Jaden Craig

#1 · QB · Fr. · TCU6′3″ · 225 lb · Montclair, NJ · Seton Hall Prep

ZPR4472nd of 119 QBs Last gameW 22–16vs Kansas · Oct 31

Nextat ArizonaFri Nov 6 · 10:15 pm ET

Graded Shaky or Rough in each of the last two games.

Last game: W 22-16 vs Kansas, Oct 31 · 13 of 29 for 141 yards · 15 carries for 87 yards, a rushing touchdown. Started all eight of TCU’s games.

TCU’s next game: at Arizona, Fri Nov 6, 10:15 p.m. ET · ESPN

TCU is 4-4 in the eight games played. A balanced passer.

Strongest: 8.2 yards an attempt, 40th best of 158 starters. Weakest: a touchdown on 2.7% of throws, 21st lowest of 158 starters.

Plays most like Layne ’25, New Mexico 2025.

Passing yards

2,207

175 of 269, 65%

TD–INT

11–6

8.2 per throw

NCAA rating

143.0

54th of 119

ZPR

72nd of 119

How ZPR works

Up and down: great in 2, shaky or worse in 4.

Best by our grade: Arkansas State. Lowest: Kansas. Biggest game: BYU, No. 10. Best play: Completion for 17 yards, touchdown, against Kansas, Q4 1:11. Win chance 65% to 92%. Costliest play: Fumble, against West Virginia, Q4 0:34. Win chance 52% to 28%.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

North Carolina

L 10–15·Unranked

Rough

175 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 4 for -22 · Lost a fumble · Sacked 3

Can’t wait to buy life insurance from Jaden Craig here in a few years. Guy f------ sucks.
TCU fan

Biggest swing: a Q2 incompletion cost the team 18 points of win chance. It flipped the game against the team: 66% to 48%.

Full game page

Grambling

W 63–7·FCS

Great

391 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT · Rush 8 for 53 · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q2 completion added 9 points of win chance. Win chance: 90% to 98%.

Full game page

Arkansas State

W 31–7·Unranked

Great

337 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT · Rush 7 for 20 · The interception cost about 7 points of win chance · Sacked 1

I’m a documented Craig doubter. But, those 2 throws to Small were pretty dang good
TCU fan

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 19 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 49% to 68%.

Full game page

at UCF

L 13–21·Unranked

Shaky

310 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT · Rush 6 for -16 · Interceptions cost about 20 points of win chance · Sacked 4

I don’t want to see Jaden Craig play another snap for us.
TCU fan

Biggest swing: a Q4 interception cost the team 13 points of win chance. Win chance: 15% to 2%.

Full game page

BYU

L 10–17·Ranked #10

Solid

Steady all game · 187 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 7 for -27 · The interception cost about 18 points of win chance · Sacked 4

Jaden Craig was sold as never turning it over and he throws the dumbest picks I've ever seen
TCU fan

Biggest swing: a Q2 completion added 26 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 39% to 65%.

Full game page

at Baylor

W 17–6·Unranked

Solid

294 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT · Rush 8 for -12 · The interception cost about 13 points of win chance · Sacked 4

I never ever ever want to hear about how Jaden Craig is smart because he's from Harvard ever again
TCU fan

Biggest swing: a Q3 completion added 27 points of win chance. Win chance: 53% to 80%.

Full game page

West Virginia

L 20–24·Unranked

Shaky

372 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 12 for 26, 1 TD · The interception cost about 8 points of win chance · Lost 2 fumbles · Sacked 3

CLASSIC JADEN CRAIG SMHHHHH
TCU fan

Biggest swing: a Q3 run added 29 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 45% to 75%.

Full game page

Kansas

W 22–16·Unranked

Rough

Passing grade only · 141 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 15 for 87, 1 TD · Sacked 1

Jaden Craig sucks and also the most obvious hold of all time by garbage Denman too lol
TCU fan

Biggest swing: a Q4 run added 40 points of win chance. Win chance: 58% to 98%.

