CFB Zeitgeist Score
74
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.
Owen Long
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
148 TACKLES · 2 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Arizona State
2025Colorado State
2026Arizona State
LB · COLORADO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Owen Long
- 2
- #40
- 6-1 | 195 lb
- Whittier, CA
Heisman Heat
#13777
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP LB AWARD
Butkus
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Colorado State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8417 | No. 1794 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Colorado State -> Arizona State | 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Colorado State
Composite
0.8417
#1794 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Owen Long
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Owen Long
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 12g
148Tackles
5Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
12Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
160Tackles
5.4Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 148.
✓ Hit 100-tackle season · finished with 148.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Owen Long is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Colorado State's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
148 100th
SOLO
58 99th
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
2.0 90th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
5 90th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 21-38@ Washington | 13 | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 21-17vs Northern Colorado | 11 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | L 16-17vs UTSA | 14 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | L 3-20vs Washington State | 14 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 6 | L 24-45@ San Diego State | 16 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 49-21vs Fresno State | 17 | 9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 1 | Season-high 17 tackles |
| Wk 8 | L 19-31vs Hawai'i | 8 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | L 0-28@ Wyoming | 10 | 6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-42vs UNLV | 7 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 12 | L 17-20@ New Mexico | 12 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | L 21-49@ Boise State | 9 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 21-42vs Air Force | 17 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 148 | 58 | 5.0 | 2.0 | — | 5 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Colorado State2-10HC: Jay Norvell · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | 148 | 58 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 5 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 148 | 58 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 5 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 148 | #1/4942 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 5.0 | #553/4972 | 89th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 2.0 | #491/4972 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 5 | #218/2184 | 90th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 58 | #29/4584 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 2 | #13/736 | 98th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 12.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Road5g | 12.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 14.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Losses10g | 12.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 14.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 10.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort
74Solid starter
Elite: tackles (99th). Strength: solo tackles (98th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · LB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Owen LongColorado StateNick AndersenWake Forest· 95% simAhmaad MosesSMU· 92% simBrevin HamblinUtah State· 90% sim
Tackles
Solo tackles
Passes defended
Sacks
Tackles for loss
Forced fumbles
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Every-Down Linebacker
Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.
LB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Baron Hopson’s 2025 season.
Baron Hopson
44%match
#2
Colin Ramos
All-AAC
43%
#3
Jordan Pollard
All-Mountain West
42%
#4
Chris Bergin
All-Big Ten
40%
#5
Jaden Yates
All-Sun Belt
39%
Matches Baron on
Tackle volume
PD rate
TFL rate
Differs from Baron on
Class year (lower)
Weight (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Chad Muma's sophomore season at Wyoming (2021).
Chad Muma
62%match
All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 3 · Pk 6
#2
Chris Jones
61%
#3
Baron Hopson
56%
#4
Kyle Harmon
All-Mountain West
51%
#5
Chris Bergin
All-Big Ten
49%
Matches Chad on
TFL rate
Tackle volume
Differs from Chad on
Class year (lower)
Height (lower)
Weight (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jay Norvell
Pass share
52.1%
393 pass / 362 run
Plays / game
62.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.1%
315 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
Played his entire career under Jay Norvell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownWhittier, CA
Height6'1"
Weight195 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey40
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamColorado State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Colorado State | Mountain West | LB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Colorado State | LB2 | #13777 | #13760 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | Mountain West | LB | 2 | No. 40 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Whittier, CA |
| 2024 | Colorado State | Mountain West | LB | 2 | No. 40 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Whittier, CA |