Arizona beats Washington State 34-24

Arizona3-134
Washington State1-324Final
Sat, Sep 26 · Gesa Field, Pullman, Wash. · Crowd 23,903CBS

Arizona beat Washington State 34-24.

We had Arizona favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

Us getting finished off by a 51 yard field goal from a kicker that all the UA fans hate seems like a fitting end to this one.

Q4 2:37 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 26

How it swung

The turning point: Fifita intercepted by Bal at the Arizona 25 and returned for a TD, Washington State leads 14-0 (Q1, 2:05). Arizona went from 50% to 30% to win. Fans right then: “Thanks to arm punt that was a short pick-6.” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Arizona a 58% chance, and the closing betting line (Arizona was a 11.5-point favorite) put it at 82%.

Arizona came back from 14 down, at one point just a 28% chance in the first quarter.

Washington State led by 14, was as high as 72% in the first quarter, and still lost.

Pick-sixWashington State · Q1 2:05Blocked field goalQ2 3:36Blocked field goalQ3 6:00
FinalArizona 34-24 Washington StateArizona wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q455% at halfArizonaLowest 28%Won34-2412−20−15ScoresBlocked field goalArizonaW. StateArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minute
50%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q455% at halfArizonaLowest 28%Won34-2412ScoresBlocked field goalArizonaW. StateArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minute
50%10%25%75%Q1Q2Q3Q445% at halfArizonaHigh 72%Lost24-3412+20+15ScoresBlocked field goalW. StateArizonaWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minute
50%10%25%75%Q1Q2Q3Q445% at halfArizonaHigh 72%Lost24-3412ScoresBlocked field goalW. StateArizonaWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 5 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 0 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 3 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minuteArizona fans: 2 comments a minuteArizona fans: 4 comments a minuteArizona fans: 1 comments a minute

