Coastal Carolina

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COLUMN: WVU football needs boost of confidence to start 2026 season over Coastal Carolina - dominionpost.comour readThe App State rivalry

Sun Belt · Ryan Beard, year 1 (1-1) · Brooks Stadium (SC) · 21,000 · 18,113 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#135 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #110 (-12.1) · FPI #111
The marketDelaware by 5at Delaware · our model 8% Coastal Carolina · a number, not a pick

LastW 45–7 vs Fordham · Sat Sep 12 · Deuce Bailey 203 pass yds, 3 TD, 21 rush yds

Nextat Delaware · Sat Sep 19 · 11:30 am ET · Delaware Stadium · Delaware by 5 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
34.5
Pts allowed/game
19.0
Total yards/gmT-#50 / 138 · 63rd pct
442.5
Rush yards/gmT-#86 / 138 · 37th pct
151.5
Pass yards/gm#38 / 138 · 73rd pct
291.0
Yards allowed/gm#61 / 138 · 56th pct
314.0
Rush yds allowed/gmT-#117 / 138 · 15th pct
197.5
SacksT-#38 / 138 · 65th pct
5
InterceptionsT-#17 / 115 · 81st pct
3
3rd-down convT-#96 / 138 · 30th pct
34.8%
All 82 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
885442.5/gm6.65/playT-#50 / 138 · 63rd pctT-#35 / 70 · 50th pct#3 / 14 · 82nd pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
628314.0/gm4.87/play#61 / 138 · 56th pct#45 / 70 · 36th pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
303151.5/gm2.28/playT-#86 / 138 · 37th pctT-#45 / 70 · 35th pct#11 / 14 · 25th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
395197.5/gm3.06/playT-#117 / 138 · 15th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pct#11 / 14 · 25th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6834.0/gmT-#88 / 138 · 35th pctT-#45 / 70 · 36th pctT-#10 / 14 · 29th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
9447.0/gmT-#129 / 138 · 6th pctT-#69 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
31.5/gmT-#77 / 138 · 34th pctT-#45 / 70 · 29th pctT-#9 / 14 · 25th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#86 / 138 · 31st pctT-#57 / 70 · 16th pctT-#9 / 14 · 32nd pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
582291.0/gm4.38/play#38 / 138 · 73rd pct#22 / 70 · 69th pct#3 / 14 · 82nd pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
233116.5/gm1.81/play#9 / 138 · 94th pct#8 / 70 · 89th pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
6532.5/gmT-#49 / 138 · 64th pctT-#24 / 70 · 66th pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
3517.5/gmT-#2 / 138 · 99th pctT-#2 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3417.0/gmT-#86 / 138 · 36th pctT-#53 / 70 · 24th pctT-#7 / 14 · 46th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
2010.0/gmT-#5 / 138 · 96th pctT-#5 / 70 · 93rd pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
63.0/gmT-#17 / 138 · 83rd pctT-#14 / 70 · 74th pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#45 / 138 · 57th pctT-#29 / 70 · 46th pctT-#4 / 14 · 64th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Passer rating#53 / 115 · 54th pct#38 / 60 · 38th pct#6 / 13 · 58th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
148.8148.8
Interceptions thrown
Team
00.0/gmT-#92 / 138 · 17th pctT-#42 / 70 · 21st pctT-#9 / 14 · 21st pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#110 / 138 · 16th pctT-#60 / 70 · 11th pctT-#9 / 14 · 36th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
52.5/gmT-#38 / 138 · 65th pctT-#21 / 70 · 60th pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
73.5/gmT-#127 / 138 · 7th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pctT-#12 / 14 · 14th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
126.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 59th pctT-#33 / 70 · 51st pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
136.5/gmT-#109 / 138 · 18th pctT-#63 / 70 · 9th pctT-#10 / 14 · 29th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
4522.5/gmT-#59 / 138 · 56th pctT-#38 / 70 · 45th pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
2914.5/gmT-#35 / 138 · 74th pctT-#30 / 70 · 57th pctT-#3 / 14 · 79th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
84.0/gmT-#104 / 138 · 21st pctT-#57 / 70 · 15th pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
115.5/gmT-#80 / 138 · 39th pctT-#50 / 70 · 28th pctT-#6 / 14 · 57th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2311.5/gmT-#91 / 138 · 30th pctT-#43 / 70 · 34th pctT-#8 / 14 · 43rd pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
2914.5/gmT-#79 / 138 · 40th pctT-#41 / 70 · 39th pctT-#9 / 14 · 36th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
10.5/gmT-#85 / 138 · 29th pctT-#44 / 70 · 32nd pctT-#8 / 14 · 32nd pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 70 · 61st pctT-#4 / 14 · 54th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
31.5/gmT-#66 / 138 · 41st pctT-#35 / 70 · 44th pctT-#6 / 14 · 46th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#3 / 138 · 92nd pctT-#2 / 70 · 92nd pctT-#1 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
56:5928:30/gm#104 / 138 · 25th pct#55 / 70 · 22nd pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp
63:0131:30/gm#94 / 138 · 32nd pct#55 / 70 · 22nd pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.29 EPA/play2233 / 6253.2576
#22 FBS		9.36
#14 FBS		0163.2413010.17.5
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+1.95 EPA/play1426154
#62 FBS		25.72
#24 FBS		65
+1.35 EPA/play82610918.23
#9 FBS		37

