Tanner Mordecai

Senior quarterback for Wisconsin. 2023: 2,065 passing yards, 9 TD, 4 INT.

QB · Wisconsin · Sr. · #8

6′2″ · 218 lb · Waco, TX

CFB Index 39 · #91 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceWisconsin 2023 alumnus

Recruiting

4★

DUAL recruit

No. 249 nationally · Signed with Oklahoma

Statement game379 yds · 9 TDvs Houston (FBS) · W 77-63

Top 0.1% passing TDs game since 2021.

They're at 91 already. Tanner Mordecai has SEVEN touchdown passes at halftime... 22 for 27, 297 yards. Wow. Edit: No, Mordecai didn't have 8 pass TDs in the first half + 1 rush TD.r/CFB game thread · ▲ 5His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Wisconsin. 2023: 2,065 passing yards, 9 TD, 4 INT.

Signed as a 4-star recruit to Oklahoma in 2018.
Transferred from SMU to Wisconsin in 2023.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Six seasons at Wisconsin, 9,856 passing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

He arrived as a blue-chip recruit and played like one.

2018

Signed with Oklahoma4-star out of Midway

202112 games

The role got bigger.

Entered the portal
All-AACsecond

202310 games

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

★★★★

#249 national

CFB

College

3 teams

2018–2023

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Trophy case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

7 honors · 1 category

🎖

ALL-AAC · 2ND TEAM

All-AAC 2nd team (2021)

Coaching lineage · 2018–2023

3 coaches

2018–2021

Paul Chryst

Wisconsin

2022

Jim Leonhard

Wisconsin

era →

2023

Luke Fickell

Wisconsin

era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Paul Chryst, Jim Leonhard, and Luke Fickell. Multi-era developmental context.

2023 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2018Oklahoma12-2HC: Lincoln Riley · Run-leaning

2019Oklahoma12-2HC: Lincoln Riley · Run-leaning

2020Oklahoma9-2HC: Lincoln Riley · Run-leaning, fast tempo

2021SMU8-4HC: Jim Leavitt · Balanced

2022SMU7-6HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced, fast tempo

2023Wisconsin7-6HC: Luke Fickell · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

39Below cohort / limited sample #91 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sack rate (82nd percentile). Concern: explosive rate (9th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#33 / 177 · 82nd pct

3.6%

Interception rate#74 / 177 · 58th pct

0.4%

Success rate#93 / 177 · 47th pct

41.5%

EPA / dropback#128 / 177 · 28th pct

0.18

Explosive rate#161 / 177 · 9th pct

6.7%

Box-score rates (8)

Completion %#42 / 179 · 77th pct

65.0%

Rush yards#43 / 179 · 76th pct

303

Interceptions#38 / 179 · 75th pct

Rush TDs#49 / 179 · 67th pct

Pass yards#81 / 179 · 55th pct

2065

Pass TDs#115 / 179 · 34th pct

Yards / att#128 / 179 · 27th pct

6.6

Fumbles lost#145 / 167 · 10th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

77th → 28th percentile

Success rate

62nd → 47th percentile

Explosive rate

78th → 9th percentile

Sack rate

84th → 82nd percentile

Interception rate

57th → 58th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

200/306 (65.4%) · 9 TD · 4 INT

306 of 314 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

6.07113 of 212 QBs

Sack rate

4.8%80 of 212 QBs

Rarely sacked (80 of 212), but Adjusted ANY/A hasn't followed (113 of 212).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

63%of completions

126 comp4.9 yds avg3 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

24%of completions

48 comp13.0 yds avg2 TD

Deep

20+ yds

13%of completions

26 comp30.9 yds avg4 TD

Overall 65.4% completion on 306 attempts · 26 deep completions averaging 30.9 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline

No situation moves him more than 13 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-13 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 1/96 (1.0%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 2

+11 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 3/81 (3.7%) · league sack rate 5.2% · ~our read

Down 3+

+5 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 11/71 (15.5%) · league sack rate 9.1% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	182	0.5	5.9	0.3
Road4g	244	1.5	7.3	0.5

