#12

Jacob Clark

Senior quarterback for Missouri State. 2025: 3,244 passing yards, 28 TD, 11 INT.

QB · Missouri State · Sr. · #12

6′5″ · 220 lb · Rockwall, TX

CFB Index 55 · #52 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceAll-ConferenceReturning to Missouri State for 2026

The numbers

3,244

passing yards · 2025

28 TD · 11 INT · 8.6 per attempt

The play that turned itSwung Missouri State from 39% to 99% to win.Missouri State at Liberty · 21-17

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Missouri State. 2025: 3,244 passing yards, 28 TD, 11 INT.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Minnesota in 2019.
Transferred from Minnesota to Missouri State in 2022.

The full story, with sources

How he plays

Pushes it downfield on every look.

Explosive rate: 92nd percentile.

The full scouting read

Jacob Clark

QB · Missouri State · Sr · #12

Pushes it downfield on every look. Two head coaches in two seasons, at two different programs. His first career honor landed in 2025: All-Conference USA. One game to point at: 359 pass yds, 30 rush yds against Marshall — Week 2, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
recognition record
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2019Minnesota11-2HC: P.J. Fleck · Run-heavy

2025Missouri State7-6HC: Nick Petrino · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

55Quality starter #52 of 146?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: explosive rate (92nd percentile). Strength: pass tds (93rd percentile). Concern: sack rate (6th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#16 / 183 · 92nd pct

12.7%

EPA / dropback#66 / 183 · 64th pct

0.23

Success rate#80 / 183 · 56th pct

41.2%

Interception rate#93 / 183 · 49th pct

2.3%

Sack rate#173 / 183 · 6th pct

10.1%

Box-score rates (8)

Pass TDs#12 / 183 · 93rd pct

Yards / att#19 / 183 · 90th pct

8.6

Pass yards#22 / 183 · 88th pct

3244

Completion %#49 / 183 · 73rd pct

65.7%

Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct

Rush TDs#86 / 183 · 49th pct

Rush yards#156 / 183 · 15th pct

-16

Interceptions#162 / 183 · 10th pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

224/355 (63.1%) · 28 TD · 11 INT

355 of 376 attempts matched to play-by-play

204 of 355 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

7.3855 of 206 QBs

Sack rate

9.6%190 of 206 QBs

Sacked on 9.6% of dropbacks (190 of 206) — and still 55 of 206 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

10% of attempts (20)

80%comp

Air -2.8 · YAC 8.6 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

54% of attempts (110)

68%comp2 INT

Air 4.3 · YAC 4.3 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

24% of attempts (49)

59%comp1 INT

Air 14.3 · YAC 3.9 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

12% of attempts (25)

48%comp2 INT

Air 26.5 · YAC 2.4 avg

Overall 63.1% completion on 355 attempts · 48% completion on 25 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2025 baseline

No situation moves him more than 35 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-18 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 13/152 (8.6%) · league sack rate 4.2% · ~our read

Down 2

-8 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 9/122 (7.4%) · league sack rate 4.5% · ~our read

Down 3+

+35 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 12/102 (11.8%) · league sack rate 7.8% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	246	2.0	8.4	0.7
Road6g	295	2.7	8.9	1.2

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	257	2.0	9.0	1.0
Weeks 8+6g	283	2.7	8.3	0.8

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Casey Woods

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

All-Conference

Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

55 · #52 of 146 QBs

Three-star recruit. Now #52 at the position.

2026 outlook

In the mix to repeat All-Conference USA

Based on 2025: #3 of 16 Conference USA QBs

How the All-Conference USA estimate is computed

49% estimated, 95% confidence interval 43–54%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Missouri State	247	376	65.7%	3,244	8.6	28	11	156.9	59	--	--
2019	Minnesota	1	1	100.0%	39	39.0	0	0	427.6	--	--	--
Career		248	377	65.8%	3,283	8.7	28	11	157.6	59	--	--

Season	Team
2025	Missouri State	94	-16	-0.2	3	--
2019	Minnesota	--	--	--	--	--
Career		94	-16	-0.2	3	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 4 · 2025

W 42–10

vs UT Martin

271 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 72.5 · 22 rush yds (7 car) · 2 TD

Dominant 32-point win at home against UT Martin.

