cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Joshua Burnham /Notre Dame

Joshua Burnham

DL · Notre Dame · Jr · #40

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

16 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Notre Dame for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Notre Dame for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Notre Dame

Returning around him

  • 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 6 Notre Dame players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (7 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Notre Dame · Last season: 10-2 (AP #9) · Talent rank #9 · 2026 recruiting class #12

DL · NOTRE DAME · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Joshua Burnham

  • 3
  • #40
  • 6-4 | 253 lb
  • Traverse City, MI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

63

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5091

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#109 national
CFB
College
Notre Dame
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey40
Measurements6-4 | 253 lb
HometownTraverse City, MI
Primary teamNotre Dame

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 109 recruit
Composite rating 0.9550 HighSchool
Signed with Notre Dame 2022
Origin Central Traverse City, MI, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9550 No. 109 recruit | HighSchool | Notre Dame

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5091Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4580Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Notre Dame

Composite

0.9550

#109 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Joshua Burnham

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Joshua Burnham

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
16Tackles
6Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Projected (13g)
26Tackles
9.8Tackles for loss
4.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 16): needs 12.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 16): needs 16.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 0.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Joshua Burnham is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Notre Dame's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #5091 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 109 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 16 10 solo | #2295/4942 (54th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
16 54th
SOLO
10 56th
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
3.0 94th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 24-27@ Miami200.00.00
Wk 4W 56-30vs Purdue220.00.00
Wk 6W 28-7vs Boise State100.00.00
Wk 10W 25-10@ Boston College333.01.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 11W 49-10vs Navy100.00.01
Wk 12W 37-15@ Pittsburgh322.52.002 sacks
Wk 13W 70-7vs Syracuse100.50.00
Wk 14W 49-20@ Stanford330.00.00
Total16106.03.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Notre Dame9-4HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-heavy
2023Notre Dame10-3HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Notre Dame10-2HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame16106.03.01----
2023Notre Dame18104.01.0------
2022Notre Dame1--0.50.0------
Career3 loaded seasons352010.54.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 16 #2295/4942 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 10 #1996/4584 56th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g1.20.10.00.2
Road4g2.81.40.80.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g2.00.90.40.1
Losses1g2.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.70.00.00.0
Weeks 8+5g2.21.20.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

63Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (88th). Strength: tackles for loss (85th). Concern: tackles (21st).

Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Solo tackles#1996 / 2975 · 31st pct
10defe
Tackles#2295 / 2975 · 21st pct
16defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Joshua BurnhamNotre DameJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 58% simTreylin PayneTexas State· 58% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 58% sim
Sacks
89
Burnham
96
Kuwatch
80
Payne
89
Baranowski
Tackles for loss
85
Burnham
96
Kuwatch
87
Payne
95
Baranowski
QB hurries
72
Burnham
55
Kuwatch
82
Payne
82
Baranowski
Passes defended
48
Burnham
48
Kuwatch
67
Payne
48
Baranowski
Solo tackles
31
Burnham
95
Kuwatch
95
Payne
98
Baranowski
Tackles
21
Burnham
98
Kuwatch
98
Payne
98
Baranowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jasheen Davis’s 2022 season.

Jasheen Davis

86%match

Wake Forest · 2022

#2

Tyler Baron

Tennessee · 2023

NFL Rd 5
83%
#3

Jordan Walker

Rutgers · 2024

82%
#4

Bradley Weaver

Ohio · 2024

All-MAC
82%
#5

Dante Anderson

Florida International · 2025

82%

Matches Jasheen on

Weight
Sack rate
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Santana Hopper's senior season at Tulane (2025).

Santana Hopper

73%match

Tulane · 2025

All-Sun Belt
#2

Harvey Dyson III

Tulane · 2025

71%
#3

Tobi Osunsanmi

Kansas State · 2025

67%
#4

Gabriel Murphy

UCLA · 2023

66%
#5

Jalen Thornton

West Virginia · 2023

65%

Matches Santana on

Class year
Sack rate
Weight

Differs from Santana on

Height (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Marcus Freeman

Pass share

44.0%

321 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

257 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2023
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2025
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame

Played his entire career under Marcus Freeman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTraverse City, MI
Height6'4"
Weight253 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey40

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Notre Dame DL3 #5091 #4580 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Notre Dame DL3 #4813 #5012 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 Notre Dame DL3 #9789 #9324 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 3 No. 40 | 6-4 | 253 lb | Traverse City, MI
2024 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 3 No. 40 | 6-4 | 253 lb | Traverse City, MI
2023 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 3 No. 40 | 6-4 | 253 lb | Traverse City, MI
2022 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 3 No. 40 | 6-4 | 253 lb | Traverse City, MI