cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaylen McClain /Ohio State

Jaylen McClain

S · Ohio State · So · #18

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

53 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Ohio State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Ohio State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Ohio State

Returning around him

  • 31% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 11 Ohio State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -20 net (17 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Ohio State · Last season: 12-2 (AP #3) · Talent rank #3 · 2026 recruiting class #4

S · OHIO STATE · BIG TEN

Jaylen McClain

  • 2
  • #18
  • 6-0 | 201 lb
  • Rahway, NJ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

45

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4254

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#373 national
CFB
College
Ohio State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class2
Jersey18
Measurements6-0 | 201 lb
HometownRahway, NJ
Primary teamOhio State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 373 recruit
Composite rating 0.8988 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio State 2024
Origin Seton Hall Prep West Orange, NJ, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.8988 No. 373 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4254Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3791Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Ohio State

Composite

0.8988

#373 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaylen McClain

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaylen McClain

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
53Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
53Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaylen McClain is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Ohio State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4254 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 373 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 53 42 solo | #525/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
53 89th
SOLO
42 96th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 14-7vs Texas850.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 2W 70-0vs Grambling440.00.00
Wk 3W 37-9vs Ohio540.00.01
Wk 5W 24-6@ Washington220.00.00
Wk 6W 42-3vs Minnesota220.00.00
Wk 7W 34-16@ Illinois320.00.00
Wk 8W 34-0@ Wisconsin220.00.00
Wk 10W 38-14vs Penn State550.00.00
Wk 11W 34-10@ Purdue430.00.01
Wk 12W 48-10vs UCLA000.00.01
Wk 13W 42-9vs Rutgers430.00.00
Wk 14W 27-9@ Michigan530.00.00
Wk 15L 10-13vs Indiana650.00.00
BowlL 14-24vs Miami320.00.00
Total53420.00.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Ohio State12-2HC: Ryan Day · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio State53420.00.03----
Career1 loaded season53420.00.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 53 #525/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 42 #165/4584 96th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home9g4.10.00.00.2
Road5g3.20.00.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins12g3.70.00.00.2
Losses2g4.50.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.90.00.00.1
Weeks 8+7g3.70.00.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

45Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (94th). Strength: tackles (81st). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Solo tackles#165 / 2975 · 94th pct
42defe
Tackles#525 / 2975 · 82nd pct
53defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jaylen McClainOhio StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 78% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 76% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 75% sim
Solo tackles
94
McClain
100
Ra-El
87
Martin
97
Johnson
Tackles
82
McClain
99
Ra-El
98
Martin
98
Johnson
Passes defended
78
McClain
91
Ra-El
67
Martin
96
Johnson
Sacks
24
McClain
24
Ra-El
24
Martin
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
McClain
22
Ra-El
22
Martin
22
Johnson
Tackles for loss
7
McClain
56
Ra-El
63
Martin
47
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ethan Minter’s 2025 season.

Ethan Minter

88%match

Virginia · 2025

#2

Alex Odom

Temple · 2021

87%
#3

Khalil Barnes

Clemson · 2024

86%
#4

Brandyn Hillman

Michigan · 2025

82%
#5

Jordan Allen

Houston · 2025

81%

Matches Ethan on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ike Rowell's sophomore season at UAB (2023).

Ike Rowell

93%match

UAB · 2023

#2

Ethan Minter

Virginia · 2025

88%
#3

Sione Vaki

Utah · 2023

NFL Rd 4
88%
#4

Quinton Hammonds

North Texas · 2025

84%
#5

Jacob Redding

Baylor · 2025

84%

Matches Ike on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Day

Pass share

47.0%

408 pass / 461 run

Plays / game

62.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Ryan Day
Ohio State

Played his entire career under Ryan Day.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRahway, NJ
Height6'0"
Weight201 lb
Class2
PositionS
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Ohio State | Big Ten DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio State S2 #4254 #3791 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio State Big Ten S 2 No. 18 | 6-0 | 201 lb | Rahway, NJ
2024 Ohio State Big Ten S 2 No. 18 | 6-0 | 201 lb | Rahway, NJ