LSU

2-0AP #7

SEC · Lane Kiffin, year 1 (2-0) · Tiger Stadium (LA) · 102,321 · 102,321 avg in 2026

The nationAP #7 · Coaches #7up 1 from last week
The model#22 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #9 (+23.3) · FPI #9
The marketLSU by 3at Ole Miss · our model 38% LSU · a number, not a pick

LastW 45–14 vs Louisiana Tech · Sat Sep 12 · Princewill Umanmielen 3 sacks, 4 TFL, 5 tackles

Nextat Ole Miss · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 pm ET · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · LSU by 3 · series 64-41-4, last win 2024 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
48.0
Pts allowed/game
12.0
Total yards/gm#7 / 138 · 95th pct
586.0
Rush yards/gmT-#32 / 138 · 77th pct
228.0
Pass yards/gm#10 / 138 · 93rd pct
358.0
Yards allowed/gm#1 / 138 · 99th pct
142.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#2 / 138 · 99th pct
18.5
SacksT-#2 / 138 · 99th pct
11
InterceptionsT-#29 / 115 · 61st pct
2
3rd-down conv#13 / 138 · 91st pct
57.6%
All 86 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
1172586.0/gm6.55/play#7 / 138 · 95th pct#4 / 69 · 95th pct#2 / 16 · 91st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
285142.5/gm2.77/play#1 / 138 · 99th pct#1 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
456228.0/gm2.55/playT-#32 / 138 · 77th pctT-#19 / 69 · 72nd pct#7 / 16 · 59th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3718.5/gm0.36/play#2 / 138 · 99th pct#2 / 69 · 98th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
10251.0/gm#12 / 138 · 92nd pct#3 / 69 · 96th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5728.5/gmT-#23 / 138 · 83rd pctT-#17 / 69 · 75th pct#6 / 16 · 66th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
84.0/gmT-#9 / 138 · 91st pctT-#6 / 69 · 88th pctT-#1 / 16 · 88th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 69 · 64th pctT-#6 / 16 · 59th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
716358.0/gm4.00/play#10 / 138 · 93rd pct#4 / 69 · 95th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
248124.0/gm2.41/playT-#11 / 138 · 92nd pctT-#8 / 69 · 88th pct#3 / 16 · 84th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
7738.5/gmT-#22 / 138 · 84th pct#9 / 69 · 88th pct#2 / 16 · 91st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4623.0/gm#19 / 138 · 87th pct#10 / 69 · 86th pct#2 / 16 · 91st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
4924.5/gmT-#28 / 138 · 79th pctT-#13 / 69 · 81st pctT-#1 / 16 · 94th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2814.0/gmT-#23 / 138 · 82nd pctT-#15 / 69 · 77th pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
31.5/gmT-#72 / 138 · 41st pctT-#44 / 69 · 30th pctT-#13 / 16 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#13 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#2 / 16 · 72nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
149.4149.4#51 / 115 · 56th pct#36 / 59 · 40th pct#8 / 14 · 46th pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct
Opp
95.995.9#9 / 91 · 91st pct#7 / 41 · 84th pct#2 / 11 · 86th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
42.0/gmT-#3 / 138 · 97th pctT-#2 / 69 · 96th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#77 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#40 / 69 · 29th pctT-#6 / 16 · 38th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
115.5/gmT-#2 / 138 · 99th pctT-#2 / 69 · 97th pctT-#1 / 16 · 94th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#101 / 138 · 20th pctT-#56 / 69 · 14th pctT-#13 / 16 · 19th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
2211.0/gm#4 / 138 · 97th pct#2 / 69 · 98th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
136.5/gmT-#109 / 138 · 18th pctT-#63 / 69 · 8th pctT-#13 / 16 · 19th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
6432.0/gm#4 / 138 · 97th pct#3 / 69 · 96th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
168.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 99th pctT-#1 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
199.5/gmT-#7 / 138 · 95th pctT-#3 / 69 · 96th pct#2 / 16 · 91st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#2 / 138 · 97th pctT-#2 / 69 · 95th pctT-#2 / 16 · 84th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
3316.5/gmT-#17 / 138 · 86th pctT-#4 / 69 · 92nd pctT-#2 / 16 · 88th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2713.5/gmT-#54 / 138 · 59th pctT-#28 / 69 · 58th pct#7 / 16 · 59th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
21.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 51st pctT-#28 / 69 · 49th pctT-#10 / 16 · 31st pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 91st pctT-#1 / 69 · 90th pctT-#1 / 16 · 94th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
21.0/gmT-#98 / 138 · 22nd pctT-#45 / 69 · 29th pctT-#11 / 16 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 74th pctT-#10 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#2 / 16 · 81st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
70:1835:09/gm#22 / 138 · 84th pct#7 / 69 · 91st pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
49:4224:51/gm#13 / 138 · 91st pct#7 / 69 · 91st pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.47 EPA/play10241 / 6662.1574
#24 FBS
8.724133.15345.25.77.0
1127 / 107010910.910194.697.2
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
Balanced Back · +0.15 EPA/play13241179
#33 FBS
4.42
#43 FBS
46
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
Move TE · +1.66 EPA/play7210162
#54 FBS
16.2124
Possession Receiver · +0.71 EPA/play6212153
#65 FBS
12.8132
+0.64 EPA/play321012812.8053

