Next game: vs North Carolina
UConn’s best edge on North Carolina is red zone
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
UConn offense against North Carolina defense
North Carolina offense against UConn defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertical Passer · +0.26 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 129 / 215 | 60 | 1857 #35 FBS | 8.6 | 14 #32 FBS | 2 | 152.2 | 48 | 51.9 | 8.2 | 9.3 | |
Yards by week → Vertical passerElite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable. Impact starter — 215 pass attempts and 89 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Osborne pushes it downfield on every look. Coleman is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Yards / attempt8.7 79th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate0.9% 87th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kalieb Osborne's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| -0.15 EPA/play | 12 | 3 | 9 / 11 | 81.8 | 118 | 10.7 | 1 | 1 | 183.7 | — | 33.9 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Merchant · +0.29 EPA/play | 23 | 8 | 84 | 571 #59 FBS | 6.8 | 7 #36 FBS | 71 | 16.7 | 14.3 | |
Yards by week → Speed merchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. Starter — 84 carries and 7 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Bowers hits the crease and outruns the angle. Pettaway is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Yards / carry7.2 96th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate8.3% 91th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Cyncir Bowers's full player page | ||||||||||
| Satellite Back · +0.30 EPA/play | 3 | 7 | 55 | 306 | 5.6 | 3 | 46 | 14.0 | 10 | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 55 carries and 12 catches in 7 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Christian wins in space out of the backfield. Pettaway is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Receiving share17.9% 91th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception11.2 90th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kenji Christian's full player page | ||||||||||
| Speed Merchant · +0.06 EPA/play | 6 | 8 | 44 | 267 | 6.1 | 4 | 55 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Speed merchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. 44 carries and 3 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Cornist hits the crease and outruns the angle. Pettaway is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Yards / carry6.8 91th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate9.1% 94th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Trey Cornist's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.55 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 16 | 308 | 19.2 | 3 | 53 | |
Yards by week → Jump-ball target· Money-downWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Porter wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Scott is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt TD rate18.8% 93th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume16 bottom 21th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Shamar Porter's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.52 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 15 | 271 | 18.1 | 2 | 41 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jediyah Willoughby's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.28 EPA/play | 11 | 8 | 19 | 255 | 13.4 | 1 | 38 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ryder Treadway's full player page | ||||||||
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.79 EPA/play | 19 | 4 | 14 | 202 | 14.4 | 2 | 29 | |
Yards by week → Jump-ball targetWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. This week's matchup — WR Brown wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Scott is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt TD rate14.3% 79th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume14 bottom 17th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Javon Brown's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.21 EPA/play | — | 4 | 10 | 131 | 13.1 | 0 | 33 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +1.29 EPA/play | 80 | 3 | 5 | 122 | 24.4 | 1 | 55 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.99 EPA/play | 83 | 6 | 9 | 118 | 13.1 | 1 | 23 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Watson shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Keller is the one who creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Season receipt Yards / reception13.1 72th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.0 92th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Xavier Watson's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.95 EPA/play | 86 | 4 | 8 | 96 | 12 | 0 | 20 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Ragan shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Keller is the one who creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Season receipt Yards / reception9.5 bottom 35th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.9 90th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Matt Ragan's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.22 EPA/play | 21 | 4 | 7 | 82 | 11.7 | 1 | 60 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.64 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 7 | 57 | 8.1 | 0 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 2 | 6 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 31 tackles in 6 games. More tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate6.5% bottom 22th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tahjae Mullix's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 15 | 8 | 22 | 12 | 4.5 | 2 | 3 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 22 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Anas Luqman's full player page | |||||||
| Thumper | 9 | 8 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate5.0% bottom 28th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume20 bottom 16th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Zakaih Saez's full player page | |||||||
| Speed Rusher | 52 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 3.5 | 3 | 2 |
Speed rusherBends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor. 19 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Sack rate18.8% 84th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Joshua Mickens's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 3 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Esean Carter's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 95 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Melvin Hills III's full player pageTFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 14 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.1% bottom 30th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Desmond Aladuge's full player page | |||||||
| 17 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 94 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 55 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 44 | 8 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 58 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View John Lista's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | — | 8 | 56 | 24 | 32 | 8 #50 FBS | 3.5 | 1 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. Starter — 56 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.3% 80th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume56 85th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View K'Von Sherman's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 37 | 8 | 56 | 28 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. Starter — 56 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.4% 76th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume56 85th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Hayden Pegg's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 5 | 8 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Rickey Williams's full player page | |||||||||
