Next game: at Arizona State
Colorado and Arizona State are even on paper
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Colorado offense against Arizona State defense
Arizona State offense against Colorado defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.33 EPA/play | 16 | 6 | 91 / 149 | 61.1 | 1164 | 7.8 | 7 | 7 | 132.8 | 64 | 49.9 | 5.9 | 5.7 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 149 pass attempts, 49 carries and 2 catches in 6 games. About as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Wilson operates within the system without forcing anything. Weigman is the one who pushes it downfield on every look. Season receipt Yards / attempt8.6 75th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate4.7% bottom 3th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Isaac Wilson's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.19 EPA/play | 10 | 4 | 61 / 95 | 64.2 | 733 | 7.7 | 6 | 2 | 145.7 | 45 | 54.5 | 6.8 | 7.8 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. This week's matchup — QB Lewis operates within the system without forcing anything. Weigman is the one who pushes it downfield on every look. Season receipt Yards / attempt7.8 52th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry-3.0 bottom 1th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Julian Lewis's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| -1.46 EPA/play | 14 | 3 | 11 / 17 | 64.7 | 105 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 116.6 | — | 28.4 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.03 EPA/play | 23 | 8 | 72 | 361 | 5.0 | 1 | 47 | 18.1 | 9.7 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 72 carries and 4 catches in 8 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Smith does a little of everything without one standout trait. II is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry5.6 62th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate1.4% bottom 12th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Jaquail Smith's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.04 EPA/play | 29 | 6 | 43 | 220 | 5.1 | 2 | 55 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 43 carries and 4 catches in 6 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Micah Welch's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.08 EPA/play | 9 | 5 | 40 | 169 | 4.2 | 2 | 22 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 40 carries in 5 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Young does a little of everything without one standout trait. II is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry5.2 bottom 45th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate5.0% 55th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Richard Young's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.06 EPA/play | 26 | 6 | 32 | 147 | 4.6 | 0 | 12 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.59 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 51 | 732 #16 FBS | 14.4 | 5 #39 FBS | 63 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Impact starter — 51 catches, 3 pass attempts and 1 carry in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. The rare part: the passing game runs through him — and every touch moves the offense, too This week's matchup — WR Williams wins underneath on volume and route precision. Thomas is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Reception volume51 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Total EPA (college ability)43.5 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Joseph Williams's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.63 EPA/play | 3 | 7 | 31 | 478 | 15.4 | 3 | 66 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 31 catches in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Jr. moves the chains on third down. Thomas is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception15.8 74th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume31 68th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View DeAndre Moore Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.76 EPA/play | 14 | 6 | 20 | 249 | 12.4 | 0 | 51 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Jr. moves the chains on third down. Thomas is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception14.2 57th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Quanell Farrakhan Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| +0.63 EPA/play | 6 | 6 | 10 | 90 | 9 | 0 | 30 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.78 EPA/play | 87 | 5 | 6 | 81 | 13.5 | 2 | 23 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.03 EPA/play | 4 | 4 | 5 | 77 | 15.4 | 1 | 48 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.17 EPA/play | 18 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 4.2 | 0 | 8 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pressure Merchant | 53 | 8 | 25 | 13 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 9 |
Pressure merchantCollapses the pocket even when the sack doesn't come. Starter — 25 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 22 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Hurry rate0.4 97th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Toby Anene's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 97 | 7 | 24 | 12 | 11 #14 FBS | 2 | 11 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — 24 tackles in 7 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate45.8% 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Santana Hopper's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 20 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.5% bottom 41th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Dylan Manuel's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 95 | 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Yamil Talib's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 52 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 3.5 | 1 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Immanuel Ezeogu's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 49 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman View Quency Wiggins's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 56 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 5 #38 FBS | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate70.0% 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Lamont Lester Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| 41 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | |
| 88 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 44 | 8 | 77 | 46 | 31 | 11.5 #10 FBS | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. Impact starter — 77 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 86th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume77 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Gideon Lampron's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 17 | 8 | 56 | 28 | 28 | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 56 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Liona Lefau's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 35 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.9% 81th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tyler Martinez's full player page | |||||||||
| 55 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 51 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 7 | 8 | 69 | 6 #43 FBS | 1 | 2.5 | 1 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 69 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume69 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Randon Fontenette's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 4 | 8 | 60 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 60 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume60 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Naeten Mitchell's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 6 | 8 | 30 | 7 #20 FBS | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 30 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate23.3% 98th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Boo Carter's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 20 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate21.1% 96th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Cree Thomas's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 5 | 5 | 15 | 6 #43 FBS | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate40.0% 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View RJ Johnson's full player page | |||||||
| 15 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 28 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 7 | 5/8 | 62.5 | 19/19 | 34 | 52 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon | 35 | 8 | 40 | 1819 | 45.5 | 59 | 15 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.27 EPA/play | 20 | 8 | 7 | 127 | 18.1 | 0 | 32 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.27 EPA/play | 20 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 5.8 | 0 | 15 |
| Hybrid Nickel | 6 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 8 |
Biggest plays from Colorado’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Colorado’s games this season, whoever made them.
