Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 50-0vs Missouri State | 21/30 | 233 | 2 | 0 | 7.8 | — | Season-high 233 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 48-20vs Arizona State | 15/25 | 163 | 3 | 1 | 6.5 | 44.0 | 3 TD passes |
| Total | 36/55 | 396 | 5 | 1 | 7.2 | 44.0 |
#10
Marcel Reed
Marcel Reed ran and gunned Texas A&M to its first College Football Playoff. Then, before the bracket even started, he announced he was coming back. He's one cleaner season from the Heisman race -- if he can stop giving the ball away.
6′1″ · 185 lb · Nashville, TN · Montgomery Bell Academy
CFB Index 80 · #13 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceWatch-list name (model)Returning to Texas A&M for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
396
passing yards · 2026
5 TD · 1 INT · 7.2 per attempt
2 games into 2026 so far -- Backed by 439 yds · 3 TD -- top 1% passing yards game. -- Best game: 163 pass yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, vs Arizona State
The play that turned itSwung Texas A&M from 23% to 92% to win.Texas A&M at USC · 35-31
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Marcel Reed ran and gunned Texas A&M to its first College Football Playoff. Then, before the bracket even started, he announced he was coming back. He's one cleaner season from the Heisman race -- if he can stop giving the ball away.
- Signed as a 4-star recruit to Texas A&M in 2023.
- A&M QB rips Texas (Sep 1) Reported
Aura™ · Him Watch
Hype = tape
-16aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 80th percentile of QBs; the tape says
96th pctl our passing-value metric (wEPA) QBs · 160 qualified, n=200
— the discourse is fair.Aura — fan perception80th pctl
Production — on-field96th pctl
n=200 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = our passing-value metric (wEPA)
Buzz vs Tape
Fans warmer than rivals
His own fans are far more bullish than the rival fanbase.
22.7own fans
-7.4rival fans
The Miami Hurricanes beat Texas A&M 10-3 in the College Football Playoff thanks to a dominant performance in the trenches! The Hurricanes sacked Aggies QB Marcel Reed 7 times, with future first round edge rusher Rueben Bain accounting for…
Also worth knowing:
In Their Words
262 windows · 2026 fan posts
marcel×2178.0texas×16.9calls×396.0schedule×44.1interception×69.1taaffe×3267.0late×44.8gives×40.3
“On3: Texas A&M QB Marcel Reed calls out Texas”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
The story
In 2025 he threw for 3,169 yards and 25 touchdowns, ran for 493 more and six scores, and carried the Aggies to an 11-0 start and their first Playoff berth. He's a true dual-threat -- 6-1, 185, a problem with his legs and a gunslinger with his arm -- and the same aggression that produced the highlights produced 12 interceptions. He bet on himself, announcing his return before the Playoff began. The forward stakes are the tightrope every aggressive young quarterback walks: cut the giveaways without dulling the edge that makes him dangerous. Do that on a roster built for a Playoff run, and he's in the Heisman conversation. For Reed, 2026 is the year the boom-or-bust quarterback decides which one he is.
His career
He arrived as a blue-chip recruit and played like one.
Reed plays fast and fearless, and the data is a portrait of aggression. As a runner he's genuinely elite -- our play-by-play grades his rushing success rate in the 88th percentile and his EPA per carry in the 86th. As a passer he pushes the ball harder than almost anyone: a 97th-percentile average depth of target, which fuels both an 75th-percentile EPA per dropback and the interceptions (a 45th-percentile, i.e. fairly high, pick rate). The one number that lags is accuracy -- a 38th-percentile completion rate, the cost of all that downfield ambition. He's a shot-taker who runs like a back, the kind of quarterback who wins games in chunks and loses them in turnovers. The development is the trade: keep the aggression, sharpen the touch.
Written by our staff.
20233 games
- Signed with Texas A&M4-star out of Montgomery Bell Academy
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Texas A&M
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Coaching lineage · 2023–2026
2 coaches2023
Elijah Robinson
Texas A&M
Coaching transition mid-career: Elijah Robinson → Mike Elko. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
2023Texas A&M7-6HC: Elijah Robinson · Balanced
2024Texas A&M8-5HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2025Texas A&M11-2HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2026Texas A&M2-0HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score percentiles
High confidenceAscending
Concern: pass yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (7)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Passing profile
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
55 of 55 attempts matched to play-by-play
54 of 55 attempts charted for true throw depth
Adjusted ANY/A
7.2240 of 75 QBsSack rate
6.8%57 of 75 QBsSacked on 6.8% of dropbacks (57 of 75) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (40 of 75).
