Next game: vs Marshall
Georgia Southern’s best edge on Marshall is passing
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Georgia Southern offense against Marshall defense
Marshall offense against Georgia Southern defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Surgeon · +0.22 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 190 / 279 | 68.1 | 1928 #29 FBS | 6.9 | 11 #57 FBS | 2 | 137.7 | 53 | 66.0 | 7.1 | 2.1 | |
Yards by week → Pocket surgeonHigh-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation. Impact starter — 279 pass attempts and 30 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Johnson picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Brown is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Completion %68.3% 80th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate0.7% 90th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Max Johnson's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.51 EPA/play | 14 | 2 | 28 / 38 | 73.7 | 275 | 7.2 | 1 | 1 | 137.9 | — | 69.4 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.21 EPA/play | 6 | 7 | 44 | 239 | 5.4 | 0 | 30 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 44 carries and 11 catches in 7 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Mbadinga wins in space out of the backfield. Jr. is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Receiving share20.0% 96th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate0.0% bottom 5th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View David Mbadinga's full player page | ||||||||||
| -0.05 EPA/play | 27 | 4 | 37 | 176 | 4.8 | 0 | 47 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| +0.15 EPA/play | 35 | 8 | 25 | 80 | 3.2 | 1 | 17 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.39 EPA/play | 88 | 8 | 34 | 435 | 12.8 | 3 | 40 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. 34 catches and 1 carry in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Taylor wins underneath on volume and route precision. Dorsey is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Reception volume34 77th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Alex Taylor's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.38 EPA/play | 19 | 8 | 48 | 409 | 8.5 | 0 | 32 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. Impact starter — 48 catches and 4 carries in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Dallas moves the chains on third down. Dorsey is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception8.9 bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume48 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Josh Dallas's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.71 EPA/play | 87 | 8 | 30 | 312 | 10.4 | 2 | 32 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. Impact starter — 30 catches in 8 games, more catches a game than most FBS tight ends who play every week. This week's matchup — TE Helms shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Hollier is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception10.7 bottom 47th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume30 94th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View River Helms's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.84 EPA/play | 81 | 7 | 18 | 272 | 15.1 | 0 | 50 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Ware moves the chains on third down. Dorsey is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception13.2 bottom 47th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jeremiah Ware's full player page | ||||||||
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.12 EPA/play | 2 | 3 | 14 | 202 | 14.4 | 2 | 57 | |
Yards by week → Jump-ball targetWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. This week's matchup — WR Hollins wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Dorsey is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt TD rate14.3% 79th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.1 bottom 12th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ashton Hollins's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · -0.23 EPA/play | 18 | 7 | 22 | 185 | 8.4 | 1 | 24 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Jr. moves the chains on third down. Dorsey is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception9.8 bottom 15th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.2 bottom 2th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Andre Greene Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| +0.42 EPA/play | 15 | 4 | 7 | 50 | 7.1 | 1 | 18 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 90 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View O'Marion Brown's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 94 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 3.5 | 2 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Elijah Fears's full player page | |||||||
| 57 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 1 | 8 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 41 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Brandon Tyson's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 4 | 8 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 10 #20 FBS | 5 #38 FBS | 2 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 38 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate26.3% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate13.2% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Anthony Bynum's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 5 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Diego Aviles's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 14 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 88th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Rashon Myles Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 9 | 8 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.7 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate25.0% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Festus Davies's full player page | |||||||||
| 18 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | |
| 97 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 43 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 34 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 98 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | |
| 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 44 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 8 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — 39 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate2.6% bottom 25th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Aaron Sears's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 6 | 8 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 39 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume39 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jakyri Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 31 | 8 | 24 | 8 #13 FBS | 1 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate33.3% 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Chance Gamble's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 22 | 8 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.0% 75th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Chace Calicut's full player page | |||||||
| 21 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 38 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 95 | 8 | 12/15 | 80 | 22/22 | 58 | 48 |