Overtime, 0:00 · Colorado down 3, takes the leadIsaac Wilson finds Charlie Williams for an 11-yard touchdownKansas State at Colorado, week 9Overtime, 0:00 · Colorado 27, Kansas State 24Overtime touchdown for ColoradoOvertime touchdown for ColoradoI.Wilson pass complete short middle to C.Williams caught at KSU00, for 11 yards to the KSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN▶Watch from this play
Big 12 Conference- Q4, 0:37 · Colorado down 6, takes the leadJulian Lewis finds Charlie Williams for a 20-yard touchdownColorado at Georgia Tech, week 1Q4, 0:37 · Colorado 14, Georgia Tech 130:37Go-ahead touchdown for Colorado with 0:37 left0:37Go-ahead touchdown for Colorado with 0:37 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Colorado with 0:37 leftJ.Lewis pass complete short left to C.Williams caught at GT 20, for 20 yards to the GT 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 12:52 · Georgia Tech down 1, ties itRahkeem Smith returns the kickoff 100 yards for a touchdownColorado at Georgia Tech, week 1Q2, 12:52 · Georgia Tech 7, Colorado 7100Kickoff return touchdown100Kickoff return touchdownKickoff return touchdownRahkeem Smith 100 yd Kickoff Return (Aidan Birr Kick)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 0:02 · Kansas State down 7, ties itBlake Barnett finds Garrett Oakley for an 8-yard touchdownKansas State at Colorado, week 9Q4, 0:02 · Kansas State 21, Colorado 210:02Game-tying touchdown for Kansas State with 0:02 left0:02Game-tying touchdown for Kansas State with 0:02 leftGame-tying touchdown for Kansas State with 0:02 leftGarrett Oakley 8 yd pass from Blake Barnett (Luis Rodriguez Kick)▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference- Q2, 13:06 · Colorado tiedMicah Welch runs 5 yards for a touchdownColorado at Georgia Tech, week 1Q2, 13:06 · Colorado 7, Georgia Tech 0Colorado opened the scoringColorado opened the scoringM.Welch rush left for 5 yards gain to the GT 00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 0:03 · Colorado breaks the tieIsaac Wilson finds DeAndre Moore Jr. for a 15-yard touchdownColorado at Oklahoma State, week 8Q1, 0:03 · Colorado 14, Oklahoma State 7Colorado took the lead in the first quarterColorado took the lead in the first quarterI.Wilson pass complete short middle to D.Moore Jr. caught at OSU00, for 15 yards to the OSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Colorado lost to Texas Tech after being 80% to win; the closest win was at Georgia Tech, down to 4%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Colorado during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Colorado
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · ColoradoGideon Lampron leads Colorado with 77 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+13 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Colorado fields a struggling offense behind a solid defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Colorado reads strongest in rushing EPA allowed (top 21%) and explosive plays allowed (top 43%); the crux lives in field position (O), where Colorado sits at the 3rd percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Colorado is worth +6.4 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 86th percentile of 133 programs
47% at home, 26% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (22-25 home, 11-32 away). Interval ±3.9.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Colorado has beaten the number by +2.5 more at home than away over 93 games. That is inside the ±6.1 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Folsom Field seats 50,183 and has averaged 99% full (49,752, 29 games reported). Visitors face the 22nd-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 637 miles since 2018. Some of what the band above measures is the map, not the crowd. For the home side it is a home crowd more than a home town: only 6% of the 2026 roster (6 of 101 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 50 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatJoseph Williams is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Garbage timeMicah Welch sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
- Deep threatOmarion Miller is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatZach Atkins is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Jaquail Smith and Richard Young split the carries (71/111 vs 40/111) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Joseph Williams (WR) and Charlie Williams (TE) split the targets (74/83 vs 9/83) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Charlie Williams produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Colorado actually scores
15th percentile quality, 86th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Colorado’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 5th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 16th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Colorado hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
16th percentile success on standard downs, 65th on passing downs — a 49-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Colorado by half
1st-half offense ranks 47th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 8th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Colorado’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.05; 35th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.26 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Colorado’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.8% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 227-play sample) — mid-pack, 80 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Colorado’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 182-play sample) — mid-pack, 77 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces haven't gone their way on their own fumbles: 30% recovered, vs. ~52% expected.
3 of 10 own fumbles recovered themselves; 3 of 8 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Deflections without payoff: 10% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~18% league-wide.
4 interceptions of 42 disrupted passes (38 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The flags haven't favored them: 74 penalties committed vs. 58 drawn on opponents, 198 yards behind.
643 penalty yards committed vs. 445 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Colorado
Most similar programs · ColoradoReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Folsom Field, Boulder, CO · 5,361 ft above sea level
Usual during the game around Nov 13: 48°, between 41° and 56° in about 7 in 10 games (26 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 64°, and 8 in 10 ran between 38° and 82° (49 road games).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.