#17

Drew Mestemaker

Drew Mestemaker packed up and started over at Oklahoma State, and the new tape already reads No.4 9.4 Y/A, qualified QBs.

QB · Oklahoma State · R-So. · #17

6′3″ · 215 lb · Austin, TX · Vandegrift

CFB Index 79 · #15 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceTransferred North Texas → Oklahoma State for 2026

Next upSat Sep 19 · 7 pm ETvs Murray StateBoone Pickens Stadium

The numbers

558

passing yards · 2026

3 TD · 4 INT · 6.1 per attempt

2 games into 2026 so far -- Backed by 608 yds · 4 TD -- top 0.1% passing yards game. -- Best game: 317 pass yds, 2 TD, 2 INT, vs Oregon

The play that turned itSwung North Texas from 8% to 54% to win.North Texas at Texas State · 30-28

His career numbers, season by season

The story

2 quarterback for Oklahoma State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.

Transferred from North Texas to Oklahoma State in 2026.
Named AAC Offensive Player of the Year in 2025.
OSU fans storm field after upset win over Oregon (Sep 13) Reported

The full story, with sources

How he plays

Extends plays with his feet until something opens up.

Sack rate: 73rd percentile.

The full scouting read

Drew Mestemaker

QB · Oklahoma State · So · #17

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-09-15

Drew Mestemaker arrives at Oklahoma State with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

558PASS YDS3PASS TD112RUSH YDS

9.4 Y/A · QUALIFIED QBs

No.4

#4 YPA at 9.40 among qualified QBs.

Read the story so far

He lines up at QB for Oklahoma State.

On the field, the headline is 558 pass yds, with 3 pass td.

He inherited the QB job from Zane Flores (3-star).

The number to watch: No.4 — 9.4 y/a · qualified qbs.

QB successionlow bar

Inherited fromZane Flores 3★

Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.

season totals
#4 YPA at 9.40 among qualified QBs.
throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-09-15

2026 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2024North Texas6-7HC: Eric Morris · Pass-leaning

2025North Texas12-2HC: Drew Svoboda · Balanced

2026Oklahoma State1-1HC: Eric Morris · Pass-leaning, fast tempo

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

79All-Conference level #15 of 146?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (88th percentile). Concern: epa / dropback (4th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#4 / 13 · 73rd pct

2.1%

Success rate#7 / 13 · 50th pct

38.5%

Explosive rate#10 / 13 · 27th pct

7.4%

EPA / dropback#13 / 13 · 4th pct

-0.07

Interception rate#13 / 13 · 4th pct

4.2%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#2 / 13 · 88th pct

112

Rush TDs#3 / 13 · 62nd pct

Fumbles lost#3 / 11 · 50th pct

Pass TDs#7 / 13 · 38th pct

Yards / att#9 / 13 · 31st pct

6.1

Completion %#10 / 13 · 27th pct

59.8%

Pass yards#12 / 13 · 12th pct

558

Interceptions#13 / 13 · 4th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

94th → 4th percentile

Success rate

98th → 50th percentile

Explosive rate

94th → 27th percentile

Sack rate

82nd → 73rd percentile

Interception rate

63rd → 4th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

55/95 (57.9%) · 3 TD · 4 INT

95 of 92 attempts matched to play-by-play

94 of 95 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

4.5271 of 75 QBs

Sack rate

2.1%21 of 75 QBs

Rarely sacked (21 of 75), but Adjusted ANY/A hasn't followed (71 of 75).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

21% of attempts (20)

70%comp1 INT

Air -2.8 · YAC 7.0 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

46% of attempts (43)

60%comp1 INT

Air 4.3 · YAC 1.8 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

24% of attempts (23)

52%comp2 INT

Air 13.5 · YAC 6.2 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

9% of attempts (8)

38%comp

Air 28.9 · YAC 6.7 avg

Overall 57.9% completion on 95 attempts · 38% completion on 8 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Splits & context

Splits

Per-game splits

Through 2 games: 279 YDS/g, 1.5 TD/g, 6.2 YPA, 2.0 INT/g — splits start at 3 games.

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Eric Morris

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2026

Backup

On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career stats

Season	Team
2026	Oklahoma State	55	92	59.8%	558	6.1	3	4	112.8	45	--	--
2025	North Texas	319	465	68.6%	4,369	9.4	34	9	167.8	83	--	--
2024	North Texas	30	46	65.2%	462	10.0	2	2	155.2	63	--	--
Career		404	603	67.0%	5,389	8.9	39	15	158.4	75	--	--

Season	Team
2026	Oklahoma State	11	112	10.2	1	--
2025	North Texas	57	89	1.6	5	--
2024	North Texas	14	87	6.2	1	--
Career		82	288	3.5	7	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2026

W 39–31

vs Oregon

317 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT · QBR 80.1 · 109 rush yds (6 car) · 1 TD

Edged out Oregon at home in a shootout.

