cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / DJ Riles /Georgia State

DJ Riles

WR · Georgia State · Jr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

176 REC YDS · 16 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Georgia State

Returning around him

  • 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Georgia State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia State · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #77 · 2026 recruiting class #67

WR · GEORGIA STATE · SUN BELT

DJ Riles

  • 3
  • #10
  • 5-11 | 195 lb
  • Columbus, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

18

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 24th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4940

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
19.02022
58.02023
1762025

+826%

Up 826% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1357 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey10
Measurements5-11 | 195 lb
HometownColumbus, GA
Primary teamGeorgia State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1357 recruit
Composite rating 0.8467 HighSchool
Signed with Middle Tennessee 2022
Origin Carver Columbus, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8467 No. 1357 recruit | HighSchool | Middle Tennessee

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4940Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5413Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Middle Tennessee

Composite

0.8467

#1357 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on DJ Riles

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about DJ Riles

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
176Rec yards
16Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
25.1Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
326.9Rec yards
30Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 176): needs 87.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 176): needs 137.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 16): needs 7.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 16): needs 10.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.5/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

DJ Riles's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4940 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 16 1 rec TD | #465/1110 (58th pct)
Receiving yards 176 11.0 per catch | #505/1107 (54th pct)
Scrimmage yards 176 Total offensive yardage | #505/1107 (54th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
16 58th
YDS
176 54th
YPR
11.0 42nd
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-63@ Ole Miss122.002
Wk 2L 16-38vs Memphis133.003
Wk 4L 21-70@ Vanderbilt55711.4132Season-high 57 yds
Wk 7L 20-41vs App State22814.0016
Wk 8L 24-41@ Georgia Southern11414.0014
Wk 11L 27-40@ Coastal Carolina12323.0023
Wk 13L 19-31@ Troy5499.8017
Total1617611.0132
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Middle Tennessee8-5HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2025Georgia State1-11HC: Dell McGee · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia State1617611.01--
2023Middle Tennessee45814.51--
2022Middle Tennessee4194.80--
Career3 loaded seasons2425310.52--
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia State----------
2023Middle Tennessee19101------
2022Middle Tennessee719------
Career3 loaded seasons26120------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.6% 6.1% pass-game share | #761/1137 (33rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 16 #465/1110 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 176 #505/1107 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.0 #648/1106 42nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 6.1% #761/1137 33rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #576/1105 48th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.6% #677/1137 41st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.5% #754/1137 34th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.6% #673/1137 41st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.2% #667/1137 41st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.2% #647/1137 43rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.0% #805/1137 29th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.515.58.50.0
Road5g2.629.012.00.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Losses7g2.325.111.00.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.222.57.60.2
Weeks 8+3g2.328.715.60.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

18Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec yards (10th).

Yards / catch#408 / 558 · 26th pct
11.0rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Long catch#462 / 558 · 17th pct
32rece
Receptions#465 / 558 · 15th pct
16rece
Rec yards#497 / 558 · 11th pct
176rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
DJ RilesGeorgia StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 56% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 51% simAaron TurnerRice· 51% sim
Yards / catch
26
Riles
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Rec TDs
24
Riles
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Long catch
17
Riles
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner
Receptions
15
Riles
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner
Rec yards
11
Riles
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cavon Croom’s 2022 season.

Cavon Croom

85%match

Bowling Green · 2022

#2

Isaiah Hamilton

Washington State · 2023

84%
#3

Michael Hetzel

App State · 2023

84%
#4

Courtney Jackson

Syracuse · 2022

83%
#5

Jha'Quan Jackson

Tulane · 2021

NFL Rd 6
81%

Matches Cavon on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Briley Moore’s path through Kansas State.

Briley Moore

99%match

Kansas State · 2020

#2

Daniel Crawford

Northern Illinois · 2020

All-MAC
98%
#3

Jordan Simmons

Georgia State · 2025

97%
#4

Cee Jay Powell

Louisiana Tech · 2020

95%
#5

Donny Navarro

Northwestern · 2022

94%

Matches Briley on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Victor Rosa's senior season at UConn (2025).

Victor Rosa

82%match

UConn · 2025

#2

Michael Allen

Marshall · 2025

80%
#3

Anthony Watkins

Tulsa · 2024

All-AAC
71%
#4

Omari Evans

Washington · 2025

69%
#5

Stefan Cobbs

Boise State · 2023

All-Mountain West
68%

Matches Victor on

Total EPA (college ability)
Recruiting rating
Yards / reception

Differs from Victor on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dell McGee

Pass share

56.5%

472 pass / 363 run

Plays / game

69.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Shawn Elliott
Georgia State
2023
Shawn Elliott
Georgia State
2025
Dell McGee
Georgia State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Shawn Elliott → Dell McGee. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownColumbus, GA
Height5'11"
Weight195 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia State WR3 #4940 #5413 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Middle Tennessee WR3 #2686 #3217 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Middle Tennessee WR3 #3822 #3901 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia State Sun Belt WR 3 No. 10 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Columbus, GA
2024 Georgia State Sun Belt WR 3 No. 10 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Columbus, GA
2023 Middle Tennessee Conference USA WR 3 No. 10 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Columbus, GA
2022 Middle Tennessee Conference USA WR 3 No. 10 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Columbus, GA