| 20 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 18 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 4 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 40 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume40 76th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Braedyn Moore's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 13 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 31 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume31 bottom 50th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jayden Price's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 12 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 28 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate17.9% 91th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Saxton Suchanic's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 10 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 27 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jayden Davis's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 22 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jalil Martin's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 7 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.5% 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tyler McKinstry's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 24 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.2% bottom 42th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Zion Paret's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 6 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate18.8% 93th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Renick Dorilas's full player page | |||||||
| 21 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | 4/7 | 57.1 | 35/37 | 47 | 46 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 49 | 8 | 30 | 1247 | 41.6 | 56 | 12 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.64 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 6 | 75 | 12.5 | 0 | 49 |
Biggest plays from UConn’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in UConn’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 3:24 · Maryland down 7, ties itMaryland scores a touchdownMaryland at UConn, week 2Q1, 3:24 · Maryland 7, UConn 76060-yard touchdown pass6060-yard touchdown pass60-yard touchdown passM.Washington pass complete short right to N.Abdul-Rahim Gladding caught at UC45, for 60 yards to the UC00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football
Q1, 4:39 · UConn tiedKalieb Osborne finds Jediyah Willoughby for a 36-yard touchdownMaryland at UConn, week 2Q1, 4:39 · UConn 7, Maryland 0UConn opened the scoringUConn opened the scoringK.Osborne pass complete deep right to J.Willoughby caught at UM00, for 36 yards to the UM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football- Q1, 1:30 · UConn tiedUConn turns it overMaryland at UConn, week 2Q1, 1:30 · UConn 7, Maryland 7▼14%UConn’s chance to win, 36% to 22%▼14%UConn’s chance to win, 36% to 22%K.Osborne sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UC47 (Z.Elee), fumble by K.Osborne recovered by UM D.Holmes at UC47, End Of Play▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
- Q2, 7:51 · Maryland breaks the tieHarry Dalton III runs 4 yards for a touchdownMaryland at UConn, week 2Q2, 7:51 · Maryland 14, UConn 792Capped a 92-yard drive92Capped a 92-yard driveCapped a 92-yard driveH.Dalton III rush left for 4 yards gain to the UC00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
- Q3, 8:42 · Maryland up 10Iverson Howard runs 1 yard for a touchdownMaryland at UConn, week 2Q3, 8:42 · Maryland 24, UConn 7▲5%Maryland’s chance to win, 92% to 97%▲5%Maryland’s chance to win, 92% to 97%I.Howard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UC00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
- Q3, 5:29 · UConn down 17Kalieb Osborne finds Shamar Porter for a 39-yard touchdownMaryland at UConn, week 2Q3, 5:29 · UConn 14, Maryland 24▲4%UConn’s chance to win, 4% to 8%▲4%UConn’s chance to win, 4% to 8%K.Osborne pass complete deep left to S.Porter caught at UM10, for 39 yards to the UM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
How scary each game got
UConn lost at Miami (OH) after being 89% to win; the closest win was at Temple, down to 33%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave UConn during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · UConn
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · UConnJohn Lista leads UConn with 58 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+19 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
UConn fields a strong explosive, big-play offense behind a solid, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
UConn reads strongest in explosive plays (top 7%) and rushing EPA (top 7%); the crux lives in success rate allowed, where UConn sits at the 37th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
UConn is worth +5.1 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 65th percentile of 133 programs
39% at home, 24% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (15-23 home, 11-34 away). Interval ±5.0.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, UConn has beaten the number by +4.1 more at home than away over 91 games. That is inside the ±6.0 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Pratt & Whitney Stadium seats 40,000 and has averaged 67% full (26,728, 29 games reported). Visitors cover a median 523 miles to get here since 2018 — 40th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 13% of the 2026 roster (14 of 105 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 47 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatJohn Neider is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatLouis Hansen is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Cyncir Bowers and Kenji Christian split the carries (84/134 vs 50/134) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Kenji Christian owns the receiving work.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Ryder Treadway (WR) and Xavier Watson (TE) split the targets (27/40 vs 13/40) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Xavier Watson produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How UConn actually scores
84th percentile quality, 26th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
UConn’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 43rd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 37th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does UConn hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
72nd percentile success on standard downs, 73rd on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
UConn by half
1st-half offense ranks 84th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 50th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of UConn’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.23; 85th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.08. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.57 raw vs. 0.05 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), UConn’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.2% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 175-play sample) — mid-pack, 69 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), UConn’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.1% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 206-play sample) — mid-pack, 128 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 43% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~52% league rate.
3 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves; 3 of 6 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 10% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~18% league rate.
4 interceptions of 40 disrupted passes (36 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Losing the penalty battle: 68 penalties committed vs. 42 drawn on opponents, a 206-yard deficit.
620 penalty yards committed vs. 414 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · UConn
Most similar programs · UConnReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 51°, between 41° and 59° in about 7 in 10 games (26 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 71°, and 8 in 10 ran between 41° and 80° (44 of 51 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.