Missouri State routs Lindenwood 48-14
Team pages: Lindenwood · Missouri State
Missouri State routed Lindenwood 48-14. Share this game
We had Missouri State favored. It won.
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Missouri State a 68% chance, and the closing betting line (Missouri State was a 16.5-point favorite) put it at 91%.
Missouri State 48-14 Lindenwood
Missouri State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Lindenwood 14-48 Missouri StateLindenwood lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Missouri State -16.5), at 90% for Missouri State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Missouri State scored on 7 of its 12 drives; Lindenwood on 2 of its 11.
Missouri State’s drives are teal, Lindenwood’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Missouri State 48, Lindenwood 14
Missouri State covered −16.5 by 17.5. The total, 62, went over 53.5.
| Team totals | Lindenwood | Missouri State |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 223 | 584 |
| Passing | 8 of 20, 105 yds | 21 of 25, 320 yds |
| Rushing | 34 for 118 yds | 53 for 264 yds |
| First downs | 11 | 27 |
| Third down | 2 of 13 | 7 of 13 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Penalties | 7 for 84 yds | 11 for 90 yds |
| Time of possession | 25:50 | 34:10 |
Lindenwood leaders
- Passing Pops Battle 8 of 20, 105 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Pops Battle 14 for 63 yds; Noah Triplett 8 for 37 yds
- Receiving Elijah Roy 4 for 72 yds, 1 TD; Drew Krobath 1 for 15 yds, 1 TD
Missouri State leaders
- Passing Skyler Locklear 17 of 20, 258 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Ramone Green Jr. 12 for 80 yds, 2 TD; Jambres Dubar 15 for 77 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Isaiah Myers 5 for 155 yds, 1 TD; Mekhi Miller 2 for 55 yds
No rain and calm
85° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 3 mph from the west-northwest, gusts to 9
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Springfield, 6.7 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last two games
Lindenwood · 1-1
Rated 177th in our preseason ratings, 170th now.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 32-36 @ Stony Brook #175 of 668
lost by 4 as a 4-point underdog
W 20-17 vs Charleston Southern #219 of 668
won by 3 as a 7.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Missouri State · 7-6
Rated 94th in our preseason ratings, 90th now.
Three straight losses.
L 28-34 @ Arkansas State #139 of 667
lost by 6 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 30-42 vs Louisiana Tech #106 of 667
lost by 12 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 34-41 @ Kennesaw State #118 of 667
lost by 7 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 38-24 vs UTEP #173 of 667
won by 14 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 21-17 @ Liberty #108 of 667
won by 4 as a 7.5-point underdog
W 28-21 vs Florida International #140 of 667
won by 7 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 24-17 @ New Mexico State #178 of 667
won by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 22-20 @ Middle Tennessee #185 of 667
won by 2 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 22-27 vs Western Kentucky #88 of 667
lost by 5 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 42-10 vs UT Martin #180 of 667
won by 32 as a 14.5-point favorite
L 10-28 vs SMUTop 25 #22 of 667
lost by 18 as a 28.5-point underdog
W 21-20 @ Marshall #90 of 667
won by 1 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 13-73 @ USCTop 25 #20 of 667
lost by 60 as a 36.5-point underdog
Week by week
Missouri State
- Wk 1Lat Texas A&M0-50
Lindenwood
- Wk 1Wvs Charleston Southern20-17
- Wk 1Lat Stony Brook32-36
The series
Missouri State leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2024 · Missouri State won the last meeting
- 2024Missouri State 28-14
Each line is Missouri State’s chance to win through that meeting.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Missouri State’s chances here.
Missouri State favored by 16.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go
Missouri State by 16.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 3 points toward Lindenwood.
The total rose 1 point.
Spread: −19.5 → −16.5 · Total: 52.5 → 53.5
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Warm and dry. Feels like 81° at kickoff.
Lindenwood at Missouri State · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Plaster Sports Complex, Springfield
- 81°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 93weather score, Comfortable
- 2ndbest of the day's 5 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's five kickoff times. At Plaster Sports Complex that day, a 6:45 pm kickoff would have scored 98, against 93 at 6 pm.
- 11 am: 87, Mixed
- 2:30 pm: 70, Rough
- 3:15 pm: 71, Rough
- 6 pm: 93, Comfortable (this game)
- 6:45 pm: 98, Comfortable
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Missouri State is worth +5.7 points (±6.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 77th percentile.
30% at home, 20% on the road against FBS opponents (3-7 home, 4-16 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.5 at home vs. away over 52 games — inside the ±8.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 186 miles to get here.