Full game page

Season

Gets better after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game; on games with a lot of running it grades the passing only. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Balanced

Why this word

Runs5.2 a gameRarelyA lot

Throws9.2 yards past the lineShortDeep

Completes64% by play-by-playFewerMore

Takes sacks8% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws at a middling depth and runs some. 5.2 carries a game. Closest matches: Layne ’25, Shapen ’25, Becht ’25, Underwood ’25.

Where the throws go

Behind the line20%typical 17%

Short42%typical 47%

Middle24%typical 22%

Deep14%typical 14%

Runs 5.2 times a game; 59% of starters run less.

Closest in style

Nearer the middle means more alike.

Layne ’25 New Mexico 2025 · Balanced
2,486 yards, 13 TD, 10 INT. Both take sacks and score less.
Shapen ’25 Mississippi State 2025 · Mobile passer
2,436 yards, 15 TD, 8 INT. Both score less and take sacks.
Becht ’25 Iowa State 2025 · Balanced
2,565 yards, 16 TD, 9 INT. Close across the board.
Underwood ’25 Michigan 2025 · Playmaker
2,428 yards, 11 TD, 9 INT. Both score less.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

RecordTCU is 4-4.
Fans after Kansas
Craig should have like 4/5 more picks this year that have been dropped like that
TCU fan

What’s being said

9 stories this week, from 5 outlets.

Stories per day. W and L: the team’s results.

Max Carroll’s pick-6 and Jaden Craig’s late touchdown lift TCU to 22-16 win over Kansas

KCTV +1 Oct 31

All 64 stories this season

His most important play this season

Q4, 1:11 · TCU down 2, takes the leadJaden Craig runs 17 yards for a touchdownKansas at TCU, week 9Q4, 1:11 · TCU 22, Kansas 161:11Go-ahead touchdown for TCU with 1:11 left1:11Go-ahead touchdown for TCU with 1:11 leftGo-ahead touchdown for TCU with 1:11 leftJ.Craig rush right for 17 yards gain to the KU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN J.Dwyer pass attempt SuccessfulWatch from this play

All 13 of his plays on video

Jaden Craig

QB · TCU · Fr · #1

Filling the Shoesas of Nov 4

Jaden Craig takes over from Josh Hoover at TCU.

2,207passing yards11passing TD109rushing yards

PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP

-38

perception vs production percentile · 2026

Fans see a 70th-percentile name; the tape grades at the 31st — is the buzz ahead of the production?

Read the story so far

Jaden Craig lines up at QB for TCU.

On the field, the headline is 2,207 pass yds, with 11 pass td.

Jaden Craig inherited the QB job from Josh Hoover (3-star).

The number to watch: -38 — perception above tape · pctl gap.

QB successionleap of faith

Inherited fromJosh Hoover 3★

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2026	TCU	175	269	65.1%	2,207	8.2	11	6	143.0	44
Career		175	269	65.1%	2,207	8.2	11	6	143.0	44

Season	Team
2026	TCU	67	109	1.6	2	31
Career		67	109	1.6	2	31

Last game (Wk 9): 141 passing yards.

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2026 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	Grade	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	SK	RUSH	Note
Wk 1	L 10-15vs North Carolina	Rough	20/32	175	0	0	5.5	46.0	3	-22
Wk 2	W 63-7vs Grambling	Great	24/31	391	4	0	12.6	70.9	1	53	Season-high 391 yds
Wk 3	W 31-7vs Arkansas State	Great	21/29	337	3	1	11.6	67.6	1	20	3 TD passes
Wk 4	L 13-21@ UCF	Shaky	25/40	310	0	2	7.8	73.8	4	-16
Wk 5	L 10-17vs No. 10 BYU	Solid	18/25	187	1	1	7.5	35.0	4	-27
Wk 7	W 17-6@ Baylor	Solid	21/36	294	2	1	8.2	71.7	4	-12
Wk 8	L 20-24vs West Virginia	Shaky	33/47	372	1	1	7.9	58.9	3	26
Wk 9	W 22-16vs Kansas	Rough	13/29	141	0	0	4.9	34.4	1	87
Total			175/269	2207	11	6	8.2	—	21	109

The latest game

Oct. 31 · W 22-16 vs Kansas, play by play

13 of 29 for 141 yards. He ran 14 times for 92 yards, after 30 runs in his other 7 games combined.