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 2:05InterceptionPenaltyFifita intercepted by Bal at the Arizona 25 and returned for a TD, Washington State leads 14-0Arizona 50% → 30% (−20)
  2. 2Q3 6:00Salgado-Medina 43-yd field goal no good, blockedArizona 62% → 47% (−15)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 2:05InterceptionPenaltyFifita intercepted by Bal at the Arizona 25 and returned for a TD, Washington State leads 14-0Washington State 50% → 70% (+20)
  2. 2Q3 6:00Salgado-Medina 43-yd field goal no good, blockedWashington State 38% → 53% (+15)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 10:33Pinnick runs for a touchdown, giving Washington State a 7-0 lead#STOP THE COUNT!r/CFB game thread
  2. Q1 2:57The quarterback threw an interception directly to a defender.Why'd he throw it to that guy who is not on our team?r/CFB game thread
  3. Q1 2:05Washington State fans chanted 'fuck the wildcats' on the stream.Thanks to arm punt that was a short pick-6.r/CFB game thread
  4. Q2 1:43Officials overturn Pinnick interception, Arizona fans celebrate fair callWhat a terrible throw lmaor/CFB game thread
  5. Q2 0:27Stevens kicks a field goal to give Washington State a 17-14 leadSTEVENS I NEVER DOUBTED YOU!!!r/CFB game threadActually huge, we really do need to be able to kick and he needs to know we can trust him. that 3rd down play call was still bad thoughr/CFB game thread
  6. Q3 9:25Arizona's Salgado-Medina misses a 42-yard field goal as fans mock the kickerYour field goal kicker sucksr/CFB game thread
  7. Q3 4:02Fifita throws deep touchdown to Smith as Arizona takes leadSigh… that was a really nice catchr/CFB game thread
  8. Q4 7:15Arizona fans rip Danny Gonzales for Cover 0 blitz on 4th and longCover 0 on 4th and 10 with man press is a choicer/CFB game threadZero blitz on 4th and long *thousand yard stare*r/CFB game thread
  9. Q4 2:37Arizona's Salgado-Medina kicks a 51-yard field goal to make it 34-24I’ve never said anything bad about Michael Salgado-Medinar/CFB game threadQuoted at the top of the page.
Arizona’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Arizona -11.5), at 68% for Arizona (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Washington State or Arizona flair (572 and 503); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Arizona’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 9:57Pinnick 11-yd TD runWashington State goes ahead 7-0Q1, 9:57 · Arizona 0, Washington State 7▼11%Arizona’s chance to win, 62% to 51%▼11%Arizona’s chance to win, 62% to 51%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  2. Q1, 2:57Pinnick intercepted by Chapa at the Arizona 8Q1, 2:57 · Arizona 0, Washington State 7▲7%Arizona’s chance to win, 42% to 49%▲7%Arizona’s chance to win, 42% to 49%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  3. Q1, 2:05Fifita intercepted by Bal at the Arizona 25 and returned for a TDWashington State leads 14-0Q1, 2:05 · Arizona 0, Washington State 14▼20%Arizona’s chance to win, 50% to 30%▼20%Arizona’s chance to win, 50% to 30%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  4. Q1, 0:08Fifita 28-yd TD pass to Spiveycuts it to 14-7Q1, 0:08 · Arizona 7, Washington State 14▲9%Arizona’s chance to win, 39% to 48%▲9%Arizona’s chance to win, 39% to 48%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  5. Q2, 7:42Fifita 4-yd TD pass to Spiveyties it 14-14Q2, 7:42 · Arizona 14, Washington State 14▲4%Arizona’s chance to win, 58% to 62%▲4%Arizona’s chance to win, 58% to 62%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  6. Q3, 4:02Fifita 38-yd TD pass to SmithArizona goes ahead 21-17Q3, 4:02 · Arizona 21, Washington State 17▲15%Arizona’s chance to win, 56% to 71%▲15%Arizona’s chance to win, 56% to 71%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  7. Q4, 9:07Fifita 11-yd TD pass to MizellArizona leads 31-17Q4, 9:07 · Arizona 31, Washington State 17▲2%Arizona’s chance to win, 95% to 97%▲2%Arizona’s chance to win, 95% to 97%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  8. Q4, 7:15Pinnick 46-yd TD pass to Ganashamoorthycuts it to 31-24Q4, 7:15 · Arizona 31, Washington State 24▼6%Arizona’s chance to win, 97% to 91%▼6%Arizona’s chance to win, 97% to 91%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football

Every drive

Arizona scored on 6 of its 14 drives; Washington State on 3 of its 12.

Arizona’s drives are teal, Washington State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Arizona: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntWashington State: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownArizona: Punt, from 75 yards out to 42PuntWashington State: Interception, from 89 yards out to 48InterceptionArizona: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 92 yards out to 78Interception TDArizona: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownWashington State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntQ2Arizona: Touchdown, from 78 yards out to 0TouchdownWashington State: Missed field goal, from 66 yards out to 21Missed FGArizona: Punt, from 73 yards out to 77PuntWashington State: Field goal, from 67 yards out to 15Field goalArizona: End of half, from 85 yards out to 87End of halfQ3Washington State: Punt, from 79 yards out to 77PuntArizona: Missed field goal, from 33 yards out to 25Missed FGWashington State: Fumble, from 74 yards out to 68FumbleArizona: Missed field goal, from 32 yards out to 26Missed FGWashington State: Punt, from 74 yards out to 68PuntArizona: Touchdown, from 82 yards out to 0TouchdownWashington State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntArizona: Field goal, from 80 yards out to 10Field goalQ4Washington State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntArizona: Touchdown, from 69 yards out to 0TouchdownWashington State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownArizona: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 34Field goalWashington State: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 24DownsArizona: End of game, from 76 yards out to 78End of game

From Washington State’s side

Washington State’s best moment: Fifita intercepted by Bal at the Arizona 25 and returned for a TD, Washington State leads 14-0 (Q1 2:05). It lifted Washington State’s win chance by 20 points.