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	215	0.9	6.7	0.4
Weeks 8+3g	187	1.0	6.0	0.3

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Luke Fickell

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

Starter

A locked-in starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

39 · #91 of 140 QBs

Former four-star. Now #91 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2023	Wisconsin	204	314	65.0%	2,065	6.6	9	4	127.1	46	--	--
2022	SMU	288	443	65.0%	3,524	8.0	33	10	151.9	62	--	--
2021	SMU	308	454	67.8%	3,628	8.0	39	12	158.0	74	--	--
2020	Oklahoma	32	40	80.0%	395	9.9	2	1	174.4	--	--	--
2019	Oklahoma	16	26	61.5%	207	8.0	2	0	153.8	--	--	--
2018	Oklahoma	2	4	50.0%	37	9.2	0	0	127.7	--	--	--
Career		850	1,281	66.4%	9,856	7.7	85	27	148.7	62	--	--

Season	Team
2023	Wisconsin	90	303	3.4	4	--
2022	SMU	59	100	1.7	2	--
2021	SMU	74	202	2.7	2	--
2020	Oklahoma	11	-14	-1.3	0	--
2019	Oklahoma	4	16	4.0	0	--
2018	Oklahoma	--	--	--	--	--
Career		238	607	2.6	8	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 6 · 2023

W 24–13

vs Rutgers

145 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · QBR 64.6 · 50 rush yds (11 car)

With A. Bertrams — 43 AVG · 2 IN 20 · 50 LONG · B. Allen — 101 rush yds (21 car) · 1 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 1 · LSU · 2&3 · Q1 · EPA +4.05Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 53 yds for a TD
Week 11 · Northwestern · 2&5 · Q4 · EPA -3.80Tanner Mordecai run for 8 yds to the NU 29 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, recovered by NU Garnett Hollis Jr. [NHSG] QB Keeper MORDECAI, Tanner rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards, MORDECAI, Tanner fumbled at NWU29 forced by HEARD II, Rod, recovered by NWU HOLLIS JR., Garnett at the NWU29, returned 0 yards to the NWU29, End of Play, clock 10:43.
Week 3 · Georgia Southern · 2&15 · Q4 · EPA +3.74Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 45 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · LSU · 3&8 · Q4 · EPA +3.43Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 24 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Washington State · 2&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.34Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 41 yds to the WSU 20 for a 1ST down
Week 7 · Iowa · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.30Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 42 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Buffalo · 3&11 · Q4 · EPA +3.07Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 12 yds to the BUFF 45 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Purdue · 3&11 · Q3 · EPA +3.06Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 34 yds to the PUR 8 for a 1ST down
Week 3 · Georgia Southern · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.03Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 38 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Purdue · 3&8 · Q2 · EPA +2.98Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 15 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2023 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 38-17vs Buffalo	24/31	189	1	2	6.1	20.8	Season-high 378 yds
Wk 2	L 22-31@ Washington State	25/40	277	1	0	6.9	50.0
Wk 3	W 35-14vs Georgia Southern	19/30	236	0	0	7.9	47.3
Wk 4	W 38-17@ Purdue	17/27	174	0	1	6.4	66.4
Wk 6	W 24-13vs Rutgers	17/31	145	1	0	4.7	64.6
Wk 7	L 6-15vs Iowa	12/20	106	0	0	5.3	54.2
Wk 11	L 10-24vs Northwestern	31/45	255	0	0	5.7	44.4
Wk 12	W 24-17vs Nebraska	18/28	160	1	0	5.7	76.1
Wk 13	W 28-14@ Minnesota	14/22	145	2	1	6.6	87.4
Bowl	L 31-35@ LSU	27/40	378	3	0	9.5	61.6
Total		204/314	2065	9	4	6.5	57.3

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Tanner Mordecai

2018

202112 games

202310 games

2023 snapshot

Passing profile

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

Starter

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Pocket Passer

Players who play like Tanner Mordecai

Heisman trajectory

#135