2 of 11 of his drives scored
4 of 13 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked once
14 runs for 92 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds1
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds2
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
Second quarterbegan down 3-0
Punt3 of 4, 28 yds
Punt1 of 3, 3 yds
Downs5 of 6, 44 yds3
Third quarterbegan down 13-0
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds
TD1 of 1, 36 yds4
Fourth quarterbegan up 14-13
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
TD3 of 6, 30 yds
FinalW 22-16

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
Incomplete to Jon Denman on 3rd and 9. First quarter, tied 0-0.
2
Incomplete to Jordan Dwyer on 3rd and 9. First quarter, tied 0-0.
3
1-yard completion to Jacobe Hayes on 4th and 2. Second quarter, down 13-0. Turnover on downs.
4
36-yard completion to Kari Ashley. Third quarter, down 13-7.

The season, game by game

W 22-16 vs KansasOct. 31141 yds13 of 29Play by play just above · 4.9 yds an attempt, 91st in FBS

L 20-24 vs West VirginiaOct. 24372 yds33 of 47, 1 TD, 1 INT7.9 yds an attempt, 34th in FBS

33 of 47 for 372 yards, a touchdown and an interception.

Not drawn: the play-by-play doesn’t add up to the box score.

6 more games, with the play by play

W 17-6 at BaylorOct. 17294 yds21 of 36, 2 TD, 1 INT8.2 yds an attempt, 37th in FBS

21 of 36 for 294 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception.

Not drawn: the play-by-play doesn’t add up to the box score.

L 10-17 vs BYUOct. 3187 yds18 of 25, 1 TD, 1 INT7.5 yds an attempt, tied for 52nd in FBS

Play by playOn the field

18 of 25 for 187 yards, a touchdown and an interception. He was 4 of 12 on third and fourth down.

2 of 9 of his drives scored
4 of 12 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked 4 times
3 runs for 3 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
Punt2 of 2, 13 yds12
Punt1 of 2, 9 yds
Second quarterbegan tied 0-0
Int2 of 3, 18 yds3
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds
TD4 of 4, 70 yds4
Third quarterbegan tied 7-7
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds
Punt3 of 3, 18 yds
Fourth quarterbegan down 10-7
Missed FG1 of 1, 1 yds
FG5 of 6, 58 yds
FinalL 10-17

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
10-yard completion to Jacobe Hayes on 3rd and 5. First quarter, tied 0-0. Converted.
2
Sacked for a 8-yard loss on 3rd and 15. First quarter, tied 0-0.
3
Intercepted on 4th and 4. Second quarter, tied 0-0. Picked off by BYU’s Faletau Satuala.
4
30-yard completion to Kari Ashley on 3rd and 5. Second quarter, down 7-0. Converted.

102030405030

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

L 13-21 at UCFSept. 26310 yds25 of 40, 2 INT7.8 yds an attempt, 58th in FBS

Play by playOn the field

25 of 40 for 310 yards and 2 interceptions. He was 6 of 13 on third and fourth down.

3 of 11 of his drives scored
6 of 13 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked 4 times
2 runs for 7 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
Fumble1 of 2, 14 yds1
TD3 of 3, 59 yds2
Punt1 of 3, 22 yds
Punt1 of 1, 14 yds
Second quarterbegan tied 7-7
FG1 of 5, 37 yds
Int0 of 1, 0 yds3
Punt2 of 5, 11 yds
Third quarterbegan down 14-10
FG7 of 7, 54 yds
Fourth quarterbegan down 14-13
Missed FG4 of 5, 36 yds
Int4 of 7, 59 yds4
Fumble1 of 1, 4 yds
FinalL 13-21

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
14-yard completion to Ed Small on 3rd and 8. First quarter, tied 0-0. Converted.
2
43-yard completion to Jordan Dwyer. First quarter, down 7-0.
3
Intercepted. Second quarter, down 14-10. Picked off by UCF’s Jayden Bellamy.
4
Intercepted on 3rd and 17. Fourth quarter, down 21-13. Picked off by UCF’s Antoine Jackson.

