Arizona State routs Morgan State 70-7

Morgan State1-17
Arizona State1-070Final
Sat, Sep 5 · Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Ariz. · Crowd 54,004ESPN+

Arizona State routed Morgan State 70-7.

We had Arizona State favored. It won.

Next: Morgan State beat Virginia Lynchburg 55-0, Sat Sep 12

Next: Arizona State lost to Texas A&M 48-20, Sat Sep 12

Top comment in the game thread

It's one of the smartest and most logical things I've ever heard actually and I'm glad you're here

Q1 12:10 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 5

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Arizona State a 94% chance, and the closing betting line (Arizona State was a 43.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Arizona State led by 21 after the first quarter and by 42 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+63+63
FinalArizona State 70-7 Morgan StateArizona State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
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No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 12:10Arizona State fans celebrate Boley's touchdown pass to MillerQuoted at the top of the page.
  2. Q1 6:43Officials overturn interception, ASU fans celebrate lucky call and Gillis touchdownBad call, thats a good play from the Morgan State player. The running game looks good but I am concerned about the pass.r/CFB game thread
  3. Q2 13:28Boley throws 54-yard touchdown pass to Rigdon, extending Arizona State lead to 35-7WMU got beyond robbed WTFr/CFB game thread
Arizona State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Arizona State -43.5), at 100% for Arizona State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Arizona State’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 13:26Brown 46-yd TD runArizona State goes ahead 7-0Q1, 13:26 · Arizona State 7, Morgan State 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playBig 12 Conference
  2. Q1, 12:10Boley 10-yd TD pass to MillerArizona State leads 14-0Q1, 12:10 · Arizona State 14, Morgan State 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playBig 12 Conference
  3. Q1, 11:20Edge sacked for a 6-yd lossQ1, 11:20 · Arizona State 14, Morgan State 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playBig 12 Conference
  4. Q1, 4:20Barnett 2-yd TD runcuts it to 21-7Q1, 4:20 · Arizona State 21, Morgan State 721-7score after the play21-7score after the playWatch from this playBig 12 Conference
  5. Q1, 2:45Boley 28-yd TD pass to HarrisArizona State leads 28-7Q1, 2:45 · Arizona State 28, Morgan State 728-7score after the play28-7score after the playWatch from this playBig 12 Conference
  6. Q2, 13:28Boley 54-yd TD pass to RigdonArizona State leads 35-7Q2, 13:28 · Arizona State 35, Morgan State 735-7score after the play35-7score after the playWatch from this playBig 12 Conference
  7. Q2, 1:56Boley 8-yd TD pass to HarrisArizona State leads 49-7Q2, 1:56 · Arizona State 49, Morgan State 749-7score after the play49-7score after the playWatch from this playBig 12 Conference
  8. Q3, 13:14Boley 56-yd TD pass to RigdonArizona State leads 56-7Q3, 13:14 · Arizona State 56, Morgan State 756-7score after the play56-7score after the playWatch from this playBig 12 Conference

Every drive

Arizona State scored on 10 of its 12 drives; Morgan State on 1 of its 12.

Arizona State’s drives are teal, Morgan State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Morgan State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntArizona State: Touchdown, from 54 yards out to 0TouchdownArizona State: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownMorgan State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 80PuntArizona State: Fumble, from 63 yards out to 41FumbleMorgan State: Turned over on downs, from 59 yards out to 50DownsArizona State: Touchdown, from 50 yards out to 0TouchdownMorgan State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownArizona State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownMorgan State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 65PuntQ2Arizona State: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownMorgan State: Punt, from 73 yards out to 72PuntArizona State: Touchdown, from 81 yards out to 0TouchdownMorgan State: Punt, from 85 yards out to 72PuntArizona State: Touchdown, from 63 yards out to 0TouchdownMorgan State: End of half, from 75 yards out to 63End of halfQ3Arizona State: Touchdown, from 63 yards out to 0TouchdownMorgan State: Punt, from 35 yards out to 31PuntArizona State: Touchdown, from 66 yards out to 0TouchdownMorgan State: Punt, from 88 yards out to 86PuntArizona State: Touchdown, from 36 yards out to 0TouchdownMorgan State: Punt, from 82 yards out to 45PuntQ4Arizona State: Turned over on downs, from 80 yards out to 37DownsMorgan State: End of game, from 63 yards out to 40End of game
“Alright let’s just run it for the rest of the season”
An Arizona State fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

The biggest reaction came in the first quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthArizona State fansMorgan State fansusual

Never in doubt.

Box score

Arizona State 70, Morgan State 7

Arizona State covered −43.5 by 19.5. The total, 77, went over 52.5.

Morgan StateArizona StateTotal yardsMorgan State 188Arizona State 681188681Passing yardsMorgan State 86Arizona State 43286432Rushing yardsMorgan State 102Arizona State 249102249First downsMorgan State 11Arizona State 321132TurnoversMorgan State 0Arizona State 101Time of possessionMorgan State 30:12Arizona State 29:4830:1229:48
Team totalsMorgan StateArizona State
Total yards188681
Passing11 of 24, 86 yds26 of 36, 432 yds
Rushing25 for 102 yds35 for 249 yds
First downs1132
Third down3 of 125 of 10
Fourth down0 of 14 of 5
Turnovers01
Penalties5 for 37 yds4 for 22 yds
Time of possession30:1229:48

Morgan State leaders

  • Passing Cameron Edge 6 of 15, 54 yds
  • Rushing Marquez Spells 1 for 39 yds; Keith Jenkins Jr. 7 for 25 yds
  • Receiving Justin Perry 3 for 21 yds; Joseph Kennerly 1 for 19 yds

