cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ashley Williams /Louisiana

Ashley Williams

LB · Louisiana · So · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

20 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Louisiana for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Louisiana for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Louisiana

Returning around him

  • 57% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Louisiana player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (5 in / 7 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Louisiana · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #91 · 2026 recruiting class #81

LB · LOUISIANA · SUN BELT

Ashley Williams

  • 2
  • #17
  • 6-5 | 255 lb
  • Zachary, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 82nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12013

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Louisiana
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class2
Jersey17
Measurements6-5 | 255 lb
HometownZachary, LA
Primary teamLouisiana

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12013Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12156Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ashley Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ashley Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
20Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
24Tackles
3.0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 20): needs 30/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 20): needs 40/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ashley Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Louisiana's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12013 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 20 9 solo | #1998/4942 (60th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
20 60th
SOLO
9 54th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
3 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 12-14vs Rice440.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 2W 34-10vs McNeese000.00.00
Wk 3L 10-52@ Missouri100.00.00
Wk 4L 31-34@ Eastern Michigan100.00.00
Wk 5W 54-51vs Marshall210.00.00
Wk 7L 14-24@ James Madison000.00.00
Wk 8L 10-22vs Southern Miss311.00.00
Wk 10W 31-22@ South Alabama310.00.00
Wk 13W 34-30@ Arkansas State300.50.00
Wk 14W 30-27vs UL Monroe110.00.00
BowlL 13-20@ Delaware211.00.00
Total2092.50.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Louisiana10-4HC: Michael Desormeaux · Run-leaning
2025Louisiana6-7HC: Michael Desormeaux · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Louisiana2092.50.0------
2024Louisiana17122.50.0------
Career2 loaded seasons37215.00.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 20 #1998/4942 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 9 #2127/4584 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.00.20.00.0
Road6g1.70.20.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g1.80.10.00.0
Losses6g1.80.30.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g1.40.10.00.0
Weeks 8+4g2.50.40.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

40Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (81st). Concern: passes defended (17th).

QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles#1998 / 2975 · 32nd pct
20defe
Solo tackles#2127 / 2975 · 26th pct
9defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Ashley WilliamsLouisianaMicah DaveyUTEP· 57% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 56% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 55% sim
QB hurries
82
Williams
82
Davey
88
Parker
22
Martin
Tackles for loss
56
Williams
91
Davey
87
Parker
63
Martin
Forced fumbles
47
Williams
47
Davey
47
Parker
47
Martin
Tackles
32
Williams
99
Davey
98
Parker
98
Martin
Solo tackles
26
Williams
99
Davey
96
Parker
87
Martin
Sacks
24
Williams
63
Davey
80
Parker
24
Martin
Passes defended
18
Williams
18
Davey
18
Parker
67
Martin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ashley Williams’s 2024 season.

Ashley Williams

80%match

Louisiana · 2024

#2

Desmond Umeozulu

South Carolina · 2025

68%
#3

Cole Nilles

Texas State · 2025

67%
#4

Marlin Dean

Georgia State · 2025

64%
#5

Michael Fairbanks II

UAB · 2021

63%

Matches Ashley on

Sack rate
Weight
Height

Differs from Ashley on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Destin Gainer's sophomore season at New Mexico (2023).

Destin Gainer

83%match

New Mexico · 2023

#2

Dominic Lolesio

Arizona · 2024

79%
#3

Bradley Vislisel

New Mexico State · 2025

77%
#4

Isaiah Nixon

UCF · 2025

77%
#5

Zachary Chapman

TCU · 2025

76%

Matches Destin on

Class year
Tackle volume
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Michael Desormeaux

Pass share

40.1%

341 pass / 509 run

Plays / game

65.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

257 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Michael Desormeaux
Louisiana
2025
Michael Desormeaux
Louisiana

Played his entire career under Michael Desormeaux.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownZachary, LA
Height6'5"
Weight255 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisiana LB2 #12013 #12156 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Arizona State LB2 #14619 #14668 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisiana Sun Belt LB 2 No. 17 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Zachary, LA
2024 Louisiana Sun Belt LB 2 No. 17 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Zachary, LA
2023 Arizona State Pac-12 LB 2 No. 17 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Zachary, LA