Iowa State

1-1
Latest
Coach Quotes: Jimmy Rogers stresses competition, different practice philosophies as Cyclones open fall camp - 247Sportsour readMatt Campbell explains departure from Iowa State for Penn State openingour readThe Iowa rivalry

Big 12 · Jimmy Rogers, year 1 (1-1) · Jack Trice Stadium · 61,500 · 51,802 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#119 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #57 (+3.1) · FPI #64
The marketIowa State by 23.5vs Bowling Green · our model 65% Iowa State · a number, not a pick

LastL 13–16 at Iowa · Sat Sep 12 · Jaylen Raynor 117 pass yds, 1 TD, 18 rush yds

Nextvs Bowling Green · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Jack Trice Stadium · Iowa State by 23.5 · series 2-0, won the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
25.5
Pts allowed/game
13.0
Total yards/gm#129 / 138 · 7th pct
279.0
Rush yards/gm#110 / 138 · 21st pct
123.0
Pass yards/gm#122 / 138 · 12th pct
156.0
Yards allowed/gm#25 / 138 · 82nd pct
246.5
Rush yds allowed/gmT-#28 / 138 · 80th pct
80.0
SacksT-#20 / 138 · 80th pct
6
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down convT-#96 / 138 · 30th pct
34.8%
All 83 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
558279.0/gm5.52/play#129 / 138 · 7th pct#66 / 69 · 5th pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
493246.5/gm3.91/play#25 / 138 · 82nd pct#22 / 69 · 69th pct#3 / 16 · 84th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
246123.0/gm2.44/play#110 / 138 · 21st pct#59 / 69 · 15th pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
16080.0/gm1.27/playT-#28 / 138 · 80th pctT-#22 / 69 · 68th pct#6 / 16 · 66th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6532.5/gmT-#104 / 138 · 23rd pctT-#53 / 69 · 22nd pct#14 / 16 · 16th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
7437.0/gmT-#91 / 138 · 32nd pctT-#53 / 69 · 21st pctT-#14 / 16 · 12th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
31.5/gmT-#77 / 138 · 34th pctT-#45 / 69 · 28th pctT-#14 / 16 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 50th pctT-#34 / 69 · 36th pctT-#8 / 16 · 31st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
312156.0/gm3.09/play#122 / 138 · 12th pct#66 / 69 · 5th pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
333166.5/gm2.64/playT-#42 / 138 · 70th pctT-#31 / 69 · 55th pctT-#4 / 16 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
3618.0/gmT-#128 / 138 · 7th pct#65 / 69 · 7th pct#15 / 16 · 9th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5226.0/gmT-#38 / 138 · 72nd pctT-#24 / 69 · 65th pct#5 / 16 · 72nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
199.5/gmT-#131 / 138 · 5th pctT-#67 / 69 · 3rd pctT-#15 / 16 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3819.0/gmT-#73 / 138 · 45th pctT-#44 / 69 · 36th pctT-#9 / 16 · 44th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
31.5/gmT-#72 / 138 · 41st pctT-#44 / 69 · 30th pctT-#11 / 16 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 96th pctT-#1 / 69 · 93rd pctT-#1 / 16 · 91st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating#54 / 115 · 53rd pct#38 / 59 · 36th pct#11 / 14 · 25th pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct
147.5147.5
Interceptions thrown
Team
00.0/gmT-#92 / 138 · 17th pctT-#42 / 69 · 20th pctT-#11 / 16 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 69 · 64th pctT-#3 / 16 · 62nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
63.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 69 · 78th pctT-#3 / 16 · 78th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#9 / 138 · 86th pctT-#6 / 69 · 83rd pctT-#2 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
136.5/gmT-#47 / 138 · 64th pctT-#28 / 69 · 57th pct#8 / 16 · 53rd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
84.0/gmT-#39 / 138 · 67th pctT-#26 / 69 · 57th pctT-#8 / 16 · 44th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
2412.0/gm#136 / 138 · 2nd pct#68 / 69 · 2nd pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2713.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 79th pctT-#23 / 69 · 64th pctT-#6 / 16 · 59th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
84.0/gmT-#104 / 138 · 21st pctT-#57 / 69 · 14th pctT-#15 / 16 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
105.0/gmT-#66 / 138 · 48th pctT-#42 / 69 · 35th pctT-#10 / 16 · 28th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2311.5/gmT-#91 / 138 · 30th pctT-#43 / 69 · 34th pctT-#9 / 16 · 41st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3115.5/gmT-#104 / 138 · 23rd pctT-#55 / 69 · 18th pct#14 / 16 · 16th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
00.0/gmT-#114 / 138 · 9th pctT-#52 / 69 · 13th pctT-#13 / 16 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 37th pctT-#40 / 69 · 32nd pctT-#10 / 16 · 25th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
00.0/gmT-#135 / 138 · 1st pctT-#66 / 69 · 3rd pctT-#15 / 16 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#80 / 138 · 36th pctT-#42 / 69 · 32nd pctT-#10 / 16 · 34th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
53:2626:43/gm#120 / 138 · 13th pct#62 / 69 · 11th pct#15 / 16 · 9th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
66:3433:17/gm#111 / 138 · 20th pct#62 / 69 · 11th pct#15 / 16 · 9th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.33 EPA/play1218 / 3551.43018.63
#60 FBS		0152.0—50——
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.05 EPA/play212261345.2134——
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.60 EPA/play9259318.6034

