Next game: vs Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State’s best edge on Kansas State is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Kansas State offense against Oklahoma State defense
Oklahoma State offense against Kansas State defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.34 EPA/play | 2 | 6 | 118 / 187 | 63.1 | 1301 | 7.0 | 10 #72 FBS | 3 | 136.0 | 42 | 69.8 | 7.2 | 1.6 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. 187 pass attempts and 51 carries in 6 games. About as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Johnson extends plays on the move until something opens up. Craig is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Rush usage21.4% bottom 50th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry9.1 100th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Avery Johnson's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.35 EPA/play | 3 | 2 | 22 / 33 | 66.7 | 265 | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 164.1 | — | 75.6 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| -0.09 EPA/play | 7 | 2 | 27 / 42 | 64.3 | 201 | 4.8 | 1 | 0 | 112.3 | 41 | 55.1 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.12 EPA/play | 20 | 8 | 93 | 487 | 5.2 | 5 | 75 | 15.1 | 11.8 | |
Yards by week → Balanced back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 93 carries and 8 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Rodney Fields Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.07 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 84 | 384 | 4.6 | 2 | 64 | 19.0 | 8.3 | |
Yards by week → Balanced back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 84 carries and 14 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Joe Jackson's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.44 EPA/play | 12 | 8 | 39 | 379 | 9.7 | 4 #70 FBS | 33 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. Starter — 39 catches and 1 carry in 8 games, more catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week. This week's matchup — WR Tibbs moves the chains on third down. Dwyer is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception10.4 bottom 19th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume39 88th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaron Tibbs's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.26 EPA/play | 5 | 7 | 32 | 327 | 10.2 | 3 | 36 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 32 catches and 4 carries in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Manning moves the chains on third down. Dwyer is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception10.1 bottom 17th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.3 bottom 23th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Joshua Manning's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.19 EPA/play | 15 | 4 | 19 | 311 | 16.4 | 1 | 45 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Jr. moves the chains on third down. Dwyer is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception14.2 58th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.2 bottom 17th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Derrick Salley Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.56 EPA/play | 86 | 6 | 19 | 221 | 11.6 | 2 | 36 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 19 catches in 6 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2022 class View Garrett Oakley's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.15 EPA/play | — | 5 | 13 | 152 | 11.7 | 1 | 33 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Cure shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Ashley is the one who creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Season receipt Yards / reception12.4 66th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.1 bottom 16th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Linkon Cure's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.88 EPA/play | 80 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 14 | 0 | 27 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.07 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 13 | 78 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR White moves the chains on third down. Dwyer is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception5.6 bottom 2th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.1 bottom 9th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brandon White's full player page | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power Rusher | 1 | 8 | 27 | 16 | 10.5 #17 FBS | 3.5 | 6 |
Power rusherBull-rushes through contact, winning with size and length at the point of attack. Starter — 27 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 8 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate38.9% 96th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Wendell Gregory's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 91 | 7 | 21 | 10 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 4 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 21 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2023 class View Jordan Allen's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 88 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 20 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2026 class View Eli Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 15 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Kamari Burns's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 39 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 2.5 | 1 | 2 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate19.2% 51th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Travis Bates's full player page | |||||||
| Speed Rusher | 40 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Speed rusherBends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor. 19 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Sack rate33.3% 100th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jayden Bryant's full player page | |||||||
| 56 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 4 | 8 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 38 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.7 95th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate6.6% bottom 37th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Mekhi Mason's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 35 | 8 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 34 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.7 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Gabe Powers's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 28 | 8 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.4% 84th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume26 bottom 25th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Rex Van Wyhe's full player page | |||||||||
| 6 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 23 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 10 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 54 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume54 97th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Logan Bartley's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 8 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 31 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.2% bottom 27th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Koy Beasley's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 25 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate15.8% 58th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Zashon Rich's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 21 | 8 | 14 | 8 #13 FBS | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate57.1% 100th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View JoJo Scott's full player page | |||||||
| 18 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| Cover Corner | 34 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2026 class View Nick Mcclellan's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 9 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'3" 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Donovan McIntosh's full player page | |||||||
| 7 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 43 | 8 | 12/14 | 85.7 | 23/23 | 59 | 51 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon | 8 | 8 | 30 | 1452 | 48.4 | 66 | 15 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.07 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 5 | 158 | 31.6 | 0 | 48 |
| -0.11 EPA/play | 9 | 5 | 5 | 100 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.07 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 12 | 125 | 10.4 | 1 | 65 |
| 6 | 4 | 6 | 78 | 13 | 0 | 27 |
Biggest plays from Kansas State’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Kansas State’s games this season, whoever made them.
