Braylon Braxton

Senior quarterback for Southern Miss. 2025: 3,053 passing yards, 24 TD, 8 INT.

QB · Southern Miss · Sr. · #1

6′2″ · 230 lb · Frisco, TX

CFB Index 48 · #72 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceAll-ConferenceReturning to Southern Miss for 2026

Next upSat Sep 19 · 7 pm ETvs UConnM. M. Roberts StadiumUConn by 3

The numbers

3,053

passing yards · 2025

24 TD · 8 INT · 7.6 per attempt

The play that turned itSwung Southern Miss from 8% to 50% to win.Troy at Southern Miss · 28-18

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Southern Miss. 2025: 3,053 passing yards, 24 TD, 8 INT.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Tulsa in 2021.
Transferred from Marshall to Southern Miss in 2025.
Named Sun Belt Newcomer of the Year in 2024.

His career, year by year

How he plays

Operates within the system without forcing anything.

Explosive rate: 89th percentile.

The full scouting read

Braylon Braxton

QB · Southern Miss · Sr · #1

Operates within the system without forcing anything. Braylon Braxton has played for three head coaches across five seasons and three programs. Two straight seasons of it now: All-Sun Belt again in 2025. The receipt: 400 pass yds, 3 pass TD against South Alabama — Week 13, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
recognition record
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2021Tulsa7-6HC: Philip Montgomery · Run-leaning, fast tempo

2022Tulsa5-7HC: Philip Montgomery · Balanced

2023Tulsa4-8HC: Kevin Wilson · Run-heavy

2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning

2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

48Rotational starter #72 of 146?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: explosive rate (89th percentile). Strength: pass tds (85th percentile). Concern: rush tds (26th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#21 / 183 · 89th pct

12.2%

Interception rate#48 / 183 · 74th pct

1.6%

Sack rate#82 / 183 · 55th pct

4.8%

EPA / dropback#83 / 183 · 55th pct

0.19

Success rate#105 / 183 · 42nd pct

39.2%

Box-score rates (8)

Pass TDs#24 / 183 · 85th pct

Pass yards#34 / 183 · 82nd pct

3053

Yards / att#57 / 183 · 68th pct

7.6

Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct

Rush yards#69 / 183 · 62nd pct

215

Completion %#73 / 183 · 60th pct

63.5%

Interceptions#115 / 183 · 32nd pct

Rush TDs#123 / 183 · 26th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

67th → 55th percentile

Success rate

40th → 42nd percentile

Explosive rate

81st → 89th percentile

Sack rate

65th → 55th percentile

Interception rate

91st → 74th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

235/377 (62.3%) · 24 TD · 8 INT

377 of 400 attempts matched to play-by-play

139 of 377 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

7.2658 of 206 QBs

Sack rate

4.5%93 of 206 QBs

Rarely sacked (93 of 206 QBs) and still 58 of 206 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

22% of attempts (31)

97%comp

Air -3.6 · YAC 7.8 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

34% of attempts (47)

57%comp2 INT

Air 4.0 · YAC 4.2 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

21% of attempts (29)

59%comp

Air 13.0 · YAC 3.8 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

23% of attempts (32)

47%comp1 INT

Air 29.9 · YAC 2.2 avg

Overall 62.3% completion on 377 attempts · 47% completion on 32 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2025 baseline

No situation moves him more than 43 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-32 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/137 (4.4%) · league sack rate 4.2% · ~our read

Down 2

+4 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 1/120 (0.8%) · league sack rate 4.5% · ~our read

Down 3+

+43 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 12/91 (13.2%) · league sack rate 7.8% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home7g	223	2.1	7.2	0.6
Road5g	299	1.8	9.1	0.8

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	247	2.0	7.2	0.6
Weeks 8+5g	264	2.0	9.1	0.8

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Blake Anderson

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

All-Conference

Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

48 · #72 of 146 QBs

Three-star recruit. Now #72 at the position.

