Marshall

1-1

Sun Belt · Tony Gibson, year 2 (6-8) · Joan C. Edwards Stadium · 38,016 · 25,662 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#33 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #117 (-14.4) · FPI #121
The marketMarshall by 3.5at Missouri State · our model 62% Marshall · a number, not a pick

LastW 28–26 vs Middle Tennessee · Sat Sep 12 · Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw 5 rush yds, 1 TD, 79 rec yds

Nextat Missouri State · Sat Sep 19 · 6:30 pm ET · Plaster Sports Complex · Marshall by 3.5 · series 0-1 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
14.0
Pts allowed/game
35.5
Total yards/gm#135 / 138 · 3rd pct
228.5
Rush yards/gm#133 / 138 · 4th pct
86.5
Pass yards/gm#125 / 138 · 10th pct
142.0
Yards allowed/gm#113 / 138 · 18th pct
419.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#85 / 138 · 39th pct
136.0
SacksT-#106 / 138 · 16th pct
2
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down conv#132 / 138 · 5th pct
21.7%
All 84 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
457228.5/gm3.97/play#135 / 138 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
839419.5/gm5.95/play#113 / 138 · 18th pct#66 / 70 · 6th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
17386.5/gm1.50/play#133 / 138 · 4th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
272136.0/gm1.93/play#85 / 138 · 39th pct#57 / 70 · 19th pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6432.0/gmT-#110 / 138 · 20th pctT-#56 / 70 · 19th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6733.5/gmT-#60 / 138 · 55th pctT-#41 / 70 · 41st pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
31.5/gmT-#77 / 138 · 34th pctT-#45 / 70 · 29th pctT-#9 / 14 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 50th pctT-#34 / 70 · 36th pct#8 / 14 · 46th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
284142.0/gm2.47/play#125 / 138 · 10th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
567283.5/gm4.02/play#122 / 138 · 12th pct#67 / 70 · 5th pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
5125.5/gmT-#98 / 138 · 29th pctT-#56 / 70 · 20th pct#8 / 14 · 46th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
7437.0/gmT-#112 / 138 · 18th pctT-#58 / 70 · 17th pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3417.0/gmT-#86 / 138 · 36th pctT-#53 / 70 · 24th pctT-#7 / 14 · 46th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4522.5/gmT-#114 / 138 · 17th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
10.5/gmT-#114 / 138 · 11th pctT-#60 / 70 · 9th pctT-#12 / 14 · 11th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#129 / 138 · 5th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
116.0116.0#94 / 115 · 19th pct#53 / 60 · 12th pct#11 / 13 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
149.2149.2#75 / 91 · 18th pct#40 / 42 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
10.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 49th pctT-#25 / 70 · 53rd pctT-#4 / 14 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 70 · 64th pctT-#2 / 14 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 16th pctT-#61 / 70 · 9th pctT-#10 / 14 · 18th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#33 / 138 · 67th pctT-#20 / 70 · 61st pctT-#3 / 14 · 75th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
63.0/gmT-#122 / 138 · 9th pctT-#65 / 70 · 6th pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
147.0/gmT-#118 / 138 · 13th pctT-#66 / 70 · 6th pct#12 / 14 · 18th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3015.0/gmT-#126 / 138 · 8th pctT-#65 / 70 · 6th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4723.5/gmT-#119 / 138 · 13th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
52.5/gmT-#131 / 138 · 4th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
115.5/gmT-#80 / 138 · 39th pctT-#50 / 70 · 28th pctT-#6 / 14 · 57th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2311.5/gmT-#91 / 138 · 30th pctT-#43 / 70 · 34th pctT-#8 / 14 · 43rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2814.0/gmT-#62 / 138 · 50th pctT-#32 / 70 · 49th pctT-#5 / 14 · 57th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
00.0/gmT-#114 / 138 · 9th pctT-#52 / 70 · 14th pctT-#13 / 14 · 7th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#104 / 138 · 19th pctT-#56 / 70 · 16th pctT-#11 / 14 · 18th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
10.5/gmT-#119 / 138 · 9th pctT-#55 / 70 · 14th pctT-#12 / 14 · 11th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#54 / 138 · 52nd pctT-#30 / 70 · 49th pctT-#8 / 14 · 39th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
51:0125:30/gm#131 / 138 · 5th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#11 / 14 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
68:5934:30/gm#122 / 138 · 12th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#11 / 14 · 25th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
7224 / 3372.71945.910132.144.2
+0.31 EPA/play127 / 1258.3675.60188.628.7
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.85 EPA/play5259619.2169
Complete TE · +0.32 EPA/play8129616.8011
+0.15 EPA/play227436.1015

2026 stat leaders · Marshall

through 2 games

Jaydyn Johnson leads Marshall with 24 tackles through 2 games.

1. Jaydyn Johnson LB 24 tackles
2. Caleb Clark-Glover DB 20 tackles
3. Cannon Lewis LB 17 tackles
4. Daytione Smith S 11 tackles
5. Renté Hinton S 10 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Marshall fields a capable run-heavy, methodical, ball-control offense behind a solid, gives up the big play defense.

Offense
50th pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
60% run plays
Tempo
63rd pct success, 7th explosiveness
Defense
49th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
4th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Marshall · 2025

Marshall reads strongest in passing epa (top 21%) and rushing epa allowed (top 26%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Marshall sits at the 4th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.17
50th
Success Rate +0.43
63rd
Explosive Plays +1.16
7th
Rushing EPA +0.02
19th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.15
49th
Success Rate Allowed +0.38
72nd
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.42
4th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.32
26th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.39
80th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.03
75th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Marshall · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Marshall is worth +1.7 points more at home than on the road.

Bottom third of FBS, 12th percentile of 133 programs

67% at home, 52% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (28–14 home, 24–22 away). Interval ±3.7.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Marshall has beaten the number by −0.6 more at home than away over 75 games — inside the ±6.4 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Joan C. Edwards Stadium seats 38,016 and has averaged 62% full (23,432, 25 games reported). Visitors cover a median 351 miles to get here since 2018 — 52nd-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 19% of the 2026 roster (25 of 129 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 51 home games since 2018.

Home28–14Away24–22Edge+1.7 ±3.7Visitor trip351 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Marshall’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Rod Smith (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 32% → 2026: 40% · 8-pt range · #111 of 184 · a typical amount
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

Pass-depth identity

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), Marshall’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.0% vs 65.2% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 65-play sample) — mid-pack, 7 of 18 qualifying defenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 59 claims, 59 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=65 short-zone plays, raw rate 64.6%
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Marshall

CFB Zeitgeist

#33

+5.0

SP+

#117

-14.4

FPI

#121

-13.9

Elo

#93

1388

The national models put Marshall between 93rd and 121st nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is higher on them than any of these models, at 33rd.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Marshall

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

63°F average kickoff temp; 14% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 77 home games with weather data.

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