| 97 | 3 | 0/3 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 25 | 8 | 31 | 1310 | 42.3 | 48 | 9 | 3 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.84 EPA/play | 81 | 7 | 8 | 118 | 14.8 | 0 | 39 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.38 EPA/play | 19 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 4.4 | 0 | 9 |
| 26 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 6.6 | 0 | 22 |
Biggest plays from Georgia Southern’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Georgia Southern’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 2:37 · Georgia Southern up 3Max Johnson finds Zay Hilliard for an 18-yard touchdownGeorgia Southern at Coastal Carolina, week 5Q1, 2:37 · Georgia Southern 10, Coastal Carolina 0▲28%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 57% to 85%▲28%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 57% to 85%M.Johnson pass complete short left to Z.Hilliard caught at CCU00, for 18 yards to the CCU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference
Q4, 11:17 · Jacksonville State down 10Lucas Farrington runs 26 yards for a touchdownGeorgia Southern at Jacksonville State, week 3Q4, 11:17 · Jacksonville State 24, Georgia Southern 27Jacksonville State cut the deficit to 3 in the fourth quarterJacksonville State cut the deficit to 3 in the fourth quarterL.Farrington rush middle for 26 yards gain to the GS00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
Q3, 3:16 · Coastal Carolina down 7, ties itDeuce Bailey finds Goldie Lawrence for a 9-yard touchdownGeorgia Southern at Coastal Carolina, week 5Q3, 3:16 · Coastal Carolina 17, Georgia Southern 17Coastal Carolina tied the game in the third quarterCoastal Carolina tied the game in the third quarterGoldie Lawrence 9 yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference- Q4, 14:14 · Georgia Southern breaks the tieMax Johnson finds River Helms for a 16-yard touchdownGeorgia Southern at Coastal Carolina, week 5Q4, 14:14 · Georgia Southern 24, Coastal Carolina 17Go-ahead touchdown for Georgia Southern in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for Georgia Southern in the fourth quarterM. Johnson pass to R. Helms for 16 yds, for a TD (T. Bryant kick)▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q1, 12:33 · Georgia Southern tiedMax Johnson finds Taylor Bradshaw for an 18-yard touchdownJames Madison at Georgia Southern, week 6Q1, 12:33 · Georgia Southern 7, James Madison 0Georgia Southern opened the scoringGeorgia Southern opened the scoringM.Johnson pass complete short middle to T.Bradshaw caught at JMU00, for 18 yards to the JMU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q4, 12:50 · Georgia Southern down 10Max Johnson finds Taeo Todd for a 25-yard touchdownJames Madison at Georgia Southern, week 6Q4, 12:50 · Georgia Southern 17, James Madison 20Georgia Southern cut the deficit to 3 in the fourth quarterGeorgia Southern cut the deficit to 3 in the fourth quarterM.Johnson pass complete short right to T.Todd caught at JMU18, for 25 yards to the JMU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
How scary each game got
Georgia Southern lost at Jacksonville State after being 93% to win; the closest win was at Old Dominion, down to 19%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Georgia Southern during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Georgia Southern
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · Georgia SouthernMax Johnson leads Georgia Southern with 1,928 passing yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+17 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Georgia Southern fields a capable pass-first, methodical, ball-control offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Georgia Southern reads strongest in rushing EPA allowed (top 12%) and red-zone defense (top 28%); the crux lives in field position (O), where Georgia Southern sits at the 17th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Georgia Southern is worth +6.7 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 90th percentile of 133 programs
64% at home, 37% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (28-16 home, 19-32 away). Interval ±3.4.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Georgia Southern has beaten the number by 6.3 points more at home than away over 104 games. That is outside the ±5.2 that many games can resolve, so this is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.
Allen E. Paulson Stadium seats 25,000 and has averaged 86% full (21,415, 27 games reported). Visitors cover a median 395 miles to get here since 2018 — 64th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 10% of the 2026 roster (12 of 117 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 53 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Money downMarcus Sanders Jr. is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Deep threatDalen Cobb is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatMarcus Sanders Jr. is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Josh Dallas (WR) and River Helms (TE) split the targets (57/93 vs 36/93) -- but the job isn't split the same way. River Helms produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Georgia Southern actually scores
52nd percentile quality, 40th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Georgia Southern’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 32nd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 31st — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Georgia Southern hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
60th percentile success on standard downs, 71st on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Georgia Southern by half
1st-half offense ranks 57th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 51st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Georgia Southern’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.15; 65th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.06. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.24 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Georgia Southern’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Georgia Southern’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.4% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 292-play sample) — mid-pack, 107 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Georgia Southern’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.5% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 160-play sample) — mid-pack, 75 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces have split about evenly on their own fumbles: 50% recovered, close to ~52% expected.
4 of 8 own fumbles recovered themselves; 8 of 16 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Deflections without payoff: 12% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~18% league-wide.
4 interceptions of 32 disrupted passes (28 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Roughly even on flags: 61 penalties committed vs. 60 drawn on opponents.
572 penalty yards committed vs. 552 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Georgia Southern
Most similar programs · Georgia SouthernReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 61°, between 48° and 72° in about 7 in 10 games (34 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 64°, and 8 in 10 ran between 43° and 82° (57 of 61 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.