How Washington State fans took it: “I’m starting to believe our playoff chances may be in jeopardy” r/CFB game thread

“I’d expect any previous PAC-12 team that comes into Pullman to get the same treatment.”
A Washington State fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

Fans had the most to say in the opening quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthArizona fansWashington State fansusual

Too close to call on 49% of plays.

What it cost

Washington State’s chance to make the playoff fell from 3% to 1%.

Make the playoff

Arizona · won4% → ▲5%4%▲ 5%
Washington State · lost3% → ▼1%

Win the conference

Arizona · won4% → 4%
Washington State · lost15% → ▼14%15%▼ 14%

Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Arizona 34, Washington State 24

Washington State covered +11.5 by 1.5. The total, 58, went over 47.5.

ArizonaWashington StateTotal yardsArizona 447Washington State 335447335Passing yardsArizona 297Washington State 241297241Rushing yardsArizona 150Washington State 9415094First downsArizona 24Washington State 232423TurnoversArizona 1Washington State 212Time of possessionArizona 34:02Washington State 25:5834:0225:58
Team totalsArizonaWashington State
Total yards447335
Passing22 of 36, 297 yds24 of 41, 241 yds
Rushing38 for 150 yds30 for 94 yds
First downs2423
Third down7 of 155 of 15
Fourth down0 of 01 of 2
Turnovers12
Penalties5 for 65 yds7 for 56 yds
Time of possession34:0225:58

Arizona leaders

  • Passing Noah Fifita 22 of 36, 297 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Ismail Mahdi 10 for 63 yds; Kedrick Reescano 7 for 34 yds
  • Receiving Tre Spivey 7 for 129 yds, 2 TD; Caleb Smith 4 for 86 yds, 1 TD

Washington State leaders

  • Passing Caden Pinnick 24 of 41, 241 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Kirby Vorhees 9 for 39 yds; Caden Pinnick 13 for 35 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Branden Ganashamoorthy 4 for 67 yds, 1 TD; Darrius Clemons 4 for 57 yds

No rain and calm

58° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 3 mph from the northeast, gusts to 10

The usual here around this date is 60°, with about 7 in 10 games between 49° and 69°.

September game-day temperatures at Gesa Field

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Washington State favoredArizona favored0%Win chanceWashington StateRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Washington State favoredArizona favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 2:05 left5:14 p.m.
Arizona 0, Washington State 14 · Washington State 70% to win
no rain · wind 3 mph from the north-northeast · 57°
Fifita intercepted by Bal at the Arizona 25 and returned for a TD, Washington State leads 14-0

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Pullman/moscow Rgnl airport, 2.5 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Arizona · 2-1

Rated 27th in our preseason ratings, 28th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Last three games

Washington State · 1-2

Rated 43rd in our preseason ratings, 49th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Washington State

Wk 1: L 10-24 at Washington▼14WashingtonWk 2: L 7-34 at Kansas State▼27Kansas StateWk 3: W 48-7 vs Duquesne▲41Duquesne
  • Wk 1Lat Washington10-24
  • Wk 2Lat Kansas State7-34
  • Wk 3Wvs Duquesne48-7

Arizona

Wk 1: W 35-7 vs Northern Arizona▲28Northern ArizonaWk 2: L 17-28 at BYU▼11BYUWk 3: W 42-17 vs Northern Illinois▲25N. Illinois
  • Wk 1Wvs Northern Arizona35-7
  • Wk 2Lat BYU17-28
  • Wk 3Wvs Northern Illinois42-17

Power rating by week

Arizona is rated 2.7 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

753Wk 0Wk 2Wk 3Washington StateArizona

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Washington State’s success rate against Arizona, 82 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Washington State’s success rate against Arizona’s defense

    82 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Washington State offense, 3rd percentile · Arizona defense, 85th