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Behind LOS · Negative air yds
28% of attempts (15)
93%comp
Air -3.4 · YAC 10.1 avg
Short · 0–9 air yds
31% of attempts (17)
65%comp
Air 4.6 · YAC 4.0 avg
Middle · 10–19 air yds
24% of attempts (13)
54%comp
Air 12.8 · YAC 0.7 avg
Deep · 20+ air yds
17% of attempts (9)
33%comp1 INT
Air 29.9 · YAC 5.0 avg
Overall 65.5% completion on 55 attempts · 33% completion on 9 deep attempts (20+ air yds).
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 198 YDS/g, 2.5 TD/g, 7.2 YPA, 0.5 INT/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Elko
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Watch-list name (model)
Our Heisman model has him inside the top 25; he is not on a published award watch list yet.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
Heisman market1.4%full market ›
In the mix for All-SEC
Based on 2025: #3 of 16 SEC QBs
How the All-SEC estimate is computed
49% estimated, 95% confidence interval 43–54%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.
Career stats
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2026
W 48–20
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 2 · Arizona State · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.90(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete deep right to #1 M.Craver caught at ASU10, for 33 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:20, 1ST DOWN #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #31 S.Freibaum)
- Week 1 · Missouri State · 2&9 · Q1 · EPA -2.71(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed sacked for loss of 9 yards to the MSU44 (#33 A.Mattison)
- Week 2 · Arizona State · 3&4 · Q2 · EPA +2.70(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short middle to #7 I.Horton caught at ASU00, for 4 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:15 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #31 S.Freibaum)
- Week 1 · Missouri State · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.62(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #6 T.Bussey caught at MSU49, for 18 yards to the MSU49, out of bounds at MSU49, 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Arizona State · 3&5 · Q2 · EPA +2.55(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #6 T.Bussey caught at TAMU45, for 16 yards to the TAMU46 (#6 A.Wilson), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Missouri State · 2&5 · Q1 · EPA +2.54(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #7 I.Horton caught at MSU06, for 15 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32, 1ST DOWN #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #31 S.Freibaum)
- Week 1 · Missouri State · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.53Mario Craver 12 Yd pass from Marcel Reed (David Olano Kick)
- Week 1 · Missouri State · 4&5 · Q3 · EPA +2.49(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short middle to #11 K.Johnson caught at MSU34, for 6 yards to the MSU33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Missouri State · 3&13 · Q3 · EPA +2.44(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #4 R.Owens II caught at MSU37, for 18 yards to the MSU18 (#8 J.Kpassou), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Arizona State · 2&6 · Q4 · EPA -2.22(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TAMU44 (#7 M.Warren)
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Reed plays fast and fearless, and the data is a portrait of aggression. As a runner he's genuinely elite -- our play-by-play grades his rushing success rate in the 88th percentile and his EPA per carry in the 86th. As a passer he pushes the ball harder than almost anyone: a 97th-percentile average depth of target, which fuels both an 75th-percentile EPA per dropback and the interceptions (a 45th-percentile, i.e. fairly high, pick rate). The one number that lags is accuracy -- a 38th-percentile completion rate, the cost of all that downfield ambition. He's a shot-taker who runs like a back, the kind of quarterback who wins games in chunks and loses them in turnovers. The development is the trade: keep the aggression, sharpen the touch.
Our classifier reads him the same way: beats you with his legs when the pocket breaks down.
2026 Outlook
Texas A&M
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Texas A&M · editorial
Returning around him
- 73% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 10 Texas A&M players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -2 net (19 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
- Davey O'Brien
- Heisman Watch
Texas A&M · Last season: 11-2 (AP #7) · Talent rank #7 · 2026 recruiting class #10
DNA match
Player DNA
Dual Threat
Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kevin Jennings’s 2024 season.
Matches Kevin on
Yards / attempt
Completion %
Height
Differs from Kevin on
Recruiting rating (higher)
TD rate (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kaleb Eleby’s path through Western Michigan.
86%match
All-MAC
Matches Kaleb on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kevin Jennings's junior season at SMU (2024).
64%match
All-ACC
#4
Byron Young
All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 7
47%
Matches Kevin on
Completion %
Height
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Differs from Kevin on
Class year (lower)
EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)
Player DNA
Players who play like Marcel Reed
Heisman trajectory
Heisman futures · sportsbook market
#14 in market ▼ from #11 · 6 books
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peak #7
Peaked at #7 — top-10 conversation.
Background
SEC Freshman of the Week (9/16/24) SEC Freshman of the Week (10/28/24) Shaun Alexander Player of the Week (10/29/24) Davey O'Brien National QB of the Week (10/29/24) 2024 (FRESHMAN): Started eight of 11 games he appeared in, including three straight wins in his first three career starts ... Ranke...
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology