cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kevin Coleman Jr. /Missouri

Kevin Coleman Jr.

WR · Missouri · Sr · #3

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Kevin Coleman Jr. is a cornerstone for Missouri — measured against the line he joined.

732REC YDS66REC1REC TD

4★ · NATIONAL RECRUIT

No.54

recruiting national rank

Read the story so far

Kevin Coleman Jr. arrived as a 4-star prospect, the No.54 recruit nationally. He lines up at WR for Missouri.

On the field, the headline is 732 rec yds, with 66 rec.

He inherited the WR job from Luther Burden III (5-star). How many games until Donovan Olugbode (4★) takes the job from Kevin Coleman Jr.?

The clock is the open loop — and it is already ticking.

WR successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromLuther Burden III 5★
  • Pushed byDonovan Olugbode 4★
  • How many games until Donovan Olugbode (4★) takes the job from Kevin Coleman Jr.?
Why nowThe WR job is the open question heading into 2026.
  • season totals
  • recruiting national rank
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Miami — Rd 5, Pick 37, #177 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Miami2026 NFL rookie season

#177Rd 5 · Pick 37
Miami2026 NFL rookie season

WR · MISSOURI · SEC

Kevin Coleman Jr.

  • 4
  • #3
  • 5-11 | 180 lb
  • St. Louis, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

58

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 84th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4021

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
3322023
7322025

+120%

Up 120% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#54 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements5-11 | 180 lb
HometownSt. Louis, MO
Primary teamMissouri

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 54 recruit
Composite rating 0.9773 HighSchool
Signed with Jackson State 2022
Origin St. Mary's St. Louis, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9773 No. 54 recruit | HighSchool | Jackson State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4021Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4428Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (732).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Jackson State

Composite

0.9773

#54 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kevin Coleman Jr.

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

62

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +25 · "Penn State’s offseason is heating up fast. Host Zach Seyko reports that Matt Cam"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kevin Coleman Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

732

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #83 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 84th

Why it matters

#83 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 732 yards on 66 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 732 (84th)

HIGH · n=66 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#349 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs Kansas — 126 receiving_yards_total

Result W 42-31

The week the volume broke through — put up 126 yds vs Kansas.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
732Rec yards
66Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
56.3Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
732Rec yards
66Receptions
1Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 732.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 66.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Kevin Coleman Jr. is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #4021 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 54 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 66 1 rec TD | #32/1110 (97th pct)
Receiving yards 732 11.1 per catch | #90/1107 (92nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 808 Total offensive yardage | #90/1107 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
66 97th
YDS
732 92nd
YPR
11.1 43rd
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
9 87th
YDS
76 91st
YPC
8.4 82nd
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
189 91st
PR AVG
12.6 82nd
RET TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 61-6vs Central Arkansas6488.0020
Wk 2W 42-31vs Kansas1012612.6150Season-high 126 yds
Wk 3W 52-10vs Louisiana88410.5020
Wk 4W 29-20vs South Carolina3206.7012
Wk 5W 42-6vs Massachusetts121089.0017
Wk 7L 24-27vs Alabama122.002
Wk 8W 23-17@ Auburn46115.3020
Wk 9L 10-17@ Vanderbilt710915.6036
Wk 11L 17-38vs Texas A&M111.001
Wk 12W 49-27vs Mississippi State44110.3017
Wk 13L 6-17@ Oklahoma711516.4037
Wk 14W 31-17@ Arkansas
BowlL 7-13vs Virginia3175.7011
Total667329.4150
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Louisville10-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Run-leaning
2025Missouri8-5HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri6673211.11--
2023Louisville2433213.82--
Career2 loaded seasons901,06411.83--
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri976--1891
2023Louisville62588117--
Career2 loaded seasons15101883061
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.7% 21.6% pass-game share | #66/1137 (94th pct)
Return yards 189 1 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 66 #32/1110 97th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 732 #90/1107 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.1 #635/1106 43rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 189 #22/224 91st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 21.6% #66/1137 94th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 76 #36/397 91st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 34 #27/346 92nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 9 #53/407 87th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 8.4 #73/393 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 50 #277/1105 75th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 15 #39/237 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 12.6 #41/222 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return TD 1 #4/27 89th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.3% #61/1137 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 13.9% #71/1137 94th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 9.7% #108/1137 91st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.8% #136/1137 88th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.1% #146/1137 87th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.7% #243/1137 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.4% #146/1137 87th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home9g5.349.77.30.1
Road4g4.571.215.80.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g5.961.010.30.1
Losses5g3.848.88.10.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g6.157.97.80.1
Weeks 8+6g3.854.511.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

58Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (94th). Strength: rush yards (88th). Concern: rec tds (23rd).

Receptions#32 / 558 · 94th pct
66rece
Rush yards#33 / 287 · 89th pct
76rush
Rec yards#90 / 558 · 84th pct
732rece
Long catch#243 / 558 · 56th pct
50rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Yards / catch#396 / 558 · 28th pct
11.1rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Kevin Coleman Jr.MissouriJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 90% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 87% simSean WilsonDelaware· 82% sim
Receptions
94
Jr.
92
Gibson
95
Walker
94
Wilson
Rush yards
89
Jr.
76
Gibson
Rec yards
84
Jr.
74
Gibson
89
Walker
91
Wilson
Long catch
56
Jr.
56
Gibson
39
Walker
58
Wilson
Rush TDs
39
Jr.
39
Gibson
Yards / catch
28
Jr.
15
Gibson
40
Walker
49
Wilson
Rec TDs
24
Jr.
7
Gibson
42
Walker
57
Wilson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Anthony Evans III’s 2025 season.

Anthony Evans III

82%match

Mississippi State · 2025

#2

Kwamie Lassiter II

Kansas · 2021

78%
#3

Sam Wiglusz

Ohio · 2023

All-MAC
78%
#4

Victor Tucker

Charlotte · 2021

77%
#5

Jarrin Pierce

Middle Tennessee · 2020

71%

Matches Anthony on

Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Differs from Anthony on

Class year (higher)
TD rate (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ma'jon Wright’s path through Arizona.

Ma'jon Wright

99%match

Arizona · 2020

#2

Anthony Lowe

Gardner-Webb · 2025

98%
#3

Dymere Miller

Rutgers · 2024

97%
#4

Ryan Flournoy

Southeast Missouri State · 2023

NFL Rd 6
97%
#5

Kevin Concepcion

Texas A&M · 2025

All-ACC
94%

Matches Ma'jon on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Evans III's junior season at Mississippi State (2025).

Anthony Evans III

78%match

Mississippi State · 2025

#2

Gabriel Rogers

Memphis · 2022

73%
#3

Thayer Thomas

NC State · 2022

73%
#4

Jesse Matthews

San Diego State · 2022

All-Mountain West
72%
#5

Barrett Banister

Missouri · 2022

71%

Matches Anthony on

Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Differs from Anthony on

Class year (higher)
TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eli Drinkwitz

Pass share

39.6%

360 pass / 550 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2025
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri

Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSt. Louis, MO
Height5'11"
Weight180 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Mississippi State WR4 #4021 #4428 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Louisville WR4 #501 #468 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Missouri SEC WR 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 180 lb | St. Louis, MO
2024 Mississippi State SEC WR 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 180 lb | St. Louis, MO
2023 Louisville ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 180 lb | St. Louis, MO