NC State

Home-field advantage · NC State · 2018–present · FBS opponents

NC State is worth +6.7 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 91st percentile of 133 programs

76% at home, 42% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (37–12 home, 17–23 away). Interval ±3.6.

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, NC State has beaten the number by 6.4 points more at home than away over 73 games — outside the ±6.2 that many games can resolve. This is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.

Carter-Finley Stadium seats 58,000 and has averaged 98% full (56,820, 28 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 253 miles trip since 2018, the 16th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. Whatever the band above is picking up, it isn't the flight. 18% of the 2026 roster (22 of 122 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 56 home games since 2018.