2026 stat leaders · LSU

through 2 games

Sam Leavitt leads LSU with 574 passing yards through 2 games.

1. Sam Leavitt QB 574 passing yards
2. TJ Dottery LB 14 tackles
3. Trey'Dez Green TE 162 receiving yards
4. Whit Weeks LB 13 tackles
5. Winston Watkins WR 153 receiving yards
How They Play · 2025

LSU fields a struggling pass-first offense behind a strong defense.

Offense
19th pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
55% pass plays
Defense
79th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · LSU · 2025

LSU reads strongest in rushing epa allowed (top 16%) and epa allowed (top 21%); the crux lives in epa / play, where LSU sits at the 19th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.09
19th
Success Rate +0.39
23rd
Explosive Plays +1.23
39th
Rushing EPA +0.03
23rd

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.07
79th
Success Rate Allowed +0.38
75th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.25
53rd
Passing EPA Allowed +0.19
66th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.21
33rd
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.00
85th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 13 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · LSU · 2018–present · FBS opponents

LSU is worth +6.6 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 91st percentile of 133 programs

82% at home, 53% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (40–9 home, 19–17 away). Interval ±3.9.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, LSU has beaten the number by +2.6 more at home than away over 70 games — inside the ±6.0 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Tiger Stadium (LA) seats 102,321 and has averaged 99% full (101,122, 30 games reported). Visitors cover a median 335 miles to get here since 2018 — 48th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 28% of the 2026 roster (30 of 107 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 56 home games since 2018.

Home40–9Away19–17Edge+6.6 ±3.9Visitor trip335 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does LSU hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

