Carl Chester

#7 · WR · Sr. · Southern Miss6′3″ · 200 lb · Manor, TX

Carl Chester is a wide receiver at Southern Miss who has not played in Southern Miss's 8 games this season; the last season with a stat line was 2025.

Where Chester comes from

Manor, TXHometown
ManorHigh school
About 500 miles from M. M. Roberts StadiumDistance
Three-star, No. 1,991 in the 2021 class.Recruiting profile
On the Southern Miss roster since 2025Roster

Where Chester fits

Southern Miss lists 22 receivers this season.

Southern Miss receivers with a game this season

Mario Sanders II8 games this season
A.J. Little7 games this season
MJ Johnson7 games this season
Kaden Saunders6 games this season
Eelijah Singleton5 games this season
Davis Dalton4 games this season

Southern Miss is 3-5. Next: vs James Madison, Thu Nov 5.

Similar players

Same class and position

Ali FisherKent State · WR · No. 1919 in the 2021 class
Jasaiah GathingsBuffalo · WR · No. 1919 in the 2021 class
Jamarion McDougleBall State · WR · No. 1838 in the 2021 class

Also from Manor, TX

Jordan ClarkRice · WR
Isaiah CrosbyCalifornia · DB
Ike EsonwuneUAB · LB
Devin ScuraUTSA · TE

Chester beats you over the top. Played for two head coaches across three seasons and three programs. A game that shows it: 128 receiving yards and 5 receptions against South Alabama — Week 13, 2025.

Style of play

Play style

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

Similar players

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Cam CamperIndiana · 2023 · 83% season match
Stephen GosnellVirginia Tech · 2024 · 83% season match
Anthony SmithEast Carolina · 2024 · 74% season match
Kyren LacyLSU · 2023 · 71% season match
Duece WattsTulane · 2022 · 70% season match

Where to follow

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2025	Southern Miss	30	550	18.3	6	52
2024	Marshall	20	342	17.1	3	42
2023	Tulsa	22	401	18.2	1	57
Career		72	1,293	18.0	10	57

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 17-34vs Mississippi State	5	52	10.4	0	22
Wk 2	W 38-20vs Jackson State	3	40	13.3	0	23
Wk 4	L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech	4	118	29.5	0	42
Wk 5	W 42-25vs Jacksonville State	1	13	13.0	1	13
Wk 7	W 38-35@ Georgia Southern	2	43	21.5	1	30
Wk 8	W 22-10@ Louisiana	2	8	4.0	0	5
Wk 9	W 49-21vs UL Monroe	1	8	8.0	1	8
Wk 11	W 27-21@ Arkansas State	1	35	35.0	0	35
Wk 12	L 14-41vs Texas State	1	10	10.0	0	10
Wk 13	L 35-42@ South Alabama	5	128	25.6	2	52	Season-high 128 yds
Wk 14	L 18-28vs Troy	4	76	19.0	1	30
Bowl	L 16-27vs Western Kentucky	1	19	19.0	0	19
Total		30	550	18.3	6	52

Signature game

Week 13 · 2025

L 35-42

at South Alabama

5 rec · 128 yds · 2 TD

With B. Braxton — 400 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT · QBR 30.8 · R. Harradine — 42.8 yards per punt · 4 punts · 51 long

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 14 · Troy · 3rd and 18 · Q3 · EPA +4.17Braxton to Chester: a 30-yard pass.
Week 13 · South Alabama · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA +4.01Braxton to Chester: a 52-yard touchdown pass.
Week 13 · South Alabama · 2nd and 10 · Q4 · EPA +3.93Braxton to Chester: a 44-yard pass.
Week 4 · Louisiana Tech · 3rd and 4 · Q1 · EPA +3.80Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 39 yds to the LT 30 for a
Week 13 · South Alabama · 4th and 5 · Q4 · EPA +3.25Braxton to Chester: an 11-yard touchdown pass.
Week 4 · Louisiana Tech · 2nd and 4 · Q2 · EPA +3.20Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 42 yds to the LT 45 for a

4 more plays

Week 2 · Jackson State · 3rd and 2 · Q4 · EPA +2.88Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 23 yds to the JKST 44 for a Jackson State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jeremiah Williams) declined for a
Week 7 · Georgia Southern · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA +2.81Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 30 yds for a TD (Creighton Wilbanks KICK)
Week 5 · Jacksonville State · 1st and 10 · Q3 · EPA +2.54Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 13 yds for a TD Jacksonville State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Caleb Nix) declined (Creighton Wilbanks KICK)
Week 14 · Troy · 1st and 10 · Q4 · EPA +2.51Braxton to Chester: a 10-yard touchdown pass.

