Next game: vs Arkansas
Auburn’s best edge on Arkansas is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Auburn offense against Arkansas defense
Arkansas offense against Auburn defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.28 EPA/play | 17 | 8 | 158 / 246 | 64.2 | 1557 #74 FBS | 6.3 | 9 | 7 | 123.8 | 34 | 71.0 | 4.6 | 11.5 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Impact starter — 246 pass attempts, 139 carries and 1 catch in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than nearly every FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Brown extends plays on the move until something opens up. Taylor is the one who pushes it downfield on every look. Season receipt Rush usage36.1% 93th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Yards / attempt6.9 bottom 23th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Byrum Brown's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +1.04 EPA/play | 10 | 4 | 11 / 16 | 68.8 | 137 | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 140.7 | — | 95.6 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.19 EPA/play | 23 | 8 | 69 | 355 | 5.1 | 2 | 21 | 7.2 | 15.9 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 69 carries and 11 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Cobb does a little of everything without one standout trait. Bothwell is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry5.7 64th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception4.9 bottom 17th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jeremiah Cobb's full player page | ||||||||||
| Satellite Back · +0.05 EPA/play | 29 | 7 | 47 | 254 | 5.4 | 1 | 39 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 47 carries and 9 catches in 7 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Ii wins in space out of the backfield. Bothwell is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Receiving share16.1% 84th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Omar Mabson Ii's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.11 EPA/play | 30 | 5 | 21 | 76 | 3.6 | 0 | 22 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.46 EPA/play | 11 | 8 | 39 | 433 | 11.1 | 2 | 48 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. Starter — 39 catches in 8 games, more catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week. This week's matchup — WR Singleton moves the chains on third down. III is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception11.8 bottom 32th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume39 88th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Keshaun Singleton's full player page | ||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.54 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 37 | 402 | 10.9 | 4 #70 FBS | 35 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. 37 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Nimrod wins underneath on volume and route precision. III is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Reception volume37 84th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Chas Nimrod's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.89 EPA/play | 4 | 7 | 14 | 230 | 16.4 | 0 | 45 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Koger moves the chains on third down. III is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception13.6 51th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jeremiah Koger's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.53 EPA/play | 9 | 5 | 13 | 149 | 11.5 | 2 | 25 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2026 class View DeShawn Spencer's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.79 EPA/play | 19 | 6 | 12 | 104 | 8.7 | 0 | 19 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Johnson shows up in the passing game from any alignment. West is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception7.0 bottom 14th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 13th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jake Johnson's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.87 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 12 | 92 | 7.7 | 0 | 23 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Neptune moves the chains on third down. III is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception8.8 bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Christian Neptune's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.32 EPA/play | 82 | 6 | 7 | 65 | 9.3 | 1 | 18 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.26 EPA/play | 1 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 22 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nose Anchor | 35 | 8 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Starter — 25 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight345 lb 99th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Dallas Walker IV's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 94 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 23 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Cody Sigler's full player pageWeight308 lb 80th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 95 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 20 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight330 lb 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jourdin Crawford's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 13 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Chris Murray's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 96 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate23.1% 76th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Malik Autry's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 11 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.5% bottom 41th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Darrion Smith's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 10 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.0% 91th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Walter Mathis Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thumper | 9 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 9 #31 FBS | 4 | 6 | 1 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. Starter — 63 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.3% 80th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate9.5% 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Elijah Melendez's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 16 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 39 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 89th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Bryce Deas's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 17 | 5 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 7.5 #73 FBS | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 37 tackles in 5 games. More tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The rare part: he ranges sideline to sideline — and he lives in the backfield, too 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.7 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate20.3% 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Xavier Atkins's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 15 | 7 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 19 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Da'Shawn Womack's full player page | |||||||||
| Power Rusher | 41 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | 1 |
Power rusherBull-rushes through contact, winning with size and length at the point of attack. 8 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate21.4% 59th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jared Smith's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 90 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Nate Johnson's full player page | |||||||||
