Arizona State
1-1Big 12 · Kenny Dillingham, year 4 (23-18) · Mountain America Stadium · 65,870 · 54,004 avg in 2026
LastL 20–48 at Texas A&M · Sat Sep 12 · Reed Harris 189 rec yds, 2 TD
Nextvs Kansas · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Wembley Stadium · Arizona State by 5.5 · series 1-0 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 83 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.43 EPA/play | 8 | 2 | 42 / 61 | 68.9 | 641 #16 FBS | 10.5 | 8 #3 FBS | 2 | 193.8 | 66 | 72.2 | 11.1 | 3.2 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +1.36 EPA/play | 3 | 2 | 15 | 326 #4 FBS | 21.7 | 4 #5 FBS | 58 | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Harris beats you over the top. Freeman is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception22.5 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.4 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Reed Harris's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.17 EPA/play | 4 | 2 | 17 | 131 | 7.7 | 1 | 25 | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Miller moves the chains on third down. Freeman is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception8.2 bottom 12th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume17 91th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Omarion Miller's full player page | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 23 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 2 | 2/2 | 100 | 10/10 | 16 | 35 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -0.7 | 0 | 7 |
2026 stat leaders · Arizona State
through 2 games
2026 stat leaders · Arizona StateReed Harris leads Arizona State with 326 receiving yards through 2 games.
How They Play · 2025Arizona State fields a limited offense behind a strong defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Arizona State reads strongest in rushing epa allowed (top 34%) and rushing epa (top 36%); the crux lives in success rate, where Arizona State sits at the 24th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · Arizona State · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Arizona State is worth +1.8 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 15th percentile of 133 programs
61% at home, 41% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (27–17 home, 17–24 away). Interval ±3.9.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Arizona State has beaten the number by −2.7 more at home than away over 74 games — inside the ±6.8 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Mountain America Stadium seats 65,870 and has averaged 75% full (49,223, 28 games reported). Visitors face the 19th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 637 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads bottom third of fbs. 14% of the 2026 roster (14 of 103 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 49 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
Tendency drift
Season by season
How Arizona State’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
Pass-depth identity
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Arizona State’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.5% vs 68.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 62-play sample) — mid-pack, 27 of 41 qualifying offenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Arizona State
Most similar programs · Arizona StateReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Historical echo
Arizona State’s breakout has happened before — and 1 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Conditions
86°F average kickoff temp; 0% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 75 home games with weather data.