10203040503743

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

W 31-7 vs Arkansas StateSept. 19337 yds21 of 29, 3 TD, 1 INT11.6 yds an attempt, 11th in FBS

Play by playOn the field

21 of 29 for 337 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception. He was 7 of 14 on third and fourth down.

5 of 11 of his drives scored
7 of 14 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked once
6 runs for 23 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
TD4 of 4, 62 yds12
Punt1 of 2, 4 yds
Int0 of 1, 0 yds3
Second quarterbegan up 7-0
Downs1 of 1, 9 yds4
TD3 of 4, 77 yds
Punt1 of 2, 5 yds
Half2 of 4, 31 yds
Third quarterbegan up 14-7
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds
TD5 of 5, 71 yds
Fourth quarterbegan up 21-7
FG2 of 2, 45 yds
TD2 of 2, 33 yds
FinalW 31-7

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
4-yard completion to Jeremy Scott on 3rd and 2. First quarter, tied 0-0. Converted.
2
52-yard completion to Ed Small on 4th and 13. First quarter, tied 0-0. Converted.
3
Intercepted. First quarter, up 7-0. Picked off by Arkansas State’s Kyle Williams.
4
No gain on 4th and 3. Second quarter, up 7-0. Turnover on downs.

1020304050325242

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

W 63-7 vs GramblingSept. 12391 yds24 of 31, 4 TD12.6 yds an attempt, 10th in FBS

24 of 31 for 391 yards and 4 touchdowns; 12.6 yards an attempt, 10th-best in FBS that week.

Not drawn: the play-by-play doesn’t add up to the box score.

L 10-15 vs North CarolinaAug. 29175 yds20 of 325.5 yds an attempt, 112th in FBS

Play by playOn the field

20 of 32 for 175 yards. Two drives ended on his fourth-down plays: an incompletion and an incompletion.

2 of 10 of his drives scored
4 of 13 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked 3 times
1 run for -1 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
FG2 of 3, 7 yds
TD1 of 1, 13 yds
Downs2 of 3, 41 yds12
Second quarterbegan tied 10-10
Punt3 of 6, 13 yds
Safety0 of 1, 0 yds
Half1 of 3, 6 yds3
Third quarterbegan down 12-10
Fumble1 of 1, 14 yds
Punt2 of 3, 24 yds
Downs2 of 4, 12 yds
Fourth quarterbegan down 15-10
Downs6 of 7, 45 yds4
FinalL 10-15

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
40-yard completion to Ka'Morreun Pimpton. First quarter, tied 10-10.
2
Incomplete to Ka'Morreun Pimpton on 4th and 10. Second quarter, tied 10-10. Turnover on downs. Broken up by North Carolina’s G. Smith III.
3
Incomplete to Jeremy Scott on 3rd and 4. Second quarter, down 12-10. Fans named him again and again right after.
“Craig is legit ASS”North Carolina fan, r/CFB game thread
4
Incomplete to Jeremy Scott on 4th and 2. Fourth quarter, down 15-10. Turnover on downs. Fans named him again and again right after: the most-talked-about moment of his game.
“So craig was going to get drafted but decided to transfer to tcu? Are we sure about that”UCLA fan, r/CFB game thread

102030405040

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

Highs and lows

Only games with 20 or more plays count for best and lowest.
Best by our grade	Arkansas State	W 31-7 · Graded great · 337 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT · Rush 7 for 20 · The interception cost about 7 points of win chance · Sacked 1
Lowest by our grade	Kansas	W 22-16 · Graded rough · Passing grade only · 141 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 15 for 87, 1 TD · Sacked 1
Biggest game	BYU	No. 10 at kickoff · L 10-17 · Graded solid · Steady all game · 187 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 7 for -27 · The interception cost about 18 points of win chance · Sacked 4
Best play	Kansas	Completion for 17 yards, touchdown, Q4 1:11 · Win chance 65% to 92%
Costliest play	West Virginia	Fumble, Q4 0:34 · Win chance 52% to 28%

Where he ranks

10th among FBS quarterbacks in passing yards.

