. 20 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Milledgeville, GA
2024 Liberty Conference USA CB 3 No. 20 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Milledgeville, GA
2023 Liberty Conference USA CB 3 No. 20 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Milledgeville, GA
2022 Liberty FBS Independents CB 3 No. 20 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Milledgeville, GA