33rd percentile success on standard downs, 98th on passing downs — a 65-point gap between the two.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantLSUWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i18th standard · 41st passingUNLV51st standard · 7th passingStanford76th standard · 15th passingEastern Michigan52nd standard · 10th passingSan José State54th standard · 22nd passingNew Mexico State45th standard · 75th passingSacramento State23rd standard · 14th passingOklahoma State41st standard · 49th passingDuke20th standard · 29th passingFlorida State28th standard · 65th passingRutgers30th standard · 71st passingKansas70th standard · 35th passingBoston College27th standard · 56th passingNorfolk State16th standard · 9th passingLouisville96th standard · 70th passingMissouri36th standard · 85th passingMemphis69th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Southern24th standard · 45th passingOle Miss94th standard · 50th passingJacksonville State65th standard · 82nd passingNorth Dakota State86th standard · 27th passingArizona92nd standard · 86th passingUSC97th standard · 99th passingWake Forest56th standard · 97th passingTCU93rd standard · 8th passingDelaware70th standard · 31st passingUAB65th standard · 81st passingMichigan State62nd standard · 29th passingSouth Florida91st standard · 52nd passingFlorida International46th standard · 43rd passingNavy98th standard · 59th passingWisconsin13th standard · 18th passingOregon State10th standard · 38th passingSyracuse48th standard · 64th passingOhio State90th standard · 40th passingBall State12th standard · 24th passingPittsburgh30th standard · 76th passingColorado35th standard · 77th passingGeorgia Tech58th standard · 44th passingAuburn75th standard · 55th passingBaylor40th standard · 96th passingNorth Texas49th standard · 68th passingApp State44th standard · 90th passingIowa State4th standard · 23rd passingUTSA99th standard · 29th passingArkansas60th standard · 80th passingBoise State58th standard · 46th passingOregon35th standard · 33rd passingTulsa56th standard · 1st passingTulane31st standard · 2nd passingPurdue83rd standard · 88th passingMiddle Tennessee87th standard · 68th passingVanderbilt80th standard · 12th passingSan Diego State4th standard · 40th passingLSU33rd standard · 98th passingClemson1st standard · 19th passingCentral Michigan16th standard · 6th passingTexas Tech88th standard · 48th passingMichigan2nd standard · 62nd passingWestern Michigan39th standard · 20th passingOhio38th standard · 17th passingBuffalo7th standard · 14th passingTexas72nd standard · 94th passingCoastal Carolina61st standard · 52nd passingColorado State82nd standard · 91st passingWyoming65th standard · 36th passingTexas A&M85th standard · 72nd passingLiberty14th standard · 59th passingFlorida Atlantic43rd standard · 87th passingLouisiana19th standard · 92nd passingSouth Alabama50th standard · 73rd passingTroy22nd standard · 59th passingSam Houston78th standard · 61st passingNevada77th standard · 52nd passingWestern Kentucky25th standard · 34th passingWashington State8th standard · 3rd passingWashington81st standard · 4th passingCalifornia9th standard · 25th passingCharlotte73rd standard · 83rd passingTennessee65th standard · 78th passingUtah State4th standard · 93rd passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
App State44th90th
Arizona92nd86th
Arkansas60th80th
Auburn75th55th
Ball State12th24th
Baylor40th96th
Boise State58th46th
Boston College27th56th
Buffalo7th14th
California9th25th
Central Michigan16th6th
Charlotte73rd83rd
Clemson1st19th
Coastal Carolina61st52nd
Colorado35th77th
Colorado State82nd91st
Delaware70th31st
Duke20th29th
Eastern Michigan52nd10th
Florida Atlantic43rd87th
Florida International46th43rd
Florida State28th65th
Georgia Southern24th45th
Georgia Tech58th44th
Hawai'i18th41st
Iowa State4th23rd
Jacksonville State65th82nd
Kansas70th35th
LSU33rd98th
Liberty14th59th
Louisiana19th92nd
Louisville96th70th
Memphis69th65th
Michigan2nd62nd
Michigan State62nd29th
Middle Tennessee87th68th
Missouri36th85th
Navy98th59th
Nevada77th52nd
New Mexico State45th75th
Norfolk State16th9th
North Dakota State86th27th
North Texas49th68th
Ohio38th17th
Ohio State90th40th
Oklahoma State41st49th
Ole Miss94th50th
Oregon35th33rd
Oregon State10th38th
Pittsburgh30th76th
Purdue83rd88th
Rutgers30th71st
Sacramento State23rd14th
Sam Houston78th61st
San Diego State4th40th
San José State54th22nd
South Alabama50th73rd
South Florida91st52nd
Stanford76th15th
Syracuse48th64th
TCU93rd8th
Tennessee65th78th
Texas72nd94th
Texas A&M85th72nd
Texas Tech88th48th
Troy22nd59th
Tulane31st2nd
Tulsa56th1st
UAB65th81st
UNLV51st7th
USC97th99th
UTSA99th29th
Utah State4th93rd
Vanderbilt80th12th
Wake Forest56th97th
Washington81st4th
Washington State8th3rd
Western Kentucky25th34th
Western Michigan39th20th
Wisconsin13th18th
Wyoming65th36th
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

Pass-depth identity

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), LSU’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.5% vs 68.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 64-play sample) — mid-pack, 21 of 41 qualifying offenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 59 claims, 59 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=64 short-zone plays, raw rate 68.8%
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank LSU

CFB Zeitgeist

#22

+6.5

SP+

#9

+23.3

FPI

#9

+22.6

Elo

#16

1794

The national models put LSU between 9th and 16th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is more skeptical, at 22nd.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · LSU

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

73°F average kickoff temp; 14% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.

Based on 56 home games with weather data.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site