2026 stat leaders · Coastal Carolina

through 2 games

Marcellius Pulliam leads Coastal Carolina with 18 tackles through 2 games.

1. Marcellius Pulliam LB 18 tackles
2. Jordan Thompson LB 16 tackles
3. Deuce Bailey QB 576 passing yards
4. Colton Hinton WR 154 receiving yards
5. Clayton Coppock WR 109 receiving yards
How They Play · 2025

Coastal Carolina fields a struggling explosive, big-play offense behind a leaky defense.

Offense
14th pct EPA/play
Tempo
68th pct explosiveness
Defense
33rd pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Coastal Carolina · 2025

Coastal Carolina reads strongest in explosive plays (top 32%) and explosive plays allowed (top 55%); the crux lives in success rate, where Coastal Carolina sits at the 9th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.06
14th
Success Rate +0.36
9th
Explosive Plays +1.30
68th
Rushing EPA -0.01
12th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.18
33rd
Success Rate Allowed +0.43
31st
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.27
46th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.27
42nd

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.12
13th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.19
10th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 13 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Coastal Carolina · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Coastal Carolina has had no measurable home edge — +0.9 points, home against road.

No measurable home edge, 5th percentile of 133 programs

62% at home, 53% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (26–16 home, 25–22 away). Interval ±4.6.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Coastal Carolina has beaten the number by −4.4 more at home than away over 74 games — inside the ±7.6 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Brooks Stadium (SC) seats 21,000 and has averaged 84% full (17,650, 25 games reported). Visitors cover a median 372 miles to get here since 2018 — 61st-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 8% of the 2026 roster (8 of 98 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 50 home games since 2018.

Home26–16Away25–22Edge+0.9 ±4.6Visitor trip372 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Coastal Carolina hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

