#12

Grayson Loftis

Junior quarterback for Charlotte. 2025: 1,415 passing yards, 8 TD, 8 INT.

QB · Charlotte · Jr. · #12

6′3″ · 215 lb · Gaffney, SC · Gaffney

CFB Index 14 · #145 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceReturning to Charlotte for 2026

Next upSat Sep 19 · 6 pm ETat App StateKidd Brewer StadiumApp State by 17.5

The numbers

1,415

passing yards · 2025

8 TD · 8 INT · 6.1 per attempt

Best game: 295 pass yds, 2 TD, 6 rush yds, vs North Texas

The play that turned itSwung Duke from 23% to 80% to win.Duke at North Carolina · 47-45

His career numbers, season by season

The story

3 quarterback for Charlotte. 2025: 1,415 passing yards, 8 TD, 8 INT.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Duke in 2023.
Transferred from Duke to Charlotte in 2025.

His career, year by year

How he plays

Operates within the system without forcing anything.

Explosive rate: 41st percentile.

The full scouting read

Grayson Loftis

QB · Charlotte · Jr · #12

Operates within the system without forcing anything. Three head coaches in three seasons, at two different programs. The receipt: 295 pass yds, 6 rush yds against North Texas — Week 9, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo

2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning

2025Charlotte1-11HC: Tim Albin · Balanced, slow tempo

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

14Below cohort / limited sample #145 of 146?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: success rate (6th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#108 / 183 · 41st pct

8.4%

Interception rate#144 / 183 · 22nd pct

3.1%

EPA / dropback#162 / 183 · 12th pct

0.02

Sack rate#169 / 183 · 8th pct

9.3%

Success rate#173 / 183 · 6th pct

30.6%

Box-score rates (8)

Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct

Pass yards#119 / 183 · 35th pct

1415

Interceptions#115 / 183 · 32nd pct

Pass TDs#130 / 183 · 28th pct

Yards / att#150 / 183 · 16th pct

6.1

Completion %#164 / 183 · 11th pct

55.2%

Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct

Rush yards#177 / 183 · 4th pct

-86

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

123/225 (54.7%) · 8 TD · 8 INT

225 of 232 attempts matched to play-by-play

143 of 225 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

4.13181 of 206 QBs

Sack rate

9.0%184 of 206 QBs

Sacked on 9.0% of dropbacks (184 of 206) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (181 of 206).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

15% of attempts (22)

77%comp

Air -3.1 · YAC 7.3 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

53% of attempts (76)

62%comp1 INT

Air 3.5 · YAC 3.4 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

15% of attempts (21)

57%comp1 INT

Air 14.0 · YAC 3.6 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

17% of attempts (24)

38%comp2 INT

Air 31.4 · YAC 6.8 avg

Overall 54.7% completion on 225 attempts · 38% completion on 24 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	133	0.7	5.4	0.5
Road5g	123	0.8	5.0	1.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-75g	72.6	0.4	4.2	0.6
Weeks 8+6g	175	1.0	6.1	0.8

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Tim Albin

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

14 · #145 of 146 QBs

Three-star recruit. Now #145 at the position.

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-AAC

Based on 2025: #15 of 15 American Athletic QBs

How the All-AAC estimate is computed

22% estimated, 95% confidence interval 19–25%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Charlotte	128	232	55.2%	1,415	6.1	8	8	110.9	--	--	--
2024	Duke	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2023	Duke	91	163	55.8%	1,006	6.2	8	4	119.0	39	--	--
Career		219	395	55.4%	2,421	6.1	16	12	114.2	39	--	--

Season	Team
2025	Charlotte	47	-86	-1.8	0	--
2024	Duke	2	4	2.0	0	--
2023	Duke	20	17	0.8	1	--
Career		69	-65	-0.9	1	--

