Georgia State

2-0

Sun Belt · Dell McGee, year 3 (6-20) · Center Parc Stadium · 25,000 · 16,703 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#121 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #131 (-22.7) · FPI #107
The marketUCF by 18.5at UCF · our model 31% Georgia State · a number, not a pick

LastW 31–17 at Kennesaw State · Sat Sep 12 · Cameran Brown 253 pass yds, 1 INT, 62 rush yds

Nextat UCF · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · FBC Mortgage Stadium · UCF by 18.5 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
45.0
Pts allowed/game
13.5
Total yards/gmT-#23 / 138 · 83rd pct
523.0
Rush yards/gm#16 / 138 · 89th pct
257.0
Pass yards/gm#50 / 138 · 64th pct
266.0
Yards allowed/gm#43 / 138 · 69th pct
270.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#26 / 138 · 82nd pct
78.0
SacksT-#20 / 138 · 80th pct
6
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down convT-#26 / 138 · 81st pct
52.0%
All 83 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
1046523.0/gm7.42/playT-#23 / 138 · 83rd pctT-#16 / 70 · 77th pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
541270.5/gm4.96/play#43 / 138 · 69th pct#36 / 70 · 49th pct#3 / 14 · 82nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
514257.0/gm3.65/play#16 / 138 · 89th pct#10 / 70 · 86th pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
15678.0/gm1.43/play#26 / 138 · 82nd pct#22 / 70 · 69th pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
8542.5/gmT-#30 / 138 · 78th pctT-#15 / 70 · 79th pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5125.5/gmT-#9 / 138 · 93rd pctT-#7 / 70 · 90th pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
94.5/gmT-#4 / 138 · 96th pctT-#3 / 70 · 94th pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 70 · 64th pctT-#3 / 14 · 68th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
532266.0/gm3.77/play#50 / 138 · 64th pct#31 / 70 · 56th pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
385192.5/gm3.53/play#61 / 138 · 56th pct#39 / 70 · 45th pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
5628.0/gmT-#78 / 138 · 43rd pctT-#45 / 70 · 35th pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5829.0/gmT-#61 / 138 · 55th pct#37 / 70 · 48th pctT-#7 / 14 · 50th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
4120.5/gmT-#59 / 138 · 57th pctT-#35 / 70 · 49th pct#3 / 14 · 82nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3316.5/gmT-#50 / 138 · 60th pctT-#31 / 70 · 51st pct#7 / 14 · 54th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
21.0/gmT-#94 / 138 · 25th pctT-#54 / 70 · 19th pctT-#9 / 14 · 32nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#45 / 138 · 57th pctT-#29 / 70 · 46th pctT-#4 / 14 · 64th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
161.2161.2#34 / 115 · 71st pct#25 / 60 · 59th pct#4 / 13 · 73rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Opp
120.6120.6#39 / 91 · 58th pct#26 / 42 · 39th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
10.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 49th pctT-#25 / 70 · 53rd pctT-#4 / 14 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 70 · 64th pctT-#2 / 14 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
63.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 70 · 78th pctT-#4 / 14 · 71st pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 97th pctT-#1 / 70 · 96th pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
115.5/gmT-#63 / 138 · 49th pctT-#37 / 70 · 42nd pctT-#7 / 14 · 50th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#8 / 138 · 93rd pctT-#7 / 70 · 89th pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
5125.5/gmT-#32 / 138 · 76th pctT-#20 / 70 · 70th pct#3 / 14 · 82nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2713.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 79th pctT-#23 / 70 · 64th pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
136.5/gmT-#37 / 138 · 68th pctT-#19 / 70 · 66th pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#12 / 138 · 86th pctT-#10 / 70 · 79th pctT-#1 / 14 · 93rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2512.5/gmT-#72 / 138 · 45th pctT-#34 / 70 · 49th pctT-#5 / 14 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2311.5/gmT-#19 / 138 · 84th pctT-#6 / 70 · 89th pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
21.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 51st pctT-#28 / 70 · 49th pctT-#4 / 14 · 64th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 91st pctT-#1 / 70 · 89th pctT-#1 / 14 · 89th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
31.5/gmT-#66 / 138 · 41st pctT-#35 / 70 · 44th pctT-#6 / 14 · 46th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#3 / 138 · 92nd pctT-#2 / 70 · 92nd pctT-#1 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
70:3335:16/gm#21 / 138 · 85th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
49:2724:44/gm#12 / 138 · 92nd pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.49 EPA/play8231 / 4372.1443
#63 FBS
10.321169.36876.5
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.03 EPA/play5228176
#35 FBS
6.32
#43 FBS
19
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.99 EPA/play9278812.6024
+0.43 EPA/play13278412027

2026 stat leaders · Georgia State

through 2 games

Lanear McCrary Jr. leads Georgia State with 176 rushing yards through 2 games.

1. Lanear McCrary Jr. RB 176 rushing yards
2. Cameran Brown QB 443 passing yards
3. Aaron Moore DE 1 sacks
4. Coby Owens LB 8 tackles
5. Rodshaun Dorsey WR 88 receiving yards
How They Play · 2025

Georgia State fields a limited pass-first offense behind a porous defense.

Offense
35th pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
57% pass plays
Defense
4th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Georgia State · 2025

Georgia State reads strongest in explosive plays (top 46%) and explosive plays allowed (top 47%); the crux lives in epa allowed, where Georgia State sits at the 4th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.13
35th
Success Rate +0.40
31st
Explosive Plays +1.27
55th
Rushing EPA +0.04
25th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.27
4th
Success Rate Allowed +0.46
8th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.25
53rd
Passing EPA Allowed +0.41
11th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.23
44th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.18
13th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Georgia State · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Georgia State is worth +3.2 points more at home than on the road.

Bottom third of FBS, 32nd percentile of 133 programs

42% at home, 30% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (18–25 home, 14–33 away). Interval ±4.0.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Georgia State has beaten the number by −3.2 more at home than away over 72 games — inside the ±7.2 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Center Parc Stadium seats 25,000 and has averaged 62% full (15,428, 23 games reported). Visitors cover a median 309 miles to get here since 2018 — 40th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 55% of the 2026 roster (61 of 111 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 48 home games since 2018.

Home18–25Away14–33Edge+3.2 ±4.0Visitor trip309 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Georgia State’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Hue Jackson (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 48% → 2026: 46% · 2-pt range · #177 of 184 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2025: 46% → 2026: 28% · 18-pt range · #41 of 182 · more than most
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Georgia State

CFB Zeitgeist

#121

-5.1

SP+

#131

-22.7

FPI

#107

-9.1

Elo

#114

1287

The national models put Georgia State between 107th and 131st nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 121st.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Georgia State

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

70°F average kickoff temp; 10% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.

Based on 69 home games with weather data.

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