Receiving profile

Receiver profile · Targets, catch rate, and throw depth

How often he's targeted, and how well it works

30 rec · 550 yds · 6 TD

28 of 30 receptions matched to play-by-play

25 of 55 targets charted for true throw depth

Targets

5515% of team targets

Catch rate

51%28 of 55 targets

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

4% of targets (1)

100%catch rate

Air -2.0 · YAC 12.0 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

12% of targets (3)

33%catch rate

Air 5.3 · YAC 0.0 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

44% of targets (11)

55%catch rate

Air 13.0 · YAC 2.8 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

40% of targets (10)

40%catch rate

Air 30.6 · YAC 3.5 avg

51% catch rate on 55 targets · 15% of the team's targets · 40% catch rate on 10 deep targets (20+ air yds).

Situational

Situational · Share of own targets (PBP, 2025)

Third-down role

30%16 of his 53 targets came on third down · Receiver median is 24%

Teams and coaches

2023Tulsa4-8HC: Kevin Wilson · Run-heavy

2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning

2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 52 (#205 of 485). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles · 2025 season

52Rotational starter #205 of 485 · 2025?

10 metrics · season cumulative

2025 score: the 2026 sample is not big enough yet. The rows below are 2026 so far. Elite: yards / catch (97th percentile). Strength: explosive rate (91st percentile). Concern: catch rate (4th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Yards / catch#21 / 798 · 97th pct

18.2

Explosive rate#73 / 798 · 91st pct

18.9%

EPA / target#247 / 798 · 69th pct

0.54

TD rate#253 / 798 · 68th pct

3.8%

Catch rate#770 / 798 · 4th pct

49.1%

Box-score rates (5)

Yards / catch#26 / 558 · 95th pct

18.3

Rec TDs#56 / 558 · 87th pct

Rec yards#178 / 558 · 68th pct

550

Long catch#217 / 558 · 60th pct

Receptions#282 / 558 · 48th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / target

96th → 69th percentile

Explosive rate

92nd → 91st percentile

Catch rate

34th → 4th percentile

TD rate

73rd → 68th percentile

Yards / catch

86th → 97th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps in 2025. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home6g	2.5	33.2	12.3	0.5
Road5g	2.8	66.4	23.1	0.6

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-76g	2.7	47.5	17.8	0.3
Weeks 8+6g	2.3	44.2	16.9	0.7

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Huff

Pass share

49.9%

454 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

Team sack rate

4.5%

445 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

30 catches in 12 games

Fewer catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week.

Surprisingly productive for a receiver with no award recognition yet — top-4% yards per catch, top-4% TD rate.2025 profile

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

52 · #205 of 485 WRs · 2025

Three-star recruit. Now #205 at the position.

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-Sun Belt

Based on 2025: #21 of 51 Sun Belt WRs

How the All-Sun Belt base rate is computed

A base rate for the rank, not a forecast of this player: 15% of returning players who ranked #21 or lower at their position in their conference made an all-conference team the next season (95% confidence interval 13–17%).

One of 52 players who were elite at two different things in 2025. See the others ›

Starter

The No. 1,991 recruit in the country is starting at receiver in the Sun Belt as a senior.

Carl Chester

Where Chester comes from

Where Chester fits

Southern Miss receivers with a game this season

Similar players

Same class and position

Also from Manor, TX

Style of play

Similar players

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

Signature game

Signature plays

Receiving profile

Situational

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Awards

30 catches in 12 games

Starter

Five seasons, three schools

Moves

2021

2024 10 games

2025 12 games