UCLA

2-0

Big Ten · Bob Chesney, year 1 (2-0) · Rose Bowl · 88,565 · 31,976 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#51 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #36 (+9.2) · FPI #38
The marketUCLA by 14.5vs Purdue · our model 84% UCLA · a number, not a pick

LastW 28–10 vs San Diego State · Sat Sep 12 · Jalen Woods 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 1 INT

Nextvs Purdue · Sat Sep 19 · 11 pm ET · Rose Bowl · UCLA by 14.5 · series 3-0-2, won the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
36.5
Pts allowed/game
17.0
Total yards/gm#74 / 138 · 47th pct
413.0
Rush yards/gm#26 / 138 · 82nd pct
245.5
Pass yards/gm#113 / 138 · 18th pct
167.5
Yards allowed/gm#56 / 138 · 60th pct
299.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#79 / 138 · 43rd pct
131.5
SacksT-#60 / 138 · 50th pct
4
InterceptionsT-#17 / 115 · 81st pct
3
3rd-down conv#54 / 138 · 61st pct
45.5%
All 92 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
826413.0/gm6.88/play#74 / 138 · 47th pct#44 / 69 · 37th pct#9 / 18 · 53rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
599299.5/gm4.19/play#56 / 138 · 60th pct#42 / 69 · 40th pct#12 / 18 · 36th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
491245.5/gm4.09/play#26 / 138 · 82nd pct#16 / 69 · 78th pct#3 / 18 · 86th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
263131.5/gm1.84/play#79 / 138 · 43rd pct#54 / 69 · 22nd pct#12 / 18 · 36th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
7537.5/gmT-#71 / 138 · 49th pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#8 / 18 · 58th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
7839.0/gmT-#107 / 138 · 22nd pct#62 / 69 · 11th pct#16 / 18 · 14th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
105.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 99th pctT-#1 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 18 · 97th pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 69 · 64th pctT-#4 / 18 · 67th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
335167.5/gm2.79/play#113 / 138 · 18th pct#64 / 69 · 8th pct#16 / 18 · 14th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
336168.0/gm2.35/play#44 / 138 · 68th pct#33 / 69 · 53rd pct#11 / 18 · 42nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
4522.5/gmT-#116 / 138 · 15th pct#63 / 69 · 9th pct#15 / 18 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6532.5/gmT-#92 / 138 · 33rd pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#15 / 18 · 19th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
2814.0/gmT-#114 / 138 · 17th pctT-#62 / 69 · 10th pct#15 / 18 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3216.0/gmT-#43 / 138 · 67th pctT-#26 / 69 · 60th pctT-#8 / 18 · 53rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
00.0/gmT-#135 / 138 · 1st pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#18 / 18 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#75 / 138 · 36th pctT-#47 / 69 · 22nd pctT-#13 / 18 · 28th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
111.4111.4#104 / 115 · 10th pct#58 / 59 · 3rd pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
101.7101.7#18 / 91 · 81st pct#14 / 41 · 67th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
21.0/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#8 / 69 · 78th pctT-#2 / 18 · 86th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#110 / 138 · 16th pctT-#60 / 69 · 11th pctT-#16 / 18 · 11th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
42.0/gmT-#60 / 138 · 50th pctT-#36 / 69 · 40th pctT-#9 / 18 · 50th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#74 / 138 · 37th pctT-#42 / 69 · 30th pctT-#13 / 18 · 28th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
126.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 59th pctT-#33 / 69 · 51st pct#10 / 18 · 47th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#14 / 138 · 88th pctT-#10 / 69 · 83rd pctT-#3 / 18 · 81st pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3919.5/gmT-#92 / 138 · 32nd pctT-#52 / 69 · 23rd pctT-#11 / 18 · 39th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3718.5/gmT-#73 / 138 · 45th pctT-#48 / 69 · 28th pctT-#12 / 18 · 33rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
105.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 44th pctT-#42 / 69 · 35th pctT-#11 / 18 · 36th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
136.5/gmT-#103 / 138 · 23rd pctT-#55 / 69 · 18th pct#18 / 18 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2211.0/gmT-#105 / 138 · 21st pctT-#50 / 69 · 24th pctT-#14 / 18 · 22nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3316.5/gmT-#115 / 138 · 16th pctT-#62 / 69 · 9th pct#18 / 18 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
00.0/gmT-#114 / 138 · 9th pctT-#52 / 69 · 13th pctT-#14 / 18 · 14th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 91st pctT-#1 / 69 · 90th pctT-#1 / 18 · 83rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
10.5/gmT-#119 / 138 · 9th pctT-#55 / 69 · 14th pct#17 / 18 · 8th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#80 / 138 · 36th pctT-#42 / 69 · 32nd pctT-#14 / 18 · 17th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
60:0630:03/gm#83 / 138 · 40th pct#42 / 69 · 40th pct#11 / 18 · 42nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
59:5429:57/gm#74 / 138 · 47th pct#42 / 69 · 40th pct#11 / 18 · 42nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.14 EPA/play9228 / 4463.63357.602118.54841.7
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.75 EPA/play3221168
#45 FBS
86
#1 FBS
36
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.78 EPA/play2289111.4045
+0.44 EPA/play4288610.8031

2026 stat leaders · UCLA

through 2 games

Jalen Woods leads UCLA with 20 tackles through 2 games.

1. Jalen Woods LB 20 tackles
2. Samuel Omosigho LB 19 tackles
3. Malik Hartford DB 15 tackles
4. Ta'Shawn James DB 13 tackles
5. Wayne Knight RB 168 rushing yards
How They Play · 2025

UCLA fields a limited methodical, ball-control offense behind a porous, bend-don't-break defense.

Offense
29th pct EPA/play
Tempo
37th pct success, 8th explosiveness
Defense
8th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
87th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · UCLA · 2025

UCLA reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 13%) and rushing epa (top 28%); the crux lives in success rate allowed, where UCLA sits at the 1st percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.11
29th
Success Rate +0.41
37th
Explosive Plays +1.16
8th
Rushing EPA +0.16
72nd

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.26
8th
Success Rate Allowed +0.50
1st
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.16
87th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.41
10th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.10
9th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.23
3rd
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · UCLA · 2018–present · FBS opponents

UCLA has had no measurable home edge — +0.3 points, home against road.

No measurable home edge, 3rd percentile of 133 programs

47% at home, 45% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (23–26 home, 19–23 away). Interval ±3.9.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, UCLA has beaten the number by 8.5 points less at home than away over 74 games — outside the ±7.0 that many games can resolve. This is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.

Rose Bowl seats 88,565 and has averaged 48% full (42,849, 27 games reported). Visitors face the 16th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 659 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads no measurable home edge. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 41% of the 2026 roster (49 of 119 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 51 home games since 2018.

Home23–26Away19–23Edge+0.3 ±3.9Visitor trip659 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected

UCLA's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 99th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 99th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 99th pctileCompetitive snaps only · 99th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

Halftime identity

UCLA by half

1st-half offense ranks 34th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 94th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.

league median1st half · 34th pctile2nd half · 94th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank UCLA

CFB Zeitgeist

#51

+2.8

SP+

#36

+9.2

FPI

#38

+7.0

Elo

#68

1487

The national models put UCLA between 36th and 68th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 51st.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · UCLA

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

74°F average kickoff temp; 4% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 76 home games with weather data.

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