Ashtyn Hawkins

Senior wide receiver for Baylor. 2025: 53 catches, 621 receiving yards.

WR · Baylor · Sr. · #6

5′10″ · 168 lb · Desoto, TX

CFB Index 57 · #147 of 485 WRsHigh confidenceReturning to Baylor for 2026

Next upSat Sep 19 · 4 pm ETvs Louisiana TechMcLane StadiumBaylor by 19.5

The numbers

621

receiving yards · 2025

53 catches · 11.7 per catch

Best game: 10 rec, 145 yds, at SMU

Statement game13 rec · 114 yds · 1 TDat Baylor (FBS) · L 7-42

Top 0.1% catches game since 2021.

His name is Hawkins, in case y’all were wondering who needs to be coveredr/CFB game thread · ▲ 6His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 wide receiver for Baylor. 2025: 53 catches, 621 receiving yards.

Transferred from Texas State to Baylor in 2024.

His career, year by year

How he plays

Wins underneath on volume and route precision.

EPA / target: 57th percentile.

The full scouting read

Ashtyn Hawkins

WR · Baylor · Sr · #6

Wins underneath on volume and route precision. Ashtyn Hawkins has played for three head coaches across five seasons and two programs. One game to point at: 145 rec yds, 10 receptions against SMU — Week 2, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2021Texas State4-8HC: Jake Spavital · Run-leaning

2022Texas State4-8HC: Jake Spavital · Balanced

2023Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning

2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning

2025Baylor5-7HC: Dave Aranda · Pass-leaning, fast tempo

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

57Quality starter #147 of 485?

High confidence11 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (81st percentile). Concern: td rate (18th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

EPA / target#344 / 798 · 57th pct

0.47

Yards / catch#361 / 798 · 55th pct

11.8

Explosive rate#453 / 798 · 43rd pct

8.9%

Catch rate#454 / 798 · 43rd pct

65.8%

TD rate#507 / 798 · 18th pct

0.0%

Box-score rates (6)

Receptions#101 / 558 · 81st pct

Rec yards#140 / 558 · 75th pct

621

Yards / catch#355 / 558 · 36th pct

11.7

Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct

Long catch#367 / 558 · 33rd pct

Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / target

41st → 57th percentile

Explosive rate

58th → 43rd percentile

Catch rate

41st → 43rd percentile

TD rate

65th → 18th percentile

Yards / catch

56th → 55th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Share of own targets (PBP, 2025)

Third-down role

14%11 of his 79 targets came on third down · Receiver median is 24%

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home7g	4.3	47.3	10.2	0.0
Road5g	4.6	58.0	10.5	0.0

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-76g	4.0	50.7	10.1	0.0
Weeks 8+6g	4.8	52.8	10.6	0.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Dave Aranda

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Part-time starter

Splitting first-team reps — starts some weeks, rotates others.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

57 · #147 of 485 WRs

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-Big 12

Based on 2025: #17 of 55 Big 12 WRs

How the All-Big 12 estimate is computed

22% estimated, 95% confidence interval 19–25%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Baylor	53	621	11.7	0	--
2024	Baylor	45	567	12.6	5	--
2023	Texas State	55	874	15.9	3	--
2022	Texas State	55	582	10.6	7	--
2021	Texas State	30	284	9.5	1	--
Career		238	2,928	12.3	16	--

Season	Team
2025	Baylor	--	--	--	--	--
2024	Baylor	3	4	-1	--	--
2023	Texas State	1	-2	--	--	--
2022	Texas State	1	-4	--	99	--
2021	Texas State	2	14	--	2	--
Career		7	12	-1	101	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2025

W 48–45

at SMU

10 rec · 145 yds

Edged out SMU on the road in a shootout.