2026 outlook

In the mix to repeat All-Sun Belt

Based on 2025: #6 of 15 Sun Belt QBs

How the All-Sun Belt estimate is computed

35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Southern Miss	254	400	63.5%	3,053	7.6	24	8	143.4	48	--	--
2024	Marshall	124	206	60.2%	1,624	7.9	19	2	154.9	49	--	--
2023	Tulsa	22	50	44.0%	212	4.2	2	6	68.8	--	--	--
2022	Tulsa	92	164	56.1%	1,133	6.9	10	2	131.8	29	--	--
2021	Tulsa	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Career		492	820	60.0%	6,022	7.3	55	18	139.4	44	--	--

Season	Team
2025	Southern Miss	98	215	2.2	1	--
2024	Marshall	134	610	4.6	4	--
2023	Tulsa	40	174	4.3	0	--
2022	Tulsa	55	145	2.6	5	--
2021	Tulsa	9	38	4.2	1	--
Career		336	1,182	3.5	11	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2025

W 38–20

vs Jackson State

214 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 43.5 · 20 rush yds (10 car)

With J. Murley — 39 AVG · 2 IN 20 · 42 LONG · M. Davis — 3 rec · 38 yds · 1 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 4 · Louisiana Tech · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA -10.16Braylon Braxton pass intercepted Kolbe Fields return for 48 yds for a TD (Drew Henderson PAT MISSED)
Week 8 · Louisiana · 3&14 · Q3 · EPA +7.37Braylon Braxton pass complete to Micah Davis for 98 yds for a TD (Creighton Wilbanks KICK)
Week 9 · UL Monroe · 4&3 · Q2 · EPA +4.65(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short middle to #88 K.Heath caught at ULM30, for 34 yards to the ULM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:05, 1ST DOWN #40 C.Wilbanks kick attempt good (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard)
Week 4 · Louisiana Tech · 3&10 · Q4 · EPA +4.49Davis Dalton 34 Yd pass from Braylon Braxton (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)
Week 3 · App State · 3&12 · Q2 · EPA +4.27Braylon Braxton pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 48 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST down
Week 14 · Troy · 3&18 · Q3 · EPA +4.17(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep left to #7 C.Chester caught at TROY25, for 30 yards to the TROY25 (#5 K.Levine), 1ST DOWN
Week 11 · Arkansas State · 4&1 · Q1 · EPA -4.15(07:52) No Huddle #1 B.Braxton rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU05 (#10 D.Hendricks), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELD
Week 13 · South Alabama · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +4.01(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep left to #7 C.Chester caught at USA12, for 52 yards to the USA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:28, 1ST DOWN #40 C.Wilbanks kick attempt good (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard)
Week 1 · Mississippi State · 4&3 · Q4 · EPA -3.94Braylon Braxton pass complete to Jeffery Pittman for 2 yds to the MSST 7
Week 13 · South Alabama · 2&10 · Q4 · EPA +3.93(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep middle to #7 C.Chester caught at USA37, for 44 yards to the USA36 (#16 B.Dillard), 1ST DOWN

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 17-34vs Mississippi State	26/39	199	2	1	5.1	52.3
Wk 2	W 38-20vs Jackson State	20/30	214	3	0	7.1	43.5	3 TD passes
Wk 3	W 38-22vs App State	22/30	279	2	1	9.3	68.5
Wk 4	L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech	28/47	392	2	1	8.3	55.5
Wk 5	W 42-25vs Jacksonville State	13/22	152	2	0	6.9	41.0
Wk 7	W 38-35@ Georgia Southern	19/28	237	2	0	8.5	63.9
Wk 8	W 22-10@ Louisiana	13/18	237	1	1	13.2	48.4
Wk 9	W 49-21vs UL Monroe	18/23	248	4	0	10.8	65.4	4 TD passes
Wk 11	W 27-21@ Arkansas State	20/29	228	1	1	7.9	38.4
Wk 13	L 35-42@ South Alabama	31/52	400	3	1	7.7	30.8	Season-high 400 yds
Wk 14	L 18-28vs Troy	20/35	209	1	1	6.0	43.2
Bowl	L 16-27vs Western Kentucky	24/47	258	1	1	5.5	39.5
Total		254/400	3053	24	8	8.0	49.2

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

61.5%Completion %

30.4%Conversion/dropback

41.7%Land short of sticks

1INTs

61.5% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 30.4% conversion-per-dropback — 41.7% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

2/20Inside-5 share

2 of the team's 20 inside-the-5 carries (10.0%).

2026 Outlook

Southern Miss

Preseason read · May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Southern Miss

Returning around him