CFB Zeitgeist Score
19
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 38th percentile.
Andrew Paul
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
127 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 30 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Jacksonville State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Jacksonville State
Returning around him
- 84% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (20 in / 13 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Jacksonville State · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #111 · 2026 recruiting class #110
RB · JACKSONVILLE STATE · CONFERENCE USA
Andrew Paul
- 3
- 5-11 | 215 lb
- Dallas, TX
Heisman Heat
#3799
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025-2%
Down 2% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8826 | No. 522 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Georgia -> Jacksonville State | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Georgia
Composite
0.8826
#522 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Andrew Paul
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Andrew Paul
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 10g
127Rush yards
30Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
12.7Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
165.1Rush yards
39Carries
4Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 127): needs 207.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 127): needs 291/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 127): needs 457.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 4/game over remaining 3.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 5.7/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Andrew Paul's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Jacksonville State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
30 48th
YDS
127 45th
YPC
4.2 38th
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
2 25th
YDS
29 37th
YPR
14.5 93rd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 10-17@ UCF | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Wk 2 | W 34-24vs Liberty | 8 | 67 | 8.4 | 1 | 42 | Season-high 67 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 29-27@ Sam Houston | 2 | -1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 38-25vs Delaware | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-21@ Middle Tennessee | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | W 30-27@ UTEP | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 13 | L 21-27@ Florida International | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 14 | W 37-34vs Western Kentucky | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 15 | L 15-19vs Kennesaw State | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Bowl | W 17-13vs Troy | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | 1 | 4 | |
| Total | 30 | 127 | 3.1 | 3 | 42 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Georgia13-1HC: Kirby Smart · Balanced
2025Jacksonville State9-5HC: Charles Kelly · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | 30 | 127 | 4.2 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Georgia | 29 | 129 | 4.4 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 59 | 256 | 4.3 | 4 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Georgia | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 127 | #405/735 | 45th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #455/735 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 2 | #414/552 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 29 | #347/548 | 37th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.19 | #67/362 | 82nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 31 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 4.5% | #567/738 | 23rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 42 | #222/733 | 70th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 30 | #385/739 | 48th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 17 | #264/540 | 51st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.5 | #37/548 | 93rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 12.0 | #163/199 | 19th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 12 | #176/200 | 12th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 6.7% | #583/738 | 21st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.3% | #540/738 | 27th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.1% | #561/738 | 24th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.8% | #447/738 | 40th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.0% | #568/738 | 23rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 2.8% | #655/738 | 11th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 0.8% | #526/738 | 29th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 19.0 | 4.5 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 13.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| Losses3g | 11.3 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 25.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 4.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
19Below cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.19High (p75–p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Andrew PaulJacksonville StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 54% simTae MeadowsTroy· 53% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 51% sim
Long run
Rush TDs
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Charles Kelly
Pass share
33.8%
328 pass / 642 run
Plays / game
69.3
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
243 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Rich Rodriguez
Jacksonville State
2025era →
Charles Kelly
Jacksonville State
Coaching transition mid-career: Rich Rodriguez → Charles Kelly. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDallas, TX
Height5'11"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionRB
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamJacksonville State
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Jacksonville State | RB3 | #3799 | #4022 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Georgia | RB3 | #764 | #501 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | Georgia | RB3 | #1374 | #843 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | RB | 3 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Dallas, TX |
| 2024 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | RB | 3 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Dallas, TX |
| 2023 | Georgia | SEC | RB | 3 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Dallas, TX |
| 2022 | Georgia | SEC | RB | 3 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Dallas, TX |