Georgia State routs North Carolina A&T 59-10

Team pages: North Carolina A&T · Georgia State

North Carolina A&T0-210
Georgia State1-059Final
Fri, Sep 4 · Center Parc Stadium, Atlanta, Ga. · Crowd 16,703ESPN+

Georgia State routed North Carolina A&T 59-10.

We had Georgia State favored. It won.

Next: North Carolina A&T lost to North Carolina Central 30-22, Sat Sep 12

Next: Georgia State beat Kennesaw State 31-17, Sat Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Georgia State a 75% chance, and the closing betting line (Georgia State was a 28.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.

Georgia State led by 14 after the first quarter and by 28 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+52+49
FinalGeorgia State 59-10 North Carolina A&TGeorgia State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won59-10Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won59-10Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost10-59Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost10-59Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Georgia State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Georgia State -28.5), at 97% for Georgia State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Georgia State’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 13:11Thomas sacked for a 2-yd lossQ1, 13:11 · Georgia State 0, North Carolina A&T 00-0score after the play0-0score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  2. Q1, 7:17Brown 30-yd TD pass to MurrayGeorgia State goes ahead 7-0Q1, 7:17 · Georgia State 7, North Carolina A&T 0▲2%Georgia State’s chance to win, 97% to 99%▲2%Georgia State’s chance to win, 97% to 99%Watch from this playSun Belt Conference
  3. Q1, 0:00McCrary 8-yd TD runGeorgia State leads 14-0Q1, 0:00 · Georgia State 14, North Carolina A&T 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  4. Q2, 7:00Wiggins 2-yd TD runGeorgia State leads 21-0Q2, 7:00 · Georgia State 21, North Carolina A&T 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  5. Q2, 5:12White 61-yd TD pass to Ruckercuts it to 21-7Q2, 5:12 · Georgia State 21, North Carolina A&T 721-7score after the play21-7score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  6. Q2, 2:38Murray 14-yd TD runGeorgia State leads 28-7Q2, 2:38 · Georgia State 28, North Carolina A&T 728-7score after the play28-7score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  7. Q2, 2:20White sacked for a 2-yd lossQ2, 2:20 · Georgia State 28, North Carolina A&T 728-7score after the play28-7score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  8. Q2, 0:19Brown 8-yd TD pass to MillerGeorgia State leads 35-7Q2, 0:19 · Georgia State 35, North Carolina A&T 735-7score after the play35-7score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  9. Q3, 11:38Pereira 17-yd TD runGeorgia State leads 42-7Q3, 11:38 · Georgia State 42, North Carolina A&T 742-7score after the play42-7score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  10. Q3, 6:20Hart 41-yd TD runGeorgia State leads 52-7Q3, 6:20 · Georgia State 52, North Carolina A&T 752-7score after the play52-7score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference

Every drive

Georgia State scored on 9 of its 12 drives; North Carolina A&T on 2 of its 12.

Georgia State’s drives are teal, North Carolina A&T’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1North Carolina A&T: Punt, from 71 yards out to 58PuntGeorgia State: Punt, from 81 yards out to 64PuntNorth Carolina A&T: Punt, from 91 yards out to 89PuntGeorgia State: Touchdown, from 30 yards out to 0TouchdownNorth Carolina A&T: Punt, from 75 yards out to 52PuntGeorgia State: Touchdown, from 90 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2North Carolina A&T: Punt, from 75 yards out to 63PuntGeorgia State: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownNorth Carolina A&T: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia State: Touchdown, from 58 yards out to 0TouchdownNorth Carolina A&T: Punt, from 75 yards out to 82PuntGeorgia State: Touchdown, from 61 yards out to 0TouchdownNorth Carolina A&T: End of half, from 53 yards out to 64End of halfQ3Georgia State: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0TouchdownNorth Carolina A&T: Punt, from 75 yards out to 79PuntGeorgia State: Field goal, from 8 yards out to 8Field goalNorth Carolina A&T: Punt, from 90 yards out to 77PuntGeorgia State: Touchdown, from 46 yards out to 0TouchdownNorth Carolina A&T: Punt, from 65 yards out to 57PuntGeorgia State: Touchdown, from 55 yards out to 0TouchdownNorth Carolina A&T: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 22Field goalQ4Georgia State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 54PuntNorth Carolina A&T: Punt, from 81 yards out to 74PuntGeorgia State: End of game, from 61 yards out to 6End of game

Box score

Georgia State 59, North Carolina A&T 10

Georgia State covered −28.5 by 20.5. The total, 69, went over 58.5.