With L. Pozzobon — 44 AVG · 47 LONG · 3 NO · W. Young — 5 rec · 121 yds · 1 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 2 · Oregon · 3&5 · Q1 · EPA -11.16(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass intercepted by #9 D.Jackson at ORE04 broken up by #0 D.Robinson #9 D.Jackson return 96 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:04 #97 G.Hurych kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd)
Week 2 · Oregon · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +4.81(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker rush middle for 75 yards gain to the ORE03 (#9 D.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Week 1 · Tulsa · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA -4.47(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass intercepted by #1 Z.Williams at TLS00 QB hurried by #15 T.Davis, Touchback
Week 2 · Oregon · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +4.01(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep middle to #10 W.Young caught at ORE10, for 52 yards to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:47, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)
Week 1 · Tulsa · 4&7 · Q3 · EPA +3.63(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #0 J.Bowick caught at TLS01, for 16 yards to the TLS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:52, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)
Week 1 · Tulsa · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA -3.31(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass intercepted by #4 T.Williams at TLS29, End Of Play
Week 2 · Oregon · 3&8 · Q4 · EPA +2.99(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:21, 1ST DOWN #24 C.Hawkins rush attempt failed
Week 1 · Tulsa · 2&9 · Q4 · EPA +2.90(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep left to #10 W.Young caught at TLS36, for 27 yards to the TLS34 (#6 C.Thompson Jr.), 1ST DOWN
Week 2 · Oregon · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.86(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #0 J.Bowick caught at OSU35, for 24 yards to the OSU49 (#7 I.Obidegwu), 1ST DOWN
Week 2 · Oregon · 3&1 · Q2 · EPA +2.45(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #44 C.Kolb caught at ORE00, for 1 yard to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:54 #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2026 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 10-24@ Tulsa	29/49	241	1	2	4.9	—
Wk 2	W 39-31vs Oregon	26/43	317	2	2	7.4	80.1	Season-high 317 yds
Total		55/92	558	3	4	6.2	80.1

How he plays

Play style

Extends plays with his feet until something opens up.

CFB Index positional classification

DNA match

Player DNA

Scrambler

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

His 2026 production profile sits closest to Nick Starkel’s 2019 season.

Nick Starkel

57%match

Arkansas · 2019

Jordan Davis

Louisiana · 2017

56%

Conner Weigman

Texas A&M · 2024

56%

Ryan Metz

UTEP · 2015

55%

Rickie Collins

Syracuse · 2025

54%

Differs from Nick on

Class year (lower)

Rush usage (higher)

Total pass EPA (college ability) (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kyle McCord’s path through Syracuse.

Kyle McCord

99%match

Syracuse · 2024

All-ACCNFL Rd 6

Will Levis

Kentucky · 2022

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 2

93%

KJ Jefferson

UCF · 2024

92%

Josh Hoover

Indiana · 2026

88%

Michael Penix Jr.

Washington · 2023

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 8

88%

Matches Kyle on

Height

Completion %

Yards per attempt

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kirk Francis's junior season at Tulsa (2025).

Kirk Francis

54%match

Tulsa · 2025

Ben Finley

NC State · 2022

42%

Conner Weigman

Texas A&M · 2024

38%

Ashton Daniels

Stanford · 2024

37%

Haynes King

Texas A&M · 2022

All-ACC

34%

Matches Kirk on

Total pass EPA (college ability)

EPA / dropback (adj)

Differs from Kirk on

Weight (higher)

Height (higher)

Yards / attempt (higher)

Player DNA

Players who play like Drew Mestemaker

CJ Carr

Notre Dame · 2025

72%

Heisman trajectory

Heisman futures · sportsbook market

#28 in market ▲ from #41 · 6 books

+50001.0% implied▼ lengthened from +3500

Heisman Trajectory · 2026

Peak #164

Final rank

#164

Avg #383.0

Finalist prob 0%

Peaked at #164 this season.

Background

2025 Burlsworth Trophy Winner 2025 NCAA FBS Statistical Champion (Passing Yards, Passing Yards Per Game, Total Offense, Yards per Pass Attempt) 2025 American Conference Offensive Player of the Year 2025 Freshman All-America Team (FWAA) 2025 All-American Conference First Team 2025 Manning Award Fi...

via okstate.com ↗

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Drew Mestemaker

Attention percentile: 67th · Production percentile: 89th

What fans are saying

fans believe Drew Mestemaker is a key player but argue the team needs better support around him

202514 games

2026

2026 snapshot

Passing profile

Splits & context

Awards

Backup

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Scrambler

Players who play like Drew Mestemaker

Heisman trajectory

Peak #164

Background