Arizona State leaders

  • Passing Cutter Boley 21 of 27, 387 yds, 6 TD
  • Rushing Kyson Brown 6 for 80 yds, 1 TD; Jason Brown Jr. 5 for 60 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Reed Harris 6 for 137 yds, 2 TD; Grayson Rigdon 2 for 110 yds, 2 TD

No rain and calm

98° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 9 mph from the northwest, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 20

September game-day temperatures at Mountain America Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Arizona State favoredMorgan State favored100%Win chanceArizona StateRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphTemperature and feels likedegrees F85°105°feels like 93°air 95°
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Arizona State favoredMorgan State favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Temperature and feels like · degrees F85°105°feels like 93°air 95°

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:56 left7:03 p.m.
Morgan State 0, Arizona State 0 · Arizona State 100% to win
no rain · wind 13 mph from the northwest, mostly across the field · 98°
Edge incomplete to Towler
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Phoenix/sky Harbor airport, 4.6 miles away, and Mesa/falcon Field, 12 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Morgan State · 4-8

Rated 218th in our preseason ratings, 218th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 14-33 vs North Carolina Central #132 of 667

lost by 19 as a 9.5-point underdog

W 35-28 @ Norfolk State #241 of 667

won by 7 as a 5.5-point favorite

L 12-14 vs Delaware State #172 of 667

lost by 2 as a 3.5-point underdog

L 30-36 @ South Carolina State #150 of 667

lost by 6 as an 11.5-point underdog

L 27-33 @ Howard #219 of 667

lost by 6 as a 1-point favorite

W 44-6 vs Virginia Lynchburg

Morgan State won 44-6 vs Virginia Lynchburg. Chance to win started at 58%, low 57%, high better than 99%.

L 24-27 @ Georgetown #241 of 667

lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 24-17 vs Miles #350 of 667

W 27-0 vs Central State #407 of 667

L 0-60 @ Toledo #51 of 667

lost by 60 as a 33.5-point underdog

Morgan State lost 0-60 at Toledo. Chance to win started at 2%, low under 1%, high 2%.

L 22-27 vs Towson #144 of 667

lost by 5 as a 10-point underdog

L 21-38 @ South Alabama #75 of 667

lost by 17 as a 28.5-point underdog

Morgan State lost 21-38 at South Alabama. Chance to win started at 3%, low under 1%, high 10%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Arizona State · 8-5

Rated 54th in our preseason ratings.

L 39-42 @ Duke #54 of 667

lost by 3 as a 4-point underdog

Arizona State lost 39-42 vs Duke. Chance to win started at 31%, low 10%, high 74%.

L 7-23 vs ArizonaTop 25 #34 of 667

lost by 16 as a 2.5-point underdog

Arizona State lost 7-23 vs Arizona. Chance to win started at 52%, low 3%, high 80%.

W 42-17 @ Colorado #106 of 667

won by 25 as a 6.5-point favorite

Arizona State won 42-17 at Colorado. Chance to win started at 60%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

W 25-23 vs West Virginia #79 of 667

won by 2 as a 9.5-point favorite

Arizona State won 25-23 vs West Virginia. Chance to win started at 80%, low 61%, high 98%.

W 24-19 @ Iowa StateTop 25 #48 of 667

won by 5 as an 8.5-point underdog

Arizona State won 24-19 at Iowa State. Chance to win started at 21%, low 13%, high 85%.

L 16-24 vs HoustonTop 25 #62 of 667

lost by 8 as a 7.5-point favorite

Arizona State lost 16-24 vs Houston. Chance to win started at 76%, low under 1%, high 77%.

W 26-22 vs Texas TechTop 25 #14 of 667

won by 4 as an 8.5-point underdog

Arizona State won 26-22 vs Texas Tech. Chance to win started at 35%, low 11%, high better than 99%.

L 10-42 @ UtahTop 25 #17 of 667

lost by 32 as an 8.5-point underdog

Arizona State lost 10-42 at Utah. Chance to win started at 23%, low under 1%, high 23%.

W 27-24 vs TCUTop 25 #29 of 667

won by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

Arizona State won 27-24 vs TCU. Chance to win started at 66%, low 12%, high better than 99%.

W 27-24 @ Baylor #31 of 667

won by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog

Arizona State won 27-24 at Baylor. Chance to win started at 34%, low 26%, high better than 99%.

W 34-15 vs Texas State #64 of 667

won by 19 as an 18.5-point favorite

Arizona State won 34-15 vs Texas State. Chance to win started at 92%, low 88%, high better than 99%.

L 20-24 @ Mississippi State #39 of 667

lost by 4 as a 5.5-point favorite

Arizona State lost 20-24 at Mississippi State. Chance to win started at 61%, low 5%, high 89%.

W 38-19 vs Northern Arizona #155 of 667

won by 19 as a 29.5-point favorite

Arizona State won 38-19 vs Northern Arizona. Chance to win started at 98%, low 98%, high better than 99%.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Arizona State’s chances here.

50-50Model 94% · Line 100%Morgan StateArizona State

Arizona State favored by 43.5 · Total 52.5

How games like this usually go

Arizona State by 43.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Arizona State.

opened −41.5now −43.5

Spread: −41.5 → −43.5

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 96° at kickoff.

Morgan State at Arizona State · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Mountain America Stadium, Tempe

  • 96°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 65weather score, Rough
  • Middleof the day's 3 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 3 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was in the middle of the day's three kickoff times. At Mountain America Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 68, against 65 at 6:30 pm.

  • 12:30 pm: 44, Harsh
  • 6:30 pm: 65, Rough (this game)
  • 7:30 pm: 68, Rough

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Arizona State is worth +1.8 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 16th percentile.

61% at home, 40% on the road against FBS opponents (28-18 home, 17-25 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -4.8 at home vs. away over 93 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 1,995 miles to get here.

The story going in

Where next