61st percentile success on standard downs, 52nd on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantCoastal CarolinaWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i18th standard · 41st passingUNLV51st standard · 7th passingStanford76th standard · 15th passingEastern Michigan52nd standard · 10th passingSan José State54th standard · 22nd passingNew Mexico State45th standard · 75th passingSacramento State23rd standard · 14th passingOklahoma State41st standard · 49th passingDuke20th standard · 29th passingFlorida State28th standard · 65th passingRutgers30th standard · 71st passingKansas70th standard · 35th passingBoston College27th standard · 56th passingNorfolk State16th standard · 9th passingLouisville96th standard · 70th passingMissouri36th standard · 85th passingMemphis69th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Southern24th standard · 45th passingOle Miss94th standard · 50th passingJacksonville State65th standard · 82nd passingNorth Dakota State86th standard · 27th passingArizona92nd standard · 86th passingUSC97th standard · 99th passingWake Forest56th standard · 97th passingTCU93rd standard · 8th passingDelaware70th standard · 31st passingUAB65th standard · 81st passingMichigan State62nd standard · 29th passingSouth Florida91st standard · 52nd passingFlorida International46th standard · 43rd passingNavy98th standard · 59th passingWisconsin13th standard · 18th passingOregon State10th standard · 38th passingSyracuse48th standard · 64th passingOhio State90th standard · 40th passingBall State12th standard · 24th passingPittsburgh30th standard · 76th passingColorado35th standard · 77th passingGeorgia Tech58th standard · 44th passingAuburn75th standard · 55th passingBaylor40th standard · 96th passingNorth Texas49th standard · 68th passingApp State44th standard · 90th passingIowa State4th standard · 23rd passingUTSA99th standard · 29th passingArkansas60th standard · 80th passingBoise State58th standard · 46th passingOregon35th standard · 33rd passingTulsa56th standard · 1st passingTulane31st standard · 2nd passingPurdue83rd standard · 88th passingMiddle Tennessee87th standard · 68th passingVanderbilt80th standard · 12th passingSan Diego State4th standard · 40th passingLSU33rd standard · 98th passingClemson1st standard · 19th passingCentral Michigan16th standard · 6th passingTexas Tech88th standard · 48th passingMichigan2nd standard · 62nd passingWestern Michigan39th standard · 20th passingOhio38th standard · 17th passingBuffalo7th standard · 14th passingTexas72nd standard · 94th passingCoastal Carolina61st standard · 52nd passingColorado State82nd standard · 91st passingWyoming65th standard · 36th passingTexas A&M85th standard · 72nd passingLiberty14th standard · 59th passingFlorida Atlantic43rd standard · 87th passingLouisiana19th standard · 92nd passingSouth Alabama50th standard · 73rd passingTroy22nd standard · 59th passingSam Houston78th standard · 61st passingNevada77th standard · 52nd passingWestern Kentucky25th standard · 34th passingWashington State8th standard · 3rd passingWashington81st standard · 4th passingCalifornia9th standard · 25th passingCharlotte73rd standard · 83rd passingTennessee65th standard · 78th passingUtah State4th standard · 93rd passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
App State44th90th
Arizona92nd86th
Arkansas60th80th
Auburn75th55th
Ball State12th24th
Baylor40th96th
Boise State58th46th
Boston College27th56th
Buffalo7th14th
California9th25th
Central Michigan16th6th
Charlotte73rd83rd
Clemson1st19th
Coastal Carolina61st52nd
Colorado35th77th
Colorado State82nd91st
Delaware70th31st
Duke20th29th
Eastern Michigan52nd10th
Florida Atlantic43rd87th
Florida International46th43rd
Florida State28th65th
Georgia Southern24th45th
Georgia Tech58th44th
Hawai'i18th41st
Iowa State4th23rd
Jacksonville State65th82nd
Kansas70th35th
LSU33rd98th
Liberty14th59th
Louisiana19th92nd
Louisville96th70th
Memphis69th65th
Michigan2nd62nd
Michigan State62nd29th
Middle Tennessee87th68th
Missouri36th85th
Navy98th59th
Nevada77th52nd
New Mexico State45th75th
Norfolk State16th9th
North Dakota State86th27th
North Texas49th68th
Ohio38th17th
Ohio State90th40th
Oklahoma State41st49th
Ole Miss94th50th
Oregon35th33rd
Oregon State10th38th
Pittsburgh30th76th
Purdue83rd88th
Rutgers30th71st
Sacramento State23rd14th
Sam Houston78th61st
San Diego State4th40th
San José State54th22nd
South Alabama50th73rd
South Florida91st52nd
Stanford76th15th
Syracuse48th64th
TCU93rd8th
Tennessee65th78th
Texas72nd94th
Texas A&M85th72nd
Texas Tech88th48th
Troy22nd59th
Tulane31st2nd
Tulsa56th1st
UAB65th81st
UNLV51st7th
USC97th99th
UTSA99th29th
Utah State4th93rd
Vanderbilt80th12th
Wake Forest56th97th
Washington81st4th
Washington State8th3rd
Western Kentucky25th34th
Western Michigan39th20th
Wisconsin13th18th
Wyoming65th36th
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Coastal Carolina

CFB Zeitgeist

#135

-7.9

SP+

#110

-12.1

FPI

#111

-9.7

Elo

#121

1270

The national models put Coastal Carolina between 110th and 121st nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is more skeptical, at 135th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Coastal Carolina

Reads like

AkronMid-AmericanSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up frontApp StateSun BeltSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArkansasSECSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up front

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

69°F average kickoff temp; 5% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.

Based on 56 home games with weather data.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site