Georgia State at Kennesaw State
Fan take
Georgia State fans
Kennesaw State fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Georgia State · 1-11
Picked #155 in the preseason · now #178.
Three straight losses.
L 10–27 @ Old Dominion #33 of 668
lost by 17 as a 28.5-point underdog
L 19–31 @ Troy #123 of 668
lost by 12 as a 10.5-point underdog
L 18–30 vs Marshall #73 of 668
lost by 12 as a 9.5-point underdog
L 27–40 @ Coastal Carolina #129 of 668
lost by 13 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 31–38 vs South Alabama #117 of 668
lost by 7 as a 6-point underdog
L 24–41 @ Georgia Southern #114 of 668
lost by 17 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 20–41 vs App State #132 of 668
lost by 21 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 7–14 vs James MadisonTop 25 #50 of 668
lost by 7 as a 18.5-point underdog
L 21–70 @ VanderbiltTop 25 #26 of 668
lost by 49 as a 26.5-point underdog
W 37–21 vs Murray State #255 of 668
won by 16 as a 31.5-point favorite
L 16–38 vs MemphisTop 25 #71 of 668
lost by 22 as a 15.5-point underdog
L 7–63 @ Ole MissTop 25 #20 of 668
lost by 56 as a 33.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Kennesaw State · 10-4
Picked #158 in the preseason · now #163.
2-1 in its last three, capped by a 4-point win over Jacksonville State as a 1.5-point underdog.
L 6–41 @ Western Michigan #52 of 668
lost by 35 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 19–15 @ Jacksonville State #99 of 668
won by 4 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 48–42 @ Liberty #109 of 668
won by 6 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 41–34 vs Missouri State #135 of 668
won by 7 as a 6.5-point favorite
L 26–35 @ Jacksonville State #94 of 668
lost by 9 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 24–21 @ New Mexico State #199 of 668
won by 3 as a 11.5-point favorite
W 33–20 vs UTEP #164 of 668
won by 13 as a 12.5-point favorite
W 45–26 @ Florida International #148 of 668
won by 19 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 35–7 vs Louisiana Tech #121 of 668
won by 28 as a 4.5-point underdog
W 24–16 vs Middle Tennessee #169 of 668
won by 8 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 28–21 vs Arkansas State #145 of 668
won by 7 as a 4.5-point underdog
W 27–13 vs Merrimack #209 of 668
won by 14 as a 17-point favorite
L 9–56 @ IndianaTop 25 #39 of 668
lost by 47 as a 35.5-point underdog
L 9–10 @ Wake Forest #125 of 668
lost by 1 as a 18.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Make the CFP field
Win the conference
Win it all
CFP odds as of September 13, 2026
The series
Georgia State leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 2018 · Georgia State has won the last 2
- 2026Georgia State 31–17
- 2018Georgia State 24–20
Best players
Georgia State
- Lanear McCrary Jr. (RB) · 176 rushing yards
- Cameran Brown (QB) · 443 passing yards
- Aaron Moore (DE) · 1 sack
Kennesaw State
- Baron Hopson (LB) · 12 tackles
- Javon Rogers (WR) · 129 receiving yards
- Rickie Collins (QB) · 416 passing yards
The line, and the room
Georgia State fans are feeling better about their season (95th percentile) than Kennesaw State fans are (24th) — even with Kennesaw State favored here.
Home −7.5 · O/U 55.5
Conditions
80°F · 4 mph wind · Rain Shower
Kennesaw State is worth +10.4 points (±7.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.
75% at home, 25% on the road against FBS opponents (12–4 home, 5–15 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 23 miles to get here.
Georgia State 31 – Kennesaw State 17
Missed — picked Kennesaw State, Georgia State won.
Recent games
Kennesaw State
- Wk 1Wvs West Georgia47-0
Georgia State
- Wk 1Wvs North Carolina A&T59-10
Trajectory
Georgia State beat Kennesaw State 31-17 — the pregame pick had Kennesaw State instead.