cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / DJ Bell /UCF

DJ Bell

DB · UCF · Jr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

17 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UCF for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UCF for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · UCF

Returning around him

  • 31% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 UCF player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (31 in / 35 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UCF · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #43 · 2026 recruiting class #79

DB · UCF · BIG 12

DJ Bell

  • 3
  • #5
  • 6-2 | 180 lb
  • Pensacola, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

32

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10068

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1869 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements6-2 | 180 lb
HometownPensacola, FL
Primary teamUCF

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1869 recruit
Composite rating 0.8215 HighSchool
Signed with Memphis 2022
Origin Pensacola Pensacola, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8215 No. 1869 recruit | HighSchool | Memphis

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10068Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10239Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Memphis

Composite

0.8215

#1869 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on DJ Bell

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about DJ Bell

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
17Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
25Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 17): needs 15.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 17): needs 20.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

DJ Bell is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UCF's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10068 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 17 11 solo | #2235/4942 (55th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
17 55th
SOLO
11 60th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 17-10vs Jacksonville State000.00.01
Wk 2W 68-7vs North Carolina A&T110.00.01
Wk 4W 34-9vs North Carolina220.00.00
Wk 6L 20-27vs Kansas210.00.00
Wk 10L 3-30@ Baylor210.00.00
Wk 11L 27-30vs Houston100.00.01
Wk 12L 9-48@ Texas Tech110.00.00
Wk 13W 17-14vs Oklahoma State320.00.01
Wk 14L 21-41@ BYU530.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Total17110.00.04
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Memphis10-3HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced
2024Memphis11-2HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced, fast tempo
2025UCF5-7HC: Scott Frost · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UCF17110.00.04----
2024Memphis16130.00.051--
2023Memphis20172.00.031--
Career3 loaded seasons53412.00.0122--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 17 #2235/4942 55th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 11 #1855/4584 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g1.50.00.00.7
Road3g2.70.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g1.50.00.00.8
Losses5g2.20.00.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.20.00.00.5
Weeks 8+5g2.40.00.00.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

32Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Solo tackles#1855 / 2975 · 35th pct
11defe
Tackles#2235 / 2975 · 24th pct
17defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
DJ BellUCFTyler MartinMassachusetts· 56% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 55% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 54% sim
Passes defended
86
Bell
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Solo tackles
35
Bell
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Tackles
24
Bell
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Sacks
24
Bell
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Bell
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
Tackles for loss
7
Bell
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Noah Boykin’s 2021 season.

Noah Boykin

92%match

Massachusetts · 2021

#2

Wylan Free

Fresno State · 2021

89%
#3

Eric Rogers

Northern Illinois · 2022

84%
#4

Thaddeus Dixon

Washington · 2023

79%
#5

Jeremiah Earby

California · 2023

78%

Matches Noah on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Maxwell Hairston's junior season at Kentucky (2024).

Maxwell Hairston

82%match

Kentucky · 2024

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 30
#2

Nathaniel Wiggins

Clemson · 2023

81%
#3

Myles Brooks

Louisiana Tech · 2022

All-Conference USA
77%
#4

Jaheim Clarke

Illinois · 2025

74%
#5

Amier Boyd-Matthews

UTEP · 2024

73%

Matches Maxwell on

Class year
Tackle volume
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Frost

Pass share

51.7%

403 pass / 377 run

Plays / game

65.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2024
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2025
Scott Frost
UCF
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Gus Malzahn → Scott Frost. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPensacola, FL
Height6'2"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionDB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Memphis DB3 #10068 #10239 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Memphis DB3 #10467 #10608 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Memphis DB3 #13381 #13176 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UCF Big 12 DB 3 No. 5 | 6-2 | 180 lb | Pensacola, FL
2024 Memphis American Athletic DB 3 No. 5 | 6-2 | 180 lb | Pensacola, FL
2023 Memphis American Athletic DB 3 No. 5 | 6-2 | 180 lb | Pensacola, FL
2022 Memphis American Athletic DB 3 No. 5 | 6-2 | 180 lb | Pensacola, FL