#18

JT Daniels

Senior quarterback for Rice. 2023: 2,443 passing yards, 21 TD, 7 INT.

QB · Rice · Sr. · #18

6′2″ · 237 lb · Irvine, CA

CFB Index 57 · #53 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceRice 2023 alumnus

Recruiting

5★

PRO recruit

No. 16 nationally · Signed with USC

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Rice. 2023: 2,443 passing yards, 21 TD, 7 INT.

Signed as a 5-star recruit to USC in 2018.
Transferred from West Virginia to Rice in 2023.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Six seasons at Rice, 9,369 passing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

He arrived as a blue-chip recruit and played like one.

201811 games

Signed with USC5-star out of Mater Dei

20215 games

The snaps went the other way.

All-SEC

202210 games

The role got bigger.

Entered the portal

20239 games

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

★★★★★

#16 national

CFB

College

4 teams

2018–2023

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2018–2023

1 coach

2018–2023

Mike Bloomgren

Rice

Played his entire career under Mike Bloomgren.

2023 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2018USC5-7HC: Clay Helton · Balanced

2019USC8-5HC: Clay Helton · Pass-leaning

2020Georgia8-2HC: Kirby Smart · Run-leaning

2021Georgia4-8HC: Donte Williams · Balanced, fast tempo

2022West Virginia5-7HC: Neal Brown · Balanced

2023Rice6-7HC: Mike Bloomgren · Balanced, slow tempo

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

57Quality starter #53 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: success rate (95th percentile). Strength: epa / dropback (92nd percentile). Concern: rush yards (6th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Success rate#9 / 177 · 95th pct

51.8%

EPA / dropback#15 / 177 · 92nd pct

0.50

Explosive rate#15 / 177 · 92nd pct

14.7%

Interception rate#1 / 177 · 84th pct

0.0%

Sack rate#66 / 177 · 63rd pct

5.0%

Box-score rates (8)

Yards / att#31 / 179 · 82nd pct

8.5

Pass TDs#43 / 179 · 75th pct

Pass yards#60 / 179 · 67th pct

2443

Completion %#64 / 179 · 65th pct

63.1%

Interceptions#98 / 179 · 42nd pct

Fumbles lost#76 / 167 · 40th pct

Rush TDs#124 / 179 · 23rd pct

Rush yards#169 / 179 · 6th pct

-65

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

54th → 92nd percentile

Success rate

61st → 95th percentile

Explosive rate

35th → 92nd percentile

Sack rate

71st → 63rd percentile

Interception rate

48th → 84th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

178/266 (66.9%) · 21 TD · 7 INT

266 of 287 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

8.2336 of 212 QBs

Sack rate

4.7%76 of 212 QBs

Rarely sacked (76 of 212 QBs) and still 36 of 212 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

49%of completions

87 comp5.5 yds avg6 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

29%of completions

52 comp14.0 yds avg3 TD

Deep

20+ yds

22%of completions

39 comp32.4 yds avg9 TD

Overall 66.9% completion on 266 attempts · 39 deep completions averaging 32.4 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline

+87

percentile points better on third down or later

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-19 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 2/116 (1.7%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 2

-39 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/85 (7.1%) · league sack rate 5.2% · ~our read

Down 3+

+87 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/63 (9.5%) · league sack rate 9.1% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	253	2.5	8.5	0.8
Road3g	308	2.0	8.6	0.7

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	305	2.5	9.3	0.8
Weeks 8+3g	204	2.0	7.0	0.7

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Scott Abell

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

Part-time starter

Splitting first-team reps — starts some weeks, rotates others.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

57 · #53 of 140 QBs

Former five-star. Now #53 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2023	Rice	181	287	63.1%	2,443	8.5	21	7	153.8	72	--	--
2022	West Virginia	201	328	61.3%	2,097	6.4	13	9	122.6	40	--	--
2021	USC	68	94	72.3%	722	7.7	7	3	155.1	67	--	--
2020	Georgia	80	119	67.2%	1,231	10.3	10	2	178.5	63	--	--
2019	USC	25	34	73.5%	215	6.3	1	1	130.5	--	--	--
2018	USC	216	362	59.7%	2,661	7.4	14	10	128.7	--	--	--
Career		771	1,224	63.0%	9,369	7.7	66	32	139.9	57	--	--

Season	Team
2023	Rice	25	-65	-2.6	1	--
2022	West Virginia	30	-51	-1.7	1	--
2021	USC	4	-18	-4.5	0	--
2020	Georgia	10	-71	-7.1	0	--
2019	USC	3	-6	-2.0	0	--
2018	USC	45	-149	-3.3	0	--
Career		117	-360	-3.1	2	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 3 · 2023

W 59–7

vs Texas Southern

255 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 97.0

Dominant 52-point win at home against Texas Southern.

With K. Campbell — 1 rec · 70 yds · 1 TD · C. Hunt — 50 AVG · 1 IN 20 · 52 LONG

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 4 · South Florida · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +6.39JT Daniels pass complete to Dean Connors for 80 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)
Week 3 · Texas Southern · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +5.69JT Daniels pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 70 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)
Week 3 · Texas Southern · 3&13 · Q1 · EPA +4.94JT Daniels pass complete to Braylen Walker for 35 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)
Week 4 · South Florida · 3&6 · Q3 · EPA +4.03JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 51 yds to the USF 40 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · South Florida · 3&14 · Q2 · EPA +4.00JT Daniels pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 31 yds to the USF 25 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · UConn · 3&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.95JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 38 yds to the CONN 21 for a 1ST down
Week 8 · Tulsa · 3&12 · Q3 · EPA +3.60JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 29 yds to the TLSA 22 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Texas · 3&6 · Q2 · EPA +3.57JT Daniels pass complete to Braylen Walker for 36 yds to the TEX 46 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Texas · 3&15 · Q4 · EPA +3.54Luke McCaffrey 15 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Tim Horn Kick)
Week 3 · Texas Southern · 2&8 · Q2 · EPA +3.51JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 36 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week