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 8 · Temple · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA -10.65Grayson Loftis pass intercepted Adrian Laing return for 64 yds for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)
Week 11 · East Carolina · 4&7 · Q2 · EPA +6.21(07:03) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete deep left to #5 J.Nicholas caught at ECU17, for 46 yards to the ECU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:52, 1ST DOWN #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #39 C.Garfield)
Week 9 · North Texas · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +5.15(11:34) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete deep middle to #5 J.Nicholas caught at UNT18, for 64 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:27, 1ST DOWN #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #39 C.Garfield)
Week 2 · North Carolina · 1&9 · Q4 · EPA -4.58Grayson Loftis pass intercepted Greg Smith return for 30 yds to the UNC 30
Week 9 · North Texas · 4&1 · Q1 · EPA +4.28(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #5 J.Nicholas caught at UNT28, for 33 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:15, 1ST DOWN #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #39 C.Garfield)
Week 4 · Rice · 3&10 · Q4 · EPA +4.22Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 31 yds for a TD (Grayson Loftis pass to Javen Nicholas for Two-Point Conversion)
Week 13 · Georgia · 3&3 · Q4 · EPA -4.21(06:05) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass intercepted by #26 D.Okonkwo at UGA00, Touchback
Week 8 · Temple · 3&5 · Q1 · EPA +3.80Grayson Loftis pass complete to Sean Brown for 36 yds to the TEM 34 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Rice · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA -3.49Grayson Loftis sacked by Ty Morris for a loss of 17 yards to the RICE 43 Grayson Loftis fumbled, forced by Ty Morris, recovered by RICE Tony Anyanwu , return for 0 yards
Week 11 · East Carolina · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.44(01:57) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete deep left to #8 S.Brown caught at ECU48, for 27 yards to the ECU48, out of bounds at ECU48, 1ST DOWN

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 11-34vs App State	0/1	0	0	0	0.0	0.1
Wk 2	L 3-20vs North Carolina	8/12	110	0	2	9.2	30.2
Wk 4	L 17-28vs Rice	15/31	186	1	0	6.0	15.2
Wk 6	L 26-54@ South Florida	2/11	-1	0	1	-0.1	1.5
Wk 7	L 7-24@ Army	8/12	68	1	0	5.7	85.7
Wk 8	L 14-49vs Temple	10/22	108	1	1	4.9	11.6
Wk 9	L 20-54vs North Texas	20/36	295	2	0	8.2	37.9	Season-high 295 yds
Wk 11	L 22-48@ East Carolina	20/31	279	3	1	9.0	27.6	3 TD passes
Wk 12	L 7-28vs UTSA	13/24	100	0	0	4.2	7.3
Wk 13	L 3-35@ Georgia	14/27	130	0	2	4.8	17.3
Wk 14	L 0-27@ Tulane	18/25	140	0	1	5.6	20.5
Total		128/232	1415	8	8	5.2	23.2

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

54.8%Completion %

17.9%Conversion/dropback

58.8%Land short of sticks

1INTs

54.8% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 17.9% conversion-per-dropback — 58.8% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

2026 Outlook

Charlotte

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Charlotte

Returning around him

41% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Charlotte · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #104 · 2026 recruiting class #103

DNA match

Player DNA

Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Michael Penix Jr.’s 2021 season.

Michael Penix Jr.

69%match

Indiana · 2021

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 8

Joey Labas

Central Michigan · 2024

64%

Bryce Archie

South Florida · 2024

63%

Kai Horton

Tulane · 2023

63%

Matt Zollers

Missouri · 2025

62%

Matches Michael on

TD rate

Differs from Michael on

Class year (lower)

INT rate (lower)

Rush usage (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Aidan Armenta’s path through UL Monroe.

Aidan Armenta

90%match

UL Monroe · 2025

Ross Bowers

Northern Illinois · 2020

89%

DJ Williams

Southern Illinois · 2025

88%

Kaden Anderson

Wyoming · 2025

87%

Cam Ransom

Bethune-Cookman · 2025

87%

Matches Aidan on

Height

Completion %

Yards per attempt

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Bryce Archie's junior season at South Florida (2024).

Bryce Archie

53%match

South Florida · 2024

Devin Kargman

Kent State · 2024

53%

Jack Lausch

Northwestern · 2024

52%

Malachi Nelson

UTEP · 2025

51%

Michael Alaimo

Kent State · 2023

48%

Matches Bryce on

Yards / attempt

Differs from Bryce on

EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)

Class year (lower)

Rush yards / carry (lower)

Player DNA

Players who play like Grayson Loftis

Matt Zollers

Missouri · 2025

62%

AJ Swann

Vanderbilt · 2023

62%

Jaden Rashada

Arizona State · 2023

46%

Background

At Charlotte Redshirt Sophomore, 2025 (11/7): Played in all but one game and started seven Became the primary starting quarterback in week five Led the quarterback room with 128 completions, 1,415 yards, and eight touchdowns Had 186 yards and a touchdown off the bench against Rice Threw for a pai...

via charlotte49ers.com ↗

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Grayson Loftis

20236 games

202511 games

2025 snapshot

Passing profile

Splits & context

Awards

Impact starter

Career stats

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Pocket Passer

Players who play like Grayson Loftis

Background