CFB Zeitgeist Score
47
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 72nd percentile.
Keyvone Lee
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
440 RUSH YDS · 6 RUSH TD · 100 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to UNLV for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · UNLV
Returning around him
- 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +0 net (15 in / 15 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
UNLV · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #51 · 2026 recruiting class #95
RB · UNLV · MOUNTAIN WEST
Keyvone Lee
- 4
- #2
- 6-0 | 225 lb
- St. Petersburg, FL
Heisman Heat
#3080
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025-17%
Down 17% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4-star | 0.9063 | No. 273 recruit | HighSchool | Penn State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Penn State
Composite
0.9063
#273 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Keyvone Lee
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Keyvone Lee
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 14g
440Rush yards
100Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
31.4Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
440Rush yards
100Carries
6Rush TDs
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Keyvone Lee's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UNLV, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
100 78th
YDS
440 74th
YPC
4.4 44th
TD
6 89th
Receiving
REC
19 86th
YDS
164 85th
YPR
8.6 67th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-31vs Idaho State | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 1 | W 38-21@ Sam Houston | 7 | 42 | 6.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 2 | W 30-23vs UCLA | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 1 | 19 | |
| Wk 4 | W 41-38@ Miami (OH) | 11 | 47 | 4.3 | 1 | 18 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-17@ Wyoming | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | 1 | 6 | |
| Wk 7 | W 51-48vs Air Force | 6 | 59 | 9.8 | 1 | 22 | Season-high 59 yds |
| Wk 8 | L 31-56@ Boise State | 9 | 24 | 2.7 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 10 | L 35-40vs New Mexico | 6 | 17 | 2.8 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 11 | W 42-10@ Colorado State | 12 | 46 | 3.8 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 12 | W 29-26vs Utah State | 11 | 43 | 3.9 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-10vs Hawai'i | 9 | 48 | 5.3 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 14 | W 42-17@ Nevada | 7 | 10 | 1.4 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 15 | L 21-38@ Boise State | 7 | 58 | 8.3 | 0 | 21 | |
| Bowl | L 10-17@ Ohio | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Total | 100 | 440 | 5.2 | 6 | 22 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Penn State7-5HC: James Franklin · Balanced
2022Penn State11-2HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2023Mississippi State5-7HC: Greg Knox · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025UNLV10-4HC: Dan Mullen · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UNLV | 100 | 440 | 4.4 | 6 | -- |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | 12 | 75 | 6.2 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Penn State | 25 | 94 | 3.8 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Penn State | 108 | 530 | 4.9 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 245 | 1,139 | 4.6 | 8 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UNLV | 19 | 164 | 8.6 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Penn State | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | Penn State | 15 | 130 | 8.7 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 37 | 317 | 8.6 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 440 | #192/735 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 6 | #83/739 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.4 | #409/735 | 44th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 19 | #78/552 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 164 | #84/548 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.15 | #126/362 | 65th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 91 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 12.6% | #235/738 | 68th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 100 | #163/739 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 22 | #375/733 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 25 | #166/540 | 69th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.6 | #181/548 | 67th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 20.2% | #258/738 | 65th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 17.2% | #46/738 | 94th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 13.8% | #247/738 | 67th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.3% | #258/738 | 65th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 11.3% | #317/738 | 57th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.9% | #206/738 | 72nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.0% | #156/738 | 79th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 31.8 | 7.0 | 0.7 |
| Road8g | 31.1 | 3.9 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins10g | 33.6 | 5.8 | 0.5 |
| Losses4g | 26.0 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 27.7 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 35.1 | 4.0 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
47Mid-pack
Concern: fumbles lost (13th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.15Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Keyvone LeeUNLVAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 79% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 78% simRashod DubinionApp State· 76% sim
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Carries
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Long run
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Workhorse
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dylan Carson’s 2025 season.
Dylan Carson
73%match
#2
Marcus Major
73%
#3
Marco Lee
69%
#4
Dylan Downing
72%
#5
Rashad Amos
71%
Matches Dylan on
Yards / carry
EPA / carry (adj)
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Differs from Dylan on
Weight (higher)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dan Mullen
Pass share
46.5%
423 pass / 487 run
Plays / game
65.0
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
283 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
3 coaches2021
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2022
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2023era →
Barry Odom
UNLV
2025era →
Dan Mullen
UNLV
Played under 3 different head coaches: Marcus Arroyo, Barry Odom, and Dan Mullen. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSt. Petersburg, FL
Height6'0"
Weight225 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUNLV
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Mississippi State | RB4 | #3080 | #3431 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | RB4 | #1749 | #1956 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | Penn State | RB4 | #919 | #658 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Penn State | RB4 | #324 | #301 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UNLV | Mountain West | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 225 lb | St. Petersburg, FL |
| 2024 | Mississippi State | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 225 lb | St. Petersburg, FL |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 225 lb | St. Petersburg, FL |
| 2022 | Penn State | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 225 lb | St. Petersburg, FL |
| 2021 | Penn State | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 225 lb | St. Petersburg, FL |