cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jmariyae Robinson /Missouri State

Jmariyae Robinson

WR · Missouri State · Jr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

632 REC YDS · 44 REC · 7 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Missouri State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Missouri State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Missouri State

Returning around him

  • Transfer portal: +8 net (19 in / 11 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Missouri State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #129 · 2026 recruiting class #133

WR · MISSOURI STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Jmariyae Robinson

  • 3
  • 6-1 | 165 lb
  • Cocoa, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

71

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 92nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1576 national
CFB
College
Missouri State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey--
Measurements6-1 | 165 lb
HometownCocoa, FL
Primary teamMissouri State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1576 recruit
Composite rating 0.8367 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Cocoa Cocoa, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8367 No. 1576 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8367

#1576 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jmariyae Robinson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jmariyae Robinson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.4

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #129 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 76th

Why it matters

#129 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.4 yards per reception (44 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.4 (76th)

HIGH · n=44 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#125 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#36 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 at Arkansas State — 96 ypr

Result L 28-34

The week the volume broke through — put up 96 yds at Arkansas State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
632Rec yards
44Receptions
7Rec TDs
Per game
52.7Rec yards
4Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
684.7Rec yards
48Receptions
8Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 632): needs 68/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 632): needs 368/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 44): needs 16/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 44): needs 36/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 7): needs 1/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 7): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jmariyae Robinson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Missouri State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 7.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 252 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 44 7 rec TD | #153/1110 (86th pct)
Receiving yards 632 14.4 per catch | #132/1107 (88th pct)
Scrimmage yards 650 Total offensive yardage | #132/1107 (88th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
44 86th
YDS
632 88th
YPR
14.4 72nd
TD
7 97th

Rushing

CAR
3 64th
YDS
18 63rd
YPC
6.0 69th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
252 81st
KR AVG
19.4 50th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 13-73@ USC33010.0018Season-high 96 yds
Wk 2W 21-20@ Marshall38528.3152
Wk 3L 10-28vs SMU34916.3021
Wk 4W 42-10vs UT Martin22211.0015
Wk 5L 22-27vs Western Kentucky22613.0018
Wk 9W 24-17@ New Mexico State22211.0014
Wk 10W 28-21vs Florida International6477.82132 TD catches
Wk 11W 21-17@ Liberty56913.8128
Wk 12W 38-24vs UTEP78812.6045
Wk 13L 34-41@ Kennesaw State4328.0110
Wk 14L 30-42vs Louisiana Tech36622.0131
BowlL 28-34@ Arkansas State49624.0136
Total4463214.8752
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Missouri State7-6HC: Ryan Beard · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri State4463214.47--
Career1 loaded season4463214.47--
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri State318252----
Career1 loaded season318252----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.3% 12.8% pass-game share | #333/1137 (71st pct)
Return yards 252 0 return TD | #46/238 (81st pct)
Touchdowns 7 Across offense and returns | #37/1111 (97th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 44 #153/1110 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 632 #132/1107 88th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 7 #37/1111 97th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.4 #309/1106 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 252 #46/238 81st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 12.8% #333/1137 71st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 21 #60/346 83rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 18 #147/397 63rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 6.0 #124/393 69th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 3 #146/407 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 52 #244/1105 78th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 19.4 #118/236 50th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 13 #38/243 85th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.9% #307/1137 73rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.7% #171/1137 85th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.3% #254/1137 78th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 6.9% #251/1137 78th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.6% #516/1137 55th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.5% #356/1137 69th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.6% #259/1137 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.849.713.80.5
Road6g3.555.715.80.7

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g4.255.514.10.7
Losses6g3.249.815.50.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.851.317.10.3
Weeks 8+6g4.554.012.50.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

71Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (91st).

Rec TDs#37 / 558 · 92nd pct
7rece
Rec yards#132 / 558 · 76th pct
632rece
Receptions#153 / 558 · 72nd pct
44rece
Yards / catch#167 / 558 · 70th pct
14.4rece
Long catch#217 / 558 · 60th pct
52rece
Rush yards#118 / 287 · 58th pct
18rush
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jmariyae RobinsonMissouri StateKyre DuplessisDelaware· 86% simAmare ThomasHouston· 86% simElijah SarrattIndiana· 84% sim
Rec TDs
92
Robinson
78
Duplessis
99
Thomas
100
Sarratt
Rec yards
76
Robinson
91
Duplessis
95
Thomas
88
Sarratt
Receptions
72
Robinson
92
Duplessis
95
Thomas
93
Sarratt
Yards / catch
70
Robinson
59
Duplessis
70
Thomas
46
Sarratt
Long catch
60
Robinson
81
Duplessis
77
Thomas
55
Sarratt
Rush yards
58
Robinson
60
Duplessis
44
Thomas
Rush TDs
39
Robinson
39
Duplessis
39
Thomas

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Javen Banks’s 2021 season.

Javen Banks

83%match

Texas State · 2021

#2

Keric Wheatfall

Fresno State · 2021

75%
#3

Jacolby George

Miami · 2024

74%
#4

Xavier Weaver

South Florida · 2022

All-AAC
73%
#5

Konata Mumpfield

Pittsburgh · 2023

NFL Rd 7
73%

Matches Javen on

Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
TD rate

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Dai'Jean Dixon’s path through Nicholls.

Dai'Jean Dixon

97%match

Nicholls · 2021

#2

Jermaine Jackson

Idaho · 2023

96%
#3

Ben Ratzlaff

Houston Christian · 2020

96%
#4

Blayne Taylor

Abilene Christian · 2024

95%
#5

Josh Palmer

Tennessee · 2020

95%

Matches Dai'Jean on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jayce Brown's junior season at Kansas State (2025).

Jayce Brown

76%match

Kansas State · 2025

#2

Kyle Williams

UNLV · 2022

70%
#3

DeAndre Moore Jr.

Texas · 2025

69%
#4

Ontaria Wilson

Florida State · 2022

68%
#5

Kris Mitchell

Florida International · 2022

All-Conference USA
68%

Matches Jayce on

Height
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Beard

Pass share

51.9%

433 pass / 401 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

13.0%

307 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Ryan Beard
Missouri State

Played his entire career under Ryan Beard.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCocoa, FL
Height6'1"
Weight165 lb
Class3
PositionWR

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Missouri State Conference USA WR 3 6-1 | 165 lb | Cocoa, FL