  2. Washington State’s passing EPA against Arizona’s defense

    77 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Washington State offense, 8th percentile · Arizona defense, 85th

  3. Washington State’s explosive plays against Arizona’s defense

    39 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Washington State offense, 41st percentile · Arizona defense, 2nd

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

ArizonaWashington State
EPA/play, offense
Arizona · 81Washington State · 6
EPA/play, defense
Arizona · 76Washington State · 61
Success rate, offense
Arizona · 88Washington State · 3
Success rate, defense
Arizona · 85Washington State · 59
Explosive-play rate, offense
Arizona · 66Washington State · 41
Explosive-play rate, defense
Arizona · 2Washington State · 26
Rush EPA, offense
Arizona · 73Washington Stat…
Rush EPA, defense
Arizona · 71Washington State · 38
Pass EPA, offense
Arizona · 81Washington State · 8
Pass EPA, defense
Arizona · 85Washington State · 66

The series

Arizona leads the series 28-19

47 meetings since 1963 · Arizona won the last meeting

Washington State wonArizona won1963: Washington State by 51964: Arizona by 161965: Washington State by 181966: Arizona by 101968: Arizona by 141971: Arizona by 111972: Washington State by 221978: Arizona by 71979: Arizona by 151980: Washington State by 241981: Washington State by 151982: Arizona by 171983: Arizona by 391985: Arizona by 51986: Arizona by 251987: Washington State by 171988: Arizona by 171989: Arizona by 21990: Arizona by 81991: Washington State by 131992: Washington State by 31993: Arizona by 31994: Arizona by 31995: Arizona by 101996: Arizona by 81997: Washington State by 11998: Arizona by 341999: Arizona by 62000: Arizona by 62001: Washington State by 272002: Washington State by 82003: Washington State by 232004: Washington State by 12006: Arizona by 102007: Arizona by 282008: Arizona by 312009: Arizona by 412010: Arizona by 172013: Washington State by 72014: Arizona by 222015: Washington State by 32016: Washington State by 622017: Arizona by 212018: Washington State by 412021: Washington State by 262022: Washington State by 112023: Arizona by 3819632023
  • 2023Arizona 44-6Washington State lost 6-44 vs Arizona. Chance to win started at 71%, low under 1%, high 81%.
  • 2022Washington State 31-20Washington State won 31-20 at Arizona. Chance to win started at 62%, low 62%, high better than 99%.
  • 2021Washington State 44-18Washington State won 44-18 vs Arizona. Chance to win started at 86%, low 77%, high better than 99%.
  • 2018Washington State 69-28Washington State won 69-28 vs Arizona. Chance to win started at 78%, low 78%, high better than 99%.
  • 2017Arizona 58-37

Each line is Washington State’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Arizona fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (79th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

  • Model · 42%
  • Line · 18%
  • Washington State fans · 19th
  • Arizona fans · 79th

Arizona favored by 11.5 · Total 47.5

How games like this usually go

Arizona by 11.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Washington State.

opened +13.5now +11.5

The total fell 1 point.

opened 48.5now 47.5

Spread: +13.5 → +11.5 · Total: 48.5 → 47.5

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Cool and dry. Feels like 52° at kickoff.

Arizona at Washington State · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Gesa Field, Pullman

  • 52°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 93weather score, Comfortable
  • Bestof the day's 4 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 4 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the best of the day's four kickoff times. At Gesa Field that day, a 7:30 pm or 8 pm kickoff would have scored 87, against 93 at 4:30 pm.

  • 4:30 pm: 93, Comfortable (this game)
  • 6 pm: 89, Mixed
  • 7:30 pm: 87, Mixed
  • 8 pm: 87, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Washington State is worth +5.2 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 70th percentile.

63% at home, 34% on the road against FBS opponents (26-15 home, 15-29 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.4 at home vs. away over 93 games — inside the ±6.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 1,055 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Our History pages cover 3 of their meetings since 2016.

Where next