2026 stat leaders · Iowa State

through 2 games

Sullivan Schlimgen leads Iowa State with 18 tackles through 2 games.

1. Sullivan Schlimgen LB 18 tackles
2. Carson Willich LB 13 tackles
3. Drew Surges S 10 tackles
4. Aiden Flora RB 134 rushing yards
5. Omari Hayes WR 93 receiving yards
How They Play · 2025

Iowa State fields a strong methodical, ball-control offense behind a strong defense.

Offense
63rd pct EPA/play
Tempo
76th pct success, 23rd explosiveness
Defense
70th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Iowa State · 2025

Iowa State reads strongest in rushing epa allowed (top 19%) and success rate (top 24%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Iowa State sits at the 23rd percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.19
63rd
Success Rate +0.45
76th
Explosive Plays +1.20
23rd
Rushing EPA +0.16
72nd

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.10
70th
Success Rate Allowed +0.39
69th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.24
61st
Passing EPA Allowed +0.24
49th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.32
67th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.01
81st
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Iowa State · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Iowa State is worth +3.6 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 39th percentile of 133 programs

65% at home, 51% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (30–16 home, 21–20 away). Interval ±3.5.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Iowa State has beaten the number by −0.9 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±6.6 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Jack Trice Stadium seats 61,500 and has averaged 95% full (58,380, 28 games reported). Visitors cover a median 513 miles to get here since 2018 — 46th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 12% of the 2026 roster (15 of 122 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 54 home games since 2018.

Home30–16Away21–20Edge+3.6 ±3.5Visitor trip513 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Iowa State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