North Carolina A&T leaders

  • Passing Kevin White 9 of 20, 122 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing J.T. Smith Jr. 11 for 44 yds; Kevin White 13 for 27 yds
  • Receiving Anthony Rucker 4 for 80 yds, 1 TD; Jayvonne Dillard 3 for 32 yds

Georgia State leaders

  • Passing Cameran Brown 15 of 20, 190 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Lanear McCrary Jr. 9 for 75 yds, 1 TD; Savion Hart 4 for 61 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving DJ Murray Jr. 2 for 50 yds, 1 TD; Derrick Avery Jr. 5 for 47 yds

No rain and calm

92° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 5 mph from the south-southeast, gusts to 13

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 52 other games played at Center Parc Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 77°, with about 7 in 10 games between 72° and 85°.

September game-day temperatures at Center Parc Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Georgia State favoredNorth Carolina A&T favored100%Win chanceGeorgia StateRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphTemperature and feels likedegrees F80°105°feels like 90°air 86°
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Georgia State favoredNorth Carolina A&T favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Temperature and feels like · degrees F80°105°feels like 90°air 86°

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:45 left7:04 p.m.
North Carolina A&T 0, Georgia State 0 · Georgia State 97% to win
no rain · wind 10 mph from the south-southeast, mostly along the field · 92°, feels like 96°
Smith 12-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Atlanta International Airport, 7.9 miles away, and Atlanta/fulton Co. airport, 8.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

North Carolina A&T · 2-10

Rated 263rd in our preseason ratings, 263rd now.

Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 17-55 @ Elon #171 of 667

lost by 38 as a 21-point underdog

L 19-63 vs Monmouth #106 of 667

lost by 44 as a 21.5-point underdog

L 12-38 @ Stony Brook #170 of 667

lost by 26 as an 18.5-point underdog

L 9-62 vs Towson #167 of 667

lost by 53 as a 7.5-point underdog

W 28-24 vs Campbell #241 of 667

won by 4 as a 3-point underdog

L 16-22 vs South Carolina State #162 of 667

lost by 6 as a 9.5-point underdog

L 34-38 @ William & Mary #173 of 667

lost by 4 as a 20.5-point underdog

L 30-37 @ Maine #213 of 667

lost by 7 as a 13.5-point underdog

L 20-62 vs North Carolina Central #153 of 667

lost by 42 as a 13-point underdog

W 33-30 vs Hampton #224 of 667

won by 3 as a 3-point underdog

L 7-68 @ UCF #54 of 667

lost by 61 as a 37-point underdog

North Carolina A&T lost 7-68 at UCF. Never had a real chance.

L 21-24 @ Tennessee State #191 of 667

lost by 3 as a 6.5-point underdog

Last three games · 2025 season

Georgia State · 1-11

Rated 155th in our preseason ratings.

L 10-27 @ Old Dominion #44 of 667

lost by 17 as a 28.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 10-27 at Old Dominion. Chance to win started at 2%, low under 1%, high 19%.

L 19-31 @ Troy #129 of 667

lost by 12 as a 10.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 19-31 at Troy. Chance to win started at 16%, low under 1%, high 30%.

L 18-30 vs Marshall #83 of 667

lost by 12 as a 9.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 18-30 vs Marshall. Chance to win started at 33%, low under 1%, high 62%.

L 27-40 @ Coastal Carolina #127 of 667

lost by 13 as a 7.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 27-40 at Coastal Carolina. Chance to win started at 26%, low under 1%, high 29%.

L 31-38 vs South Alabama #103 of 667

lost by 7 as a 5.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 31-38 vs South Alabama. Chance to win started at 41%, low 6%, high 66%.

L 24-41 @ Georgia Southern #131 of 667

lost by 17 as a 6.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 24-41 at Georgia Southern. Chance to win started at 22%, low under 1%, high 60%.

L 20-41 vs App State #113 of 667

lost by 21 as a 2.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 20-41 vs App State. Chance to win started at 50%, low under 1%, high 63%.

L 7-14 vs James MadisonTop 25 #60 of 667

lost by 7 as an 18.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 7-14 vs James Madison. Chance to win started at 13%, low 3%, high 52%.

L 21-70 @ VanderbiltTop 25 #30 of 667

lost by 49 as a 26.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 21-70 at Vanderbilt. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 5%.

W 37-21 vs Murray State #258 of 667

won by 16 as a 31.5-point favorite

Georgia State won 37-21 vs Murray State. Chance to win started at 98%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

L 16-38 vs MemphisTop 25 #35 of 667

lost by 22 as a 15.5-point underdog

L 7-63 @ Ole MissTop 25 #5 of 667

lost by 56 as a 33.5-point underdog

Georgia State lost 7-63 at Ole Miss. Chance to win started at 2%, low under 1%, high 2%.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Georgia State’s chances here.

50-50Model · 75%Line · 99%North Carolina A&TGeorgia State

Georgia State favored by 28.5 · Total 58.5

How games like this usually go

Georgia State by 28.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The total fell 5 points.

opened 63.5now 58.5

Total: 63.5 → 58.5

The books’ cut: 3.4%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Georgia State is worth +4.1 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 50th percentile.

44% at home, 29% on the road against FBS opponents (20-25 home, 14-35 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -3.0 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 308 miles to get here.

Where next