Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 35-7vs Northern Arizona | 22/29 | 262 | 2 | 0 | 9.0 | — | Season-high 262 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 17-28@ BYU | 23/31 | 230 | 1 | 1 | 7.4 | 84.9 | |
| Total | 45/60 | 492 | 3 | 1 | 8.2 | 84.9 |
Noah Fifita could have cashed a portal check and chased a blue-blood. Instead the kid who keeps choosing Arizona signed up for one more, calling it 'all or nothing' and 'unfinished business' on his way out of the Holiday Bowl. Tucson is already saying Heisman. The rest of the country hasn't looked up.
5′10″ · 190 lb · Huntington Beach, CA · Servite HS
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
passing yards · 2026
3 TD · 1 INT · 8.2 per attempt
2 games into 2026 so far -- Backed by 527 yds · 5 TD -- top 0.1% passing yards game. -- Best game: 262 pass yds, 2 TD, 24 rush yds, vs Northern Arizona
The play that turned itSwung BYU from 19% to 68% to win.Arizona at BYU · 41-19
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Noah Fifita could have cashed a portal check and chased a blue-blood. Instead the kid who keeps choosing Arizona signed up for one more, calling it 'all or nothing' and 'unfinished business' on his way out of the Holiday Bowl. Tucson is already saying Heisman. The rest of the country hasn't looked up.
Aura™ · Him Watch
-1aura tax
60th pctl our passing-value metric (wEPA) QBs · 160 qualified, n=80
— the discourse is fair.Buzz vs Tape
His own fans read him warmer than the wider college football conversation does — a gap of 39.5 points in belief.
Also worth knowing:
“Noah Fifita Named to Preseason All-Big 12 Team”
The story this offseason isn't whether Fifita comes back -- he settled that the night of the loss to SMU, telling anyone listening he had unfinished business. It's the gap between how Arizona talks about him and how everyone else does. Brent Brennan calls him a 'Heisman-caliber candidate' and means it; CBS, On3 and SI all spent the spring arguing he's the Big 12's best quarterback, edging Brendan Sorsby and the new transfer arms for the top spot. He's the program's all-time passing touchdown leader (73 career scores, first nationally among 2026 returners) and the first Arizona QB to make first-team all-conference since 1975. And yet the national board has him at +10000 to win the Heisman -- one writer literally headlined the disconnect 'He Can Win The Heisman. So Why Is Nobody Talking About Him?'
The receipts say the 2025 bounce-back was real but not yet transcendent: 3,228 yards, 29 touchdowns, six picks, and play-by-play that ranks 64th percentile in pass success rate and 70th in touchdown rate but only 45th in EPA per dropback among 233 FBS quarterbacks. That's the tension our own signal flags -- the buzz around Fifita (78th percentile perception) is running about 18 points ahead of the production (60th), an aura tax the fanbase is happy to keep paying.
The quietly important variable: Seth Doege returns as coordinator, the first time in Fifita's college career he's kept the same play-caller in back-to-back years. Doege's Air Raid is what turned a four-win team into a nine-win one, and year-two fluency is the whole bet. The forward stake is the one every Wildcats board is chewing on: does the loyalty finally get rewarded with a Big 12 title and a Heisman invite, or does 'all or nothing' end the way Arizona seasons usually do?
SOURCES
His career
Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.
A steady, low-risk operator more than a gunslinger. The play-by-play paints a quarterback who wins on accuracy and decision-making rather than explosion: 64th percentile in pass success rate and 70th in touchdown rate, but a careful, underneath profile -- 67th percentile in average depth of target and just 35th in explosive-pass rate. He protects the ball reasonably (69th percentile interception rate) and his overall efficiency lands middle-of-the-pack at 45th percentile EPA per dropback. The 35th-percentile sack rate hints he'll eat some pressure behind a shaky front. He adds just enough as a runner (3 rushing scores) to keep defenses honest without being a designed-run threat. The ceiling lives in the rhythm of Doege's Air Raid; the question is whether he can stretch the field vertically enough to turn efficient into elite.
Written by our staff.
The role got bigger.
Career arc
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-BIG 12 · 1ST TEAM
All-Big 12 1st team (2025)
Coaching lineage · 2022–2026
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Jedd Fisch → Brent Brennan. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Season context · Team result + system
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score percentiles
Elite: yards / att (92nd percentile). Strength: completion % (92nd percentile). Concern: pass yards (0th percentile).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Adjusted ANY/A
7.5034 of 75 QBsSack rate
6.2%53 of 75 QBsSacked on 6.2% of dropbacks (53 of 75) — and still 34 of 75 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Behind LOS · Negative air yds
Short · 0–9 air yds
Middle · 10–19 air yds
Deep · 20+ air yds
Overall 75.0% completion on 60 attempts · 63% of attempts thrown 0–9 air yds.
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 246 YDS/g, 1.5 TD/g, 8.2 YPA, 0.5 INT/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Brennan
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Player standing · 2026
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
2026 outlook
In the mix to repeat All-Big 12
Based on 2025: #8 of 17 Big 12 QBs
35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2026
W 35–7
262 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · 24 rush yds (5 car)
Dominant 28-point win at home against Northern Arizona.
With C. Ridley — 48 AVG · 2 IN 20 · 50 LONG · G. Richardson — 17 rush yds (1 car)
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 35-7vs Northern Arizona | 22/29 | 262 | 2 | 0 | 9.0 | — | Season-high 262 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 17-28@ BYU | 23/31 | 230 | 1 | 1 | 7.4 | 84.9 | |
| Total | 45/60 | 492 | 3 | 1 | 8.2 | 84.9 |
Play style
A steady, low-risk operator more than a gunslinger. The play-by-play paints a quarterback who wins on accuracy and decision-making rather than explosion: 64th percentile in pass success rate and 70th in touchdown rate, but a careful, underneath profile -- 67th percentile in average depth of target and just 35th in explosive-pass rate. He protects the ball reasonably (69th percentile interception rate) and his overall efficiency lands middle-of-the-pack at 45th percentile EPA per dropback. The 35th-percentile sack rate hints he'll eat some pressure behind a shaky front. He adds just enough as a runner (3 rushing scores) to keep defenses honest without being a designed-run threat. The ceiling lives in the rhythm of Doege's Air Raid; the question is whether he can stretch the field vertically enough to turn efficient into elite.
Our classifier reads him the same way: operates within the system without forcing anything.
2026 Outlook
Arizona
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Arizona · editorial
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
Arizona · Last season: 9-4 (AP #21) · Talent rank #54 · 2026 recruiting class #42
Player DNA
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dillon Gabriel’s 2022 season.
Matches Dillon on
Differs from Dillon on
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Eli Peters’s path through Toledo.
Matches Eli on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Maddux Madsen's senior season at Boise State (2025).
Matches Maddux on
Differs from Maddux on
Player DNA
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peaked at #28 this season.
Purchase Jersey Headlines What makes Arizona QB Noah Fifita tick? Loyalty, generosity (ESPN) Inside Noah Fifita's loyalty to Arizona and his chase for a modern college football legacy (On3) With Noah Fifita back at helm, Arizona aiming for new heights: 'I think we've got the best quarterback in t...