4th percentile success on standard downs, 23rd on passing downs — a 19-point gap between the two.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantIowa StateWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i18th standard · 41st passingUNLV51st standard · 7th passingStanford76th standard · 15th passingEastern Michigan52nd standard · 10th passingSan José State54th standard · 22nd passingNew Mexico State45th standard · 75th passingSacramento State23rd standard · 14th passingOklahoma State41st standard · 49th passingDuke20th standard · 29th passingFlorida State28th standard · 65th passingRutgers30th standard · 71st passingKansas70th standard · 35th passingBoston College27th standard · 56th passingNorfolk State16th standard · 9th passingLouisville96th standard · 70th passingMissouri36th standard · 85th passingMemphis69th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Southern24th standard · 45th passingOle Miss94th standard · 50th passingJacksonville State65th standard · 82nd passingNorth Dakota State86th standard · 27th passingArizona92nd standard · 86th passingUSC97th standard · 99th passingWake Forest56th standard · 97th passingTCU93rd standard · 8th passingDelaware70th standard · 31st passingUAB65th standard · 81st passingMichigan State62nd standard · 29th passingSouth Florida91st standard · 52nd passingFlorida International46th standard · 43rd passingNavy98th standard · 59th passingWisconsin13th standard · 18th passingOregon State10th standard · 38th passingSyracuse48th standard · 64th passingOhio State90th standard · 40th passingBall State12th standard · 24th passingPittsburgh30th standard · 76th passingColorado35th standard · 77th passingGeorgia Tech58th standard · 44th passingAuburn75th standard · 55th passingBaylor40th standard · 96th passingNorth Texas49th standard · 68th passingApp State44th standard · 90th passingIowa State4th standard · 23rd passingUTSA99th standard · 29th passingArkansas60th standard · 80th passingBoise State58th standard · 46th passingOregon35th standard · 33rd passingTulsa56th standard · 1st passingTulane31st standard · 2nd passingPurdue83rd standard · 88th passingMiddle Tennessee87th standard · 68th passingVanderbilt80th standard · 12th passingSan Diego State4th standard · 40th passingLSU33rd standard · 98th passingClemson1st standard · 19th passingCentral Michigan16th standard · 6th passingTexas Tech88th standard · 48th passingMichigan2nd standard · 62nd passingWestern Michigan39th standard · 20th passingOhio38th standard · 17th passingBuffalo7th standard · 14th passingTexas72nd standard · 94th passingCoastal Carolina61st standard · 52nd passingColorado State82nd standard · 91st passingWyoming65th standard · 36th passingTexas A&M85th standard · 72nd passingLiberty14th standard · 59th passingFlorida Atlantic43rd standard · 87th passingLouisiana19th standard · 92nd passingSouth Alabama50th standard · 73rd passingTroy22nd standard · 59th passingSam Houston78th standard · 61st passingNevada77th standard · 52nd passingWestern Kentucky25th standard · 34th passingWashington State8th standard · 3rd passingWashington81st standard · 4th passingCalifornia9th standard · 25th passingCharlotte73rd standard · 83rd passingTennessee65th standard · 78th passingUtah State4th standard · 93rd passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
App State44th90th
Arizona92nd86th
Arkansas60th80th
Auburn75th55th
Ball State12th24th
Baylor40th96th
Boise State58th46th
Boston College27th56th
Buffalo7th14th
California9th25th
Central Michigan16th6th
Charlotte73rd83rd
Clemson1st19th
Coastal Carolina61st52nd
Colorado35th77th
Colorado State82nd91st
Delaware70th31st
Duke20th29th
Eastern Michigan52nd10th
Florida Atlantic43rd87th
Florida International46th43rd
Florida State28th65th
Georgia Southern24th45th
Georgia Tech58th44th
Hawai'i18th41st
Iowa State4th23rd
Jacksonville State65th82nd
Kansas70th35th
LSU33rd98th
Liberty14th59th
Louisiana19th92nd
Louisville96th70th
Memphis69th65th
Michigan2nd62nd
Michigan State62nd29th
Middle Tennessee87th68th
Missouri36th85th
Navy98th59th
Nevada77th52nd
New Mexico State45th75th
Norfolk State16th9th
North Dakota State86th27th
North Texas49th68th
Ohio38th17th
Ohio State90th40th
Oklahoma State41st49th
Ole Miss94th50th
Oregon35th33rd
Oregon State10th38th
Pittsburgh30th76th
Purdue83rd88th
Rutgers30th71st
Sacramento State23rd14th
Sam Houston78th61st
San Diego State4th40th
San José State54th22nd
South Alabama50th73rd
South Florida91st52nd
Stanford76th15th
Syracuse48th64th
TCU93rd8th
Tennessee65th78th
Texas72nd94th
Texas A&M85th72nd
Texas Tech88th48th
Troy22nd59th
Tulane31st2nd
Tulsa56th1st
UAB65th81st
UNLV51st7th
USC97th99th
UTSA99th29th
Utah State4th93rd
Vanderbilt80th12th
Wake Forest56th97th
Washington81st4th
Washington State8th3rd
Western Kentucky25th34th
Western Michigan39th20th
Wisconsin13th18th
Wyoming65th36th
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Iowa State

CFB Zeitgeist

#119

-5.0

SP+

#57

+3.1

FPI

#64

+0.8

Elo

#44

1588

The national models put Iowa State between 44th and 64th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is more skeptical, at 119th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Iowa State

Reads like

VirginiaACCSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Roughly similar size up frontWake ForestACCSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Roughly similar size up frontDukeACCSame tier of program · Same prestige band

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

60°F average kickoff temp; 5% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.

Based on 81 home games with weather data.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site