With S. McDonald — 43 AVG · 3 IN 20 · 48 LONG · A. Luke — 9 rec · 110 yds · 1 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 1 · USC · 3&6 · Q2 · EPA -7.16Jacob Clark pass intercepted Bishop Fitzgerald return for 39 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)
Week 2 · Marshall · 3&12 · Q2 · EPA +6.62Jacob Clark pass complete to Ramone Green Jr. for 57 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
Week 14 · Louisiana Tech · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +6.08Jeron Askren 75 Yd pass from Jacob Clark (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
Week 1 · Arkansas State · 3&5 · Q4 · EPA +5.08(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete deep middle to #1 D.Luke caught at ASU20, for 47 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:26, 1ST DOWN #12 J.Clark pass attempt failed
Week 1 · USC · 4&5 · Q2 · EPA +4.81Jacob Clark pass complete to Tristian Gardner for 33 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
Week 2 · Marshall · 2&7 · Q3 · EPA +4.70Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 52 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
Week 2 · Marshall · 3&14 · Q4 · EPA +4.61Jacob Clark pass complete to Ramone Green Jr. for 55 yds to the MRSH 18 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Kennesaw State · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA -4.28(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass intercepted by #4 A.Ford at KSU06 #4 A.Ford return 94 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY KSU Personal Foul 15 yards from MSU13 to MSU28
Week 3 · SMU · 3&6 · Q3 · EPA -4.18Jacob Clark pass intercepted, touchback. Jaelyn Davis-Robinson return for no gain
Week 11 · Liberty · 3&14 · Q3 · EPA +4.10(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete deep middle to #15 T.Gardner caught at LU36, for 31 yards to the LU33 (#29 A.Jones), 1ST DOWN

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 13-73@ USC	16/24	147	1	2	6.1	18.9	4 TD passes
Wk 2	W 21-20@ Marshall	21/31	359	3	1	11.6	51.3	Season-high 359 yds
Wk 3	L 10-28vs SMU	23/37	275	1	3	7.4	29.2	3 INTs — rough day
Wk 4	W 42-10vs UT Martin	20/28	271	3	0	9.7	72.5	3 TD passes
Wk 5	L 22-27vs Western Kentucky	8/15	143	0	0	9.5	50.7
Wk 9	W 24-17@ New Mexico State	28/44	283	3	2	6.4	41.8	3 TD passes
Wk 10	W 28-21vs Florida International	16/27	163	2	0	6.0	63.4
Wk 11	W 21-17@ Liberty	20/33	286	2	0	8.7	61.1	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 12	W 38-24vs UTEP	30/39	330	4	0	8.5	76.8	4 TD passes
Wk 13	L 34-41@ Kennesaw State	23/32	344	3	2	10.8	70.4	3 TD passes
Wk 14	L 30-42vs Louisiana Tech	17/31	294	2	1	9.5	70.0
Bowl	L 28-34@ Arkansas State	25/35	349	4	0	10.0	42.6
Total		247/376	3244	28	11	8.7	54.1

How he plays

Play style

Elite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

64.7%Completion %

25.8%Conversion/dropback

51.5%Land short of sticks

2INTs

64.7% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 25.8% conversion-per-dropback — 51.5% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

2026 Outlook

Missouri State

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Missouri State

Returning around him

31% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
Transfer portal: +8 net (19 in / 11 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Missouri State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #119 · 2026 recruiting class #131

DNA match

Player DNA

Vertical Passer

Elite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Max Johnson’s 2021 season.

Max Johnson

68%match

LSU · 2021

Jack Plummer

Louisville · 2023

All-ACC

68%

Sawyer Robertson

Baylor · 2025

All-Big 12

63%

Tyler Van Dyke

Miami · 2021

63%

Desmond Ridder

Cincinnati · 2021

All-AACNFL Rd 3 · Pk 10

63%

Matches Max on

Completion %

Differs from Max on

INT rate (higher)

Class year (higher)

TD rate (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Matthew Caldwell's senior season at Troy (2024).

Matthew Caldwell

60%match

Troy · 2024

Garrett Shrader

Syracuse · 2022

60%

Will Levis

Kentucky · 2022

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 2

58%

Joey Labas

Central Michigan · 2025

58%

Jalen Kitna

UAB · 2025

52%

Matches Matthew on

Height

INT rate

Differs from Matthew on

Yards / attempt (higher)

TD rate (higher)

Weight (higher)

Player DNA

Players who play like Jacob Clark

Joey Labas

Central Michigan · 2025

59%

Eli Holstein

Pittsburgh · 2025

42%

Heisman trajectory

Heisman Trajectory · 2025

Peak #147

Final rank

#305

Avg #239.3

Finalist prob 0%

Peaked at #147 this season.

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Jacob Clark

Attention percentile: 4th · Production percentile: 40th

2019

2022

202512 games

2025 snapshot

Passing profile

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

All-Conference

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Vertical Passer

Players who play like Jacob Clark

Heisman trajectory

Peak #147