With S. Robertson — 440 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 91.9 · 20 rush yds (6 car) · J. Cameron — 9 rec · 151 yds · 2 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 1 · Auburn · 2&20 · Q3 · EPA +4.14Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 36 yds to the AUB 28 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Utah · 3&5 · Q1 · EPA +3.53(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Robertson pass complete deep left to #6 A.Hawkins caught at UTAH32, for 37 yards to the UTAH23 (#9 E.Davis), 1ST DOWN
Week 8 · TCU · 2&7 · Q1 · EPA +3.29Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 41 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · SMU · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.23Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 28 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down
Week 14 · Houston · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.95(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Robertson pass complete short left to #6 A.Hawkins caught at BAYLOR46, for 23 yards to the UH41 (#1 L.McCutchin Sr.), 1ST DOWN
Week 13 · Arizona · 4&3 · Q3 · EPA +2.65(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Robertson pass complete short middle to #6 A.Hawkins caught at BAY47, for 8 yards to the BAY47 (#12 G.Smith), 1ST DOWN
Week 10 · UCF · 3&6 · Q1 · EPA +2.47(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Robertson pass complete short left to #6 A.Hawkins caught at BAY44, for 15 yards to the BAY44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Week 8 · TCU · 2&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.43Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 15 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down
Week 8 · TCU · 2&8 · Q3 · EPA +2.08Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 14 yds to the BAY 47 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Utah · 2&9 · Q3 · EPA +2.01(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Robertson pass complete short middle to #6 A.Hawkins caught at BAY38, for 15 yards to the BAY41 (#16 B.Cotton), 1ST DOWN

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 24-38vs Auburn	4	70	17.5	36
Wk 2	W 48-45@ SMU	10	145	14.5	28	Season-high 145 yds
Wk 3	W 42-7vs Samford	3	42	14.0	36
Wk 4	L 24-27vs Arizona State	1	-1	-1.0	0
Wk 5	W 45-27@ Oklahoma State	2	15	7.5	8
Wk 6	W 35-34vs Kansas State	4	33	8.3	12
Wk 8	L 36-42@ TCU	7	95	13.6	41
Wk 9	L 20-41@ Cincinnati	3	27	9.0	15
Wk 10	W 30-3vs UCF	8	33	4.1	15
Wk 12	L 28-55vs Utah	7	119	17.0	37
Wk 13	L 17-41@ Arizona	1	8	8.0	8
Wk 14	L 24-31vs Houston	3	35	11.7	23
Total		53	621	10.3	41

How he plays

Play style

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

CFB Index positional classification

2026 Outlook

Baylor

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Baylor

Returning around him

60% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
2 Baylor players drafted to NFL
Transfer portal: -1 net (31 in / 32 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Baylor · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #43 · 2026 recruiting class #57

DNA match

Player DNA

Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kris Hutson’s 2024 season.

Kris Hutson

76%match

Washington State · 2024

Kevin Coleman Jr.

Missouri · 2025

75%

Malik Rutherford

Georgia Tech · 2024

75%

Elijah Metcalf

Southern Miss · 2025

75%

Stephon Robinson

Northwestern · 2021

74%

Matches Kris on

Total EPA (college ability)

Weight

Height

Differs from Kris on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen McDonald’s path through Merrimack.

Jalen McDonald

100%match

Merrimack · 2025

Ben Skowronek

Notre Dame · 2020

NFL Rd 7

100%

Joshua Harris

Furman · 2024

98%

DeVontres Dukes

South Florida · 2020

97%

Jamari Gassett

Florida A&M · 2024

97%

Matches Jalen on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Elijah Metcalf's graduate season at Southern Miss (2025).

Elijah Metcalf

79%match

Southern Miss · 2025

All-Conference USA

Taylor Morin

Wake Forest · 2024

78%

Cam Ross

Virginia · 2025

All-Sun Belt

77%

Malik Rutherford

Georgia Tech · 2025

74%

Devin Voisin

South Alabama · 2024

All-Sun Belt

72%

Matches Elijah on

Yards / reception

EPA / play (adj)

Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Elijah on

TD rate (lower)

Player DNA

Players who play like Ashtyn Hawkins

Ryan O'Keefe

Boston College · 2023

88%

Squirrel White

Tennessee · 2024

88%

Tommy Maher

Colorado State · 2025

84%

Ife Adeyi

Sam Houston · 2024

83%

Luke Floriea

Kent State · 2023

82%

The receiver room · Baylor

#6Ashtyn HawkinsWR · Sr.621 receiving yards · 2025
#6Gavin FreemanWR · Sr.481 receiving yards · 2025
#1Drelon MillerWR · Jr.159 receiving yards · 2025
#3Jadon PorterWR · Jr.85 receiving yards · 2025
#4Louis BrownWR · Sr.79 receiving yards · 2025

13 more on the roster · Baylor team page

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

202412 games

2025 snapshot

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

Part-time starter

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Slot Technician

Players who play like Ashtyn Hawkins

The receiver room · Baylor