cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Mario Easterly /Old Dominion

Mario Easterly

S · Old Dominion · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

80 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Old Dominion for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Old Dominion for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Old Dominion

Returning around him

  • 74% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (15 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Old Dominion · Last season: 10-3 · Talent rank #122 · 2026 recruiting class #102

S · OLD DOMINION · SUN BELT

Mario Easterly

  • 3
  • #3
  • 6-0 | 195 lb
  • Harrisburg, PA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

55

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13971

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1763 national
CFB
College
Old Dominion
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements6-0 | 195 lb
HometownHarrisburg, PA
Primary teamOld Dominion

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1763 recruit
Composite rating 0.8270 HighSchool
Signed with Old Dominion 2022
Origin Bishop McDevitt Harrisburg, PA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8270 No. 1763 recruit | HighSchool | Old Dominion

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13971Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13980Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Old Dominion

Composite

0.8270

#1763 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Mario Easterly

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Mario Easterly

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
80Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
80Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 80.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Mario Easterly is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Old Dominion's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13971 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 80 23 solo | #145/4942 (97th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
80 97th
SOLO
23 82nd
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 14-27@ Indiana1341.00.00Season-high 13 tackles
Wk 2W 54-6vs North Carolina Central730.00.00
Wk 3W 45-26@ Virginia Tech600.00.01
Wk 5W 21-7vs Liberty610.00.00
Wk 6W 47-7vs Coastal Carolina100.00.010
Wk 7L 24-48@ Marshall610.00.00
Wk 8L 27-63@ James Madison810.50.00
Wk 9W 24-21vs App State510.00.01
Wk 10W 31-6@ UL Monroe620.00.00
Wk 12W 33-0vs Troy730.00.02
Wk 13W 45-10@ Georgia Southern310.00.00
Wk 14W 27-10vs Georgia State310.00.00
BowlW 24-10@ South Florida950.00.00
Total80231.50.014
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Old Dominion3-9HC: Ricky Rahne · Pass-leaning, slow tempo
2023Old Dominion6-7HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-leaning
2025Old Dominion10-3HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Old Dominion80231.50.041--
2023Old Dominion1310.00.0------
2022Old Dominion320.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons96261.50.041--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 80 #145/4942 97th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 23 #839/4584 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg -1.0 #565/578 2nd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards -1 #564/578 3rd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.80.00.00.5
Road7g7.30.20.00.1

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g5.30.00.00.4
Losses3g9.00.50.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g6.90.10.00.1
Weeks 8+6g5.30.10.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

55Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (94th). Strength: passes defended (85th). Concern: sacks (23rd).

Tackles#145 / 2975 · 95th pct
80defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Solo tackles#839 / 2975 · 71st pct
23defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Mario EasterlyOld DominionBlake FletcherAir Force· 87% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 78% simAndon ThomasArmy· 78% sim
Tackles
95
Easterly
99
Fletcher
99
Fitzgerald
99
Thomas
Passes defended
86
Easterly
67
Fletcher
86
Fitzgerald
91
Thomas
QB hurries
82
Easterly
92
Fletcher
55
Fitzgerald
82
Thomas
Solo tackles
71
Easterly
91
Fletcher
100
Fitzgerald
100
Thomas
Forced fumbles
47
Easterly
47
Fitzgerald
Tackles for loss
39
Easterly
28
Fletcher
85
Fitzgerald
73
Thomas
Interceptions
31
Easterly
31
Fitzgerald
Sacks
24
Easterly
24
Fletcher
24
Fitzgerald
51
Thomas

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Hunter Reynolds’s 2021 season.

Hunter Reynolds

88%match

Utah State · 2021

#2

Zion Childress

Texas State · 2021

85%
#3

Xavier Smith

UTEP · 2024

84%
#4

Kal-El Pascal

Bowling Green · 2025

85%
#5

Alexander Teubner

Boise State · 2023

84%

Matches Hunter on

Interceptions
Tackle volume
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Koen Entringer's senior season at Iowa (2025).

Koen Entringer

80%match

Iowa · 2025

#2

Kentrell Webb

Houston · 2025

82%
#3

Kip Lewis

Oklahoma · 2025

77%
#4

Trey Lathan

Kansas · 2025

78%
#5

Malachi McLean

UConn · 2025

75%

Matches Koen on

Class year
PD rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ricky Rahne

Pass share

38.0%

330 pass / 539 run

Plays / game

66.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Ricky Rahne
Old Dominion
2023
Ricky Rahne
Old Dominion
2025
Ricky Rahne
Old Dominion

Played his entire career under Ricky Rahne.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHarrisburg, PA
Height6'0"
Weight195 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Old Dominion S3 #13971 #13980 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Old Dominion S3 #13234 #13120 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Old Dominion S3 #14433 #14497 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Old Dominion Sun Belt S 3 No. 3 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Harrisburg, PA
2024 Old Dominion Sun Belt S 3 No. 3 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Harrisburg, PA
2023 Old Dominion Sun Belt S 3 No. 3 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Harrisburg, PA
2022 Old Dominion Sun Belt S 3 No. 3 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Harrisburg, PA