CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 79th percentile.
Star Thomas
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
596 RUSH YDS · 7 RUSH TD · 104 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Tennessee for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Tennessee
Returning around him
- 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 5 Tennessee players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -8 net (21 in / 29 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Tennessee · Last season: 8-5 (AP #18) · Talent rank #16 · 2026 recruiting class #11
RB · TENNESSEE · SEC
Star Thomas
- 4
- #9
- 6-0 | 210 lb
- Homer, LA
Heisman Heat
#73
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
New Mexico State · RB
—
★
2023
New Mexico State · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2024
Duke · RB
—
2025
Tennessee · RB
—
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+14%
Modest growth (14%) across the multi-season window.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Star Thomas
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
67
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=3
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Star Thomas
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 13g
596Rush yards
104Carries
7Rush TDs
Per game
45.8Rush yards
8Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
596Rush yards
104Carries
7Rush TDs
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Star Thomas already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
104 79th
YDS
596 84th
YPC
5.7 79th
TD
7 92nd
Receiving
REC
11 65th
YDS
116 74th
YPR
10.5 81st
TD
2 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-26vs Syracuse | 12 | 92 | 7.7 | 0 | 22 | Season-high 92 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 72-17vs East Tennessee State | 12 | 69 | 5.8 | 3 | 19 | 3 rushing TDs |
| Wk 3 | L 41-44vs Georgia | 9 | 60 | 6.7 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 4 | W 56-24vs UAB | 9 | 51 | 5.7 | 1 | 21 | |
| Wk 5 | W 41-34@ Mississippi State | 10 | 33 | 3.3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 7 | W 34-31vs Arkansas | 10 | 23 | 2.3 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 8 | L 20-37@ Alabama | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 9 | W 56-34@ Kentucky | 10 | 64 | 6.4 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 10 | L 27-33vs Oklahoma | 5 | 10 | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 12 | W 42-9vs New Mexico State | 5 | 30 | 6.0 | 1 | 21 | |
| Wk 13 | W 31-11@ Florida | 9 | 71 | 7.9 | 1 | 52 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-45vs Vanderbilt | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bowl | L 28-30@ Illinois | 9 | 67 | 7.4 | 0 | 21 | |
| Total | 104 | 596 | 5.4 | 7 | 52 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022New Mexico State7-6HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023New Mexico State10-5HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning
2025Tennessee8-5HC: Josh Heupel · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tennessee | 104 | 596 | 5.7 | 7 | -- |
| 2024 | Duke | 213 | 871 | 4.1 | 7 | -- |
| 2023 | New Mexico State | 112 | 653 | 5.8 | 4 | -- |
| 2022 | New Mexico State | 108 | 524 | 4.9 | 5 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 537 | 2,644 | 4.9 | 23 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tennessee | 11 | 116 | 10.5 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Duke | 20 | 153 | 7.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | New Mexico State | 22 | 200 | 9.1 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | New Mexico State | 12 | 151 | 12.6 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 65 | 620 | 9.5 | 8 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 596 | #118/735 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 7 | #62/739 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.7 | #152/735 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 11 | #195/552 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 116 | #142/548 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.18 | #84/362 | 77th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 91 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 12.0% | #253/738 | 66th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 104 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 52 | #153/733 | 79th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 21 | #218/540 | 60th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.5 | #104/548 | 81st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 20.9% | #249/738 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.3% | #260/738 | 65th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 13.2% | #261/738 | 65th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.5% | #251/738 | 66th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.5% | #267/738 | 64th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.2% | #277/738 | 63rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.1% | #298/738 | 60th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 41.9 | 4.5 | 0.6 |
| Road5g | 52.2 | 6.7 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 54.1 | 5.6 | 0.9 |
| Losses5g | 32.6 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 56.4 | 5.6 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 33.5 | 5.2 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
67Solid starter
Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.18Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Star ThomasTennesseeNate FrazierGeorgia· 83% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 82% simSire GainesBoise State· 82% sim
Rush TDs
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Long run
Rec yards
Carries
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Logan Diggs’s 2023 season.
Logan Diggs
82%match
#2
Ja'Kobi Jackson
79%
#3
George Holani
76%
#4
Kaytron Allen
NFL Rd 6
74%
#5
Devin Neal
73%
Matches Logan on
Weight
Rush TD rate
Receiving share
Differs from Logan on
Height (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to George Holani's senior season at Boise State (2023).
George Holani
82%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Chez Mellusi
77%
#3
Jase McClellan
All-SECNFL Rd 6
77%
#4
Billy Lucas
72%
#5
Le'Veon Moss
71%
Matches George on
Receiving share
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Josh Heupel
Pass share
47.3%
437 pass / 486 run
Plays / game
71.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.4%
334 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2023
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2024
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2025
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
Played his entire career under Josh Heupel.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHomer, LA
Height6'0"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTennessee
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2023)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | New Mexico State | Conference USA | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Duke | RB4 | #73 | #72 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | New Mexico State | RB4 | #372 | #464 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2022 | New Mexico State | RB4 | #310 | #425 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tennessee | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Homer, LA |
| 2024 | Duke | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Homer, LA |
| 2023 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Homer, LA |
| 2022 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | RB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Homer, LA |