| 6 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 8 | 8 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 49 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume49 92th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kaleb Harris's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 5 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 48 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume48 91th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Eric Winters's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 4 | 7 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.0% bottom 44th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Rayshawn Pleasant's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 1 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Champ Anthony's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 8 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2023 class View Sylvester Smith's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 22 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 2 #51 FBS | 0 | 0 |
Cover corner· Takeaway threatSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Andre Jordan's full player page | |||||||
| 3 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 2 #51 FBS | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 21 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Leg | 38 | 8 | 8/10 | 80 | 21/22 | 45 | 55 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 14 | 8 | 38 | 1601 | 42.1 | 69 | 14 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.21 EPA/play | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Biggest plays from Auburn’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Auburn’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:58 · Georgia tiedG. Stockton fumbles and Auburn recoversAuburn at Georgia, week 7Q4, 0:58 · Georgia 24, Auburn 24▼24%Georgia’s chance to win, 89% to 65%▼24%Georgia’s chance to win, 89% to 65%G.Stockton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB44 fumbled by G.Stockton at AUB48 forced by C.Sigler recovered by AUB S.Smith-Reed at AUB44, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
Q2, 14:49 · Florida up 4Duke Clark runs 20 yards for a touchdownFlorida at Auburn, week 3Q2, 14:49 · Florida 14, Auburn 3▲21%Florida’s chance to win, 65% to 86%▲21%Florida’s chance to win, 65% to 86%D.Clark rush right for 20 yards gain to the AUB00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q2, 12:38 · Auburn down 11Jeremiah Cobb runs 2 yards for a touchdownFlorida at Auburn, week 3Q2, 12:38 · Auburn 10, Florida 14Auburn answered right backAuburn answered right backJ.Cobb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FLA00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 5:21 · Auburn down 7, ties itByrum Brown finds Keshaun Singleton for a 4-yard touchdownFlorida at Auburn, week 3Q2, 5:21 · Auburn 17, Florida 17Auburn tied the game in the second quarterAuburn tied the game in the second quarterB.Brown pass complete short middle to K.Singleton caught at FLA00, for 4 yards to the FLA00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 2:58 · Georgia down 7, ties itGunner Stockton finds London Humphreys for a 4-yard touchdownAuburn at Georgia, week 7Q4, 2:58 · Georgia 24, Auburn 242:58Game-tying touchdown for Georgia with 2:58 left2:58Game-tying touchdown for Georgia with 2:58 leftGame-tying touchdown for Georgia with 2:58 leftG.Stockton pass complete short left to L.Humphreys caught at AUB00, for 4 yards to the AUB00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q3, 5:15 · Tennessee up 3DeSean Bishop runs 44 yards for a touchdownAuburn at Tennessee, week 5Q3, 5:15 · Tennessee 17, Auburn 7▲18%Tennessee’s chance to win, 75% to 93%▲18%Tennessee’s chance to win, 75% to 93%D.Bishop rush middle for 44 yards gain to the AUBURN00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Auburn lost at Tennessee after being 67% to win; the closest win was at Georgia, down to 7%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Auburn during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Auburn
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · AuburnElijah Melendez leads Auburn with 63 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+21 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Auburn fields a limited explosive, big-play offense behind a solid, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Auburn reads strongest in explosive plays (top 15%) and explosive plays allowed (top 25%); the crux lives in red-zone defense, where Auburn sits at the 7th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Auburn is worth +5.6 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 76th percentile of 133 programs
55% at home, 36% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (29-24 home, 14-25 away). Interval ±3.8.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Auburn has beaten the number by −2.8 more at home than away over 99 games. That is inside the ±5.3 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Jordan-Hare Stadium seats 87,451 and has averaged 99% full (86,653, 34 games reported). Visitors cover a median 308 miles to get here since 2018 — 37th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 29% of the 2026 roster (31 of 108 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 60 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatPerry Thompson is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Jeremiah Cobb and Omar Mabson Ii split the carries (68/115 vs 47/115) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Keshaun Singleton (WR) and Jake Johnson (TE) split the targets (64/79 vs 15/79) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Auburn actually scores
34th percentile quality, 59th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Auburn’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 54th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 55th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Auburn hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
14th percentile success on standard downs, 69th on passing downs — a 55-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Auburn by half
1st-half offense ranks 27th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 46th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Auburn’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.10; 51st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.16 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Auburn’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.1% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 237-play sample) — mid-pack, 86 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Auburn’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 236-play sample) — mid-pack, 79 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 33% of the fumbles they've forced — running cold vs. the ~48% league rate.
3 of 9 forced fumbles recovered; 3 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 26% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~18% league rate.
9 interceptions of 34 disrupted passes (25 deflected, 9 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The penalty battle is a wash: 63 penalties committed vs. 63 drawn on opponents.
523 penalty yards committed vs. 541 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Auburn
Most similar programs · AuburnReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 60°, between 51° and 70° in about 7 in 10 games (34 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 65°, and 8 in 10 ran between 50° and 84° (45 road games).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.