cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dion Crawford /Buffalo

Dion Crawford

LB · Buffalo · Jr · #18

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

79 TACKLES · 3.5 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Buffalo → Michigan State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Michigan State

2025Buffalo
2026Michigan State

LB · BUFFALO · MID-AMERICAN

Dion Crawford

  • 3
  • #18
  • 6-1 | 232 lb
  • Suwanee, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

79

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8555

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2023

Buffalo · LB

2024

Buffalo · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Buffalo · LB

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Buffalo
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey18
Measurements6-1 | 232 lb
HometownSuwanee, GA
Primary teamBuffalo

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Michigan State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Buffalo -> Michigan State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8555Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9565Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dion Crawford

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dion Crawford

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
79Tackles
5Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
103Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
4.5Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 79): needs 0.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 79): needs 7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 0.8/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 2.2/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dion Crawford is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Buffalo's defense, with 3.5 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8555 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 79 30 solo | #157/4942 (97th pct)
TFL 5.0 Backfield disruption | #553/4972 (89th pct)
Sacks 3.5 Pass-rush finish | #233/4972 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
79 97th
SOLO
30 89th
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
3.5 95th
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 10-23@ Minnesota1430.00.00Season-high 14 tackles
Wk 3W 31-28@ Kent State610.00.00
Wk 4L 17-21vs Troy1292.02.002 sacks
Wk 5L 17-20vs UConn720.00.00
Wk 6W 31-30vs Eastern Michigan300.00.00
Wk 8W 28-21@ Massachusetts810.50.50
Wk 9L 16-24vs Akron851.00.00
Wk 10W 28-3@ Bowling Green310.00.00
Wk 13L 20-37vs Miami (OH)830.50.01
Wk 14L 26-31vs Ohio1051.01.00
Total79305.03.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Buffalo3-9HC: Maurice Linguist · Balanced
2024Buffalo9-4HC: Maurice Linguist · Run-heavy
2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Buffalo79305.03.51----
2024Buffalo582715.08.52----
2023Buffalo28201.00.01----
Career3 loaded seasons1657721.012.04----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 79 #157/4942 97th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.0 #553/4972 89th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.5 #233/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 30 #515/4584 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g8.00.80.50.2
Road4g7.80.10.10.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g5.00.10.10.0
Losses6g9.80.80.50.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g8.40.40.40.0
Weeks 8+5g7.40.60.30.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

79All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (94th). Strength: sacks (91st).

Tackles#157 / 2975 · 95th pct
79defe
Sacks#233 / 2975 · 91st pct
3.5defe
Solo tackles#515 / 2975 · 82nd pct
30defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Tackles for loss#553 / 2975 · 80th pct
5.0defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Dion CrawfordBuffaloMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 91% simAmare CampbellPenn State· 90% simOumar DiomandeUConn· 90% sim
Tackles
95
Crawford
98
Baranowski
99
Campbell
99
Diomande
Sacks
91
Crawford
89
Baranowski
89
Campbell
96
Diomande
Solo tackles
82
Crawford
98
Baranowski
100
Campbell
100
Diomande
QB hurries
82
Crawford
82
Baranowski
88
Campbell
92
Diomande
Tackles for loss
80
Crawford
95
Baranowski
96
Campbell
93
Diomande
Passes defended
48
Crawford
48
Baranowski
48
Campbell
48
Diomande

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to DJ Taylor’s 2022 season.

DJ Taylor

85%match

Bowling Green · 2022

#2

Arion Carter

Tennessee · 2025

84%
#3

Ashanti Cistrunk

Ole Miss · 2023

84%
#4

Jordan Brown

North Texas · 2023

84%
#5

KD Davis

North Texas · 2020

83%

Matches DJ on

Weight
TFL rate
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Mikel Jones's junior season at Syracuse (2022).

Mikel Jones

88%match

Syracuse · 2022

#2

Braydon Brus

Northwestern · 2025

88%
#3

Arion Carter

Tennessee · 2025

88%
#4

Chris Paul Jr.

Arkansas · 2023

NFL Rd 5
86%
#5

Raylen Wilson

Georgia · 2025

85%

Matches Mikel on

Sack rate
Tackle volume
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Pete Lembo

Pass share

49.8%

409 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

338 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2024
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2025
Pete Lembo
Buffalo
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Maurice Linguist → Pete Lembo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSuwanee, GA
Height6'1"
Weight232 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-MAC all_conference Buffalo | MAC DL

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Buffalo LB3 #8555 #9565 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Buffalo LB3 #12693 #12865 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Buffalo Mid-American LB 3 No. 18 | 6-1 | 232 lb | Suwanee, GA
2024 Buffalo Mid-American LB 3 No. 18 | 6-1 | 232 lb | Suwanee, GA
2023 Buffalo Mid-American LB 3 No. 18 | 6-1 | 232 lb | Suwanee, GA