Overtime, 0:00 · Colorado down 3, takes the leadIsaac Wilson finds Charlie Williams for an 11-yard touchdownKansas State at Colorado, week 9Overtime, 0:00 · Colorado 27, Kansas State 24Overtime touchdown for ColoradoOvertime touchdown for ColoradoI.Wilson pass complete short middle to C.Williams caught at KSU00, for 11 yards to the KSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN▶Watch from this play
Big 12 Conference
Q4, 0:02 · Kansas State down 7, ties itBlake Barnett finds Garrett Oakley for an 8-yard touchdownKansas State at Colorado, week 9Q4, 0:02 · Kansas State 21, Colorado 210:02Game-tying touchdown for Kansas State with 0:02 left0:02Game-tying touchdown for Kansas State with 0:02 leftGame-tying touchdown for Kansas State with 0:02 leftGarrett Oakley 8 yd pass from Blake Barnett (Luis Rodriguez Kick)▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference
Q4, 1:15 · Kansas State down 11Rodney Fields Jr. runs 2 yards for a touchdownKansas State at Cincinnati, week 4Q4, 1:15 · Kansas State 26, Cincinnati 31▼21%Kansas State’s chance to win, 29% to 8%▼21%Kansas State’s chance to win, 29% to 8%R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CIN00 touchdown A.Johnson pass attempt failed▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 2:14 · Kansas State down 7, ties itBlake Barnett finds Linkon Cure for a 33-yard touchdownKansas State at Colorado, week 9Q3, 2:14 · Kansas State 14, Colorado 14▲20%Kansas State’s chance to win, 20% to 40%▲20%Kansas State’s chance to win, 20% to 40%B.Barnett pass complete short left to L.Cure caught at COLO15, for 33 yards to the COLO00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD, kick good▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference
- Q3, 6:32 · Kansas State down 6, takes the leadJoe Jackson runs 8 yards for a touchdownKansas at Kansas State, week 7Q3, 6:32 · Kansas State 25, Kansas 24▲20%Kansas State’s chance to win, 45% to 65%▲20%Kansas State’s chance to win, 45% to 65%J.Jackson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KAN00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 9:52 · Houston up 4Conner Weigman finds Patrick Overmyer for a 2-yard touchdownHouston at Kansas State, week 6Q2, 9:52 · Houston 14, Kansas State 3▲20%Houston’s chance to win, 56% to 76%▲20%Houston’s chance to win, 56% to 76%C.Weigman pass complete short right to P.Overmyer caught at KSTATE00, for 2 yards to the KSTATE00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference
How scary each game got
Kansas State lost at Cincinnati after being 83% to win; the closest win was against Kansas, down to 18%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Kansas State during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Kansas State
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · Kansas StateLogan Bartley leads Kansas State with 54 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+15 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Kansas State fields a strong methodical, ball-control offense behind a leaky defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Kansas State reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 13%) and success rate (top 20%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Kansas State sits at the 4th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Kansas State is worth +5.4 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 72nd percentile of 133 programs
65% at home, 42% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (32-17 home, 18-25 away). Interval ±3.6.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Kansas State has beaten the number by +3.5 more at home than away over 100 games. That is inside the ±6.4 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Bill Snyder Family Stadium seats 50,000 and has averaged 103% full (51,627, 30 games reported). Visitors cover a median 486 miles to get here since 2018 — 59th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is a home crowd more than a home town: only 6% of the 2026 roster (6 of 108 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 57 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatGarrett Oakley is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatJaron Tibbs is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatJayce Brown is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Rodney Fields Jr. and Joe Jackson split the carries (93/177 vs 84/177) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Joe Jackson gets the clock-killing work.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Jaron Tibbs (WR) and Garrett Oakley (TE) split the targets (55/79 vs 24/79) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Garrett Oakley produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Kansas State actually scores
48th percentile quality, 44th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Kansas State’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 68th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 38th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Kansas State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
64th percentile success on standard downs, 68th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Kansas State by half
1st-half offense ranks 58th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 47th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Kansas State’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.19; 61st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.05. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.59 raw vs. 0.05 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Kansas State’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.5% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 230-play sample) — mid-pack, 76 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Kansas State’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (63.2% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 140-play sample) — mid-pack, 10 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
62% recovery rate on their own fumbles — well above the ~52% league baseline.
5 of 8 own fumbles recovered themselves; 4 of 8 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
3% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — below the ~18% league average, and due for more.
1 interceptions of 32 disrupted passes (31 deflected, 1 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
32 penalties committed, 45 drawn on opponents — netting a 90-yard field-position edge.
296 penalty yards committed vs. 386 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Kansas State
Most similar programs · Kansas StateReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 52°, between 35° and 65° in about 7 in 10 games (34 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 63°, and 8 in 10 ran between 41° and 82° (50 of 51 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.