cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Gary Bryant Jr. /Oregon

Gary Bryant Jr.

WR · Oregon · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

306 REC YDS · 26 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oregon for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oregon for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Oregon

Returning around him

  • 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 7 Oregon players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -17 net (13 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oregon · Last season: 13-2 (AP #5) · Talent rank #5 · 2026 recruiting class #5

WR · OREGON · BIG TEN

Gary Bryant Jr.

  • 4
  • #2
  • 5-11 | 191 lb
  • Riverside, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

46

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1265

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
5792021
15.02022
4422023
12.02024
3062025

-47%

Sharp dropoff (-47%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#46 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements5-11 | 191 lb
HometownRiverside, CA
Primary teamOregon

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 46 recruit
Composite rating 0.9766 HighSchool
Signed with USC 2020
Origin Centennial Corona, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.9766 No. 46 recruit | HighSchool | USC

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Oregon 2023
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 9, 2023
Season Move Context
2023 USC -> Oregon 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1265Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#973Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to USC

Composite

0.9766

#46 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Gary Bryant Jr.

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "Oregon's first opponent this year is Montana State, the preseason #2 team in all"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Gary Bryant Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

11.8

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #300 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 44th

Why it matters

#300 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.8 yards per reception (26 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 11.8 (44th)

MODERATE · n=26 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#161 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#386 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 vs Oregon State — 65 ypr

Result W 41-7

The week the volume broke through — put up 65 yds vs Oregon State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
306Rec yards
26Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
27.8Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
361.6Rec yards
31Receptions
5Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 306): needs 197/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 306): needs 347/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 26): needs 17/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 26): needs 27/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Gary Bryant Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oregon, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1265 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 46 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 26 4 rec TD | #335/1110 (70th pct)
Receiving yards 306 11.8 per catch | #355/1107 (68th pct)
Scrimmage yards 306 Total offensive yardage | #355/1107 (68th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

All-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
26 70th
YDS
306 68th
YPR
11.8 49th
TD
4 86th

Returns

PR YDS
98 74th
PR AVG
7.0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 59-13vs Montana State4317.8114
Wk 2W 69-3vs Oklahoma State34615.3128
Wk 3W 34-14@ Northwestern
Wk 4W 41-7vs Oregon State36521.7149Season-high 65 yds
Wk 5W 30-24@ Penn State6559.2125
Wk 7L 20-30vs Indiana4379.3018
Wk 8W 56-10@ Rutgers23216.0024
Wk 9W 21-7vs Wisconsin2115.507
Wk 11W 18-16@ Iowa12222.0022
BowlW 23-0@ Texas Tech177.007
BowlL 22-56@ Indiana
Total2630612.6449
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021USC4-8HC: Donte Williams · Balanced, fast tempo
2022USC11-3HC: Lincoln Riley · Balanced
2023Oregon12-2HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2024Oregon13-1HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2025Oregon13-2HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon2630611.84--
2024Oregon2126.00--
2023Oregon3044214.74--
2022USC2157.50--
2021USC4457913.27--
Career5 loaded seasons1041,35413.015--
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon------98--
2024Oregon------42--
2023Oregon31825911--
2022USC----304--
2021USC1341350--
Career5 loaded seasons421702205--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.0% 11.6% pass-game share | #400/1137 (65th pct)
Return yards 98 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 26 #335/1110 70th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 306 #355/1107 68th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.8 #562/1106 49th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 98 #60/224 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.6% #400/1137 65th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 49 #283/1105 74th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 14 #42/237 83rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 7.0 #126/222 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.0% #219/1137 81st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.7% #491/1137 57th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.0% #482/1137 58th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.5% #450/1137 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.3% #509/1137 55th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.6% #851/1137 25th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g3.238.011.90.6
Road6g1.719.313.60.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins9g2.429.913.10.4
Losses2g2.018.59.30.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-78g2.630.111.70.5
Weeks 8+3g1.721.714.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

46Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Long catch#248 / 558 · 55th pct
49rece
Receptions#335 / 558 · 39th pct
26rece
Yards / catch#349 / 558 · 37th pct
11.8rece
Rec yards#355 / 558 · 36th pct
306rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Gary Bryant Jr.OregonRyan DavisUtah· 71% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 69% simAnthony Evans IIIMississippi State· 68% sim
Rec TDs
68
Jr.
68
Davis
78
Waseem
68
III
Long catch
55
Jr.
67
Davis
42
Waseem
68
III
Receptions
39
Jr.
91
Davis
96
Waseem
95
III
Yards / catch
37
Jr.
36
Davis
21
Waseem
44
III
Rec yards
36
Jr.
83
Davis
84
Waseem
90
III
Fumbles lost
36
Jr.
36
Davis
36
Waseem
36
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cade McDonald’s 2023 season.

Cade McDonald

79%match

Miami (OH) · 2023

#2

Barion Brown

Kentucky · 2024

All-SECNFL Rd 6
76%
#3

Braden Lenzy

Notre Dame · 2022

76%
#4

Tony Johnson

Florida Atlantic · 2023

74%
#5

Isiah Cox

Ohio · 2021

74%

Matches Cade on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Cade on

TD rate (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Malik Murray’s path through East Tennessee State.

Malik Murray

99%match

East Tennessee State · 2021

#2

Julius Young

Lafayette · 2022

98%
#3

Darien Chase

Portland State · 2021

95%
#4

Jarrod Barnes

Central Arkansas · 2023

94%
#5

Kobe Clark

Abilene Christian · 2022

94%

Matches Malik on

Yards per reception

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Lanning

Pass share

44.9%

436 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

64.7

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.8%

250 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Bryan McClendon
Oregon
2022
Dan Lanning
Oregon
era →
2023
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2024
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2025
Dan Lanning
Oregon

Coaching transition mid-career: Bryan McClendon → Dan Lanning. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRiverside, CA
Height5'11"
Weight191 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oregon WR4 #1265 #973 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Oregon WR4 #195 #170 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 USC WR4 #1870 #1426 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 USC WR4 #440 #553 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Riverside, CA
2024 Oregon Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Riverside, CA
2023 Oregon Pac-12 WR 4 No. 2 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Riverside, CA
2022 USC Pac-12 WR 4 No. 2 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Riverside, CA
2021 USC Pac-12 WR 4 No. 2 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Riverside, CA