Stat	His	Nation	Big 12
Passing yards	2,207	10th of 370	3rd of 42
Yards an attempt	8.2	T-42nd of 152	T-7th of 17
Touchdown passes	11	T-56th of 370	T-9th of 42
Passer rating	143.0	61st of 152	10th of 17
Completion percentage	65.1	58th of 152	8th of 17
Rushing yards	109	T-105th of 370	13th of 42
Rushing touchdowns	2	T-71st of 370	T-11th of 42

Counting stats rank all FBS quarterbacks with a pass attempt; the rates rank those with at least 10 attempts a game.

All Big 12 quarterbacks

Rk	Quarterback	Yards	TD	INT	Att	Y/A
1	Drew Mestemaker	2,649	25	7	281	9.4
2	Noah Fifita	2,464	19	4	269	9.2
3	Jaden Craig	2,207	11	6	269	8.2
4	Conner Weigman	2,052	20	2	233	8.8
5	Devon Dampier	1,876	18	7	227	8.3
6	JC French	1,773	13	3	213	8.3
7	Bear Bachmeier	1,750	12	4	214	8.2
8	D.J. Lagway	1,671	13	4	242	6.9
9	Michael Hawkins Jr.	1,598	11	2	159	10.1
10	Will Hammond	1,561	6	6	205	7.6
11	Isaiah Marshall	1,506	11	7	196	7.7
12	Jaylen Raynor	1,416	10	5	186	7.6
13	Cutter Boley	1,360	13	5	173	7.9
14	Avery Johnson	1,301	10	3	187	7.0
15	Keyone Jenkins	1,181	11	4	180	6.6
16	Isaac Wilson	1,164	7	7	149	7.8
17	Julian Lewis	733	6	2	95	7.7
18	Nate Bennett	568	5	2	61	9.3
19	Alonza Barnett	477	2	1	65	7.3
20	Mikey Keene	448	2	0	61	7.3
21	Cole Ballard	381	1	1	43	8.9
22	Blake Barnett	265	3	0	33	8.0
23	Jake Fette	224	2	0	50	4.5
24	Jacob Knuth	201	1	0	42	4.8
25	Byrd Ficklin	192	2	0	20	9.6
26	Thomas Castellanos	189	4	1	29	6.5
27	Sawyer Anderson	112	0	2	15	7.5
28	Kaneal Sweetwyne	105	0	0	17	6.2
29	Connor Moberly	83	0	0	19	4.4
30	Keisean Henderson	83	2	0	8	10.4
31	Chase Jenkins	65	0	0	3	21.7
32	Broderick Vehrs	61	1	0	8	7.6
33	Jyron Hughley	27	1	0	1	27.0
34	Scotty Fox Jr.	27	0	0	4	6.8
35	Edward Griffin	19	0	1	6	3.2
36	Liam O'Brien	18	0	0	5	3.6
37	Treyson Bourguet	15	0	1	3	5.0
38	Samaj Jones	9	0	0	2	4.5
39	Kaleb Annett	6	0	0	3	2.0
40	Dillon Duff	2	0	0	1	2.0
41	Adam Schobel	0	0	0	1	0.0
42	Kirk Francis	0	0	0	1	0.0

Sorted by passing yards. Gray: under 10 attempts a game, so not ranked on yards an attempt.

Passing yards2,2073rd in the Big 12 this season.

Touchdown passes11tied for 9th in the Big 12 this season.

Conference ranks count every player in the conference with a row in that stat, any position. Career ranks count current FBS players, from the games in our log.

Opponents faced, by strength

Ratings of the games shown run from -7 to +17 points against an average team (SP+ rating of each opponent).

Pass targets

Small and Ashley saw 104 of the 269 charted throws.

Receiver	Targets	Catches	Yards	Throw depth	After catch
Ed Small	57	40	537	10.1	3.7
Kari Ashley	47	38	569	8.5	7.2
Jordan Dwyer	42	27	409	14.0	2.2
Jeremy Scott	23	15	203	14.7	2.3
Jacobe Hayes	23	14	196	10.9	4.7
10 others	70	41	287	4.0	5.4
No receiver charted	7	All six interceptions are among these

Play by play: 269 passes, 175 caught, 2,201 yards. Throw depth: average air yards per target. After catch: average yards after the catch per catch. Bar: targets; the blue part was caught.

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

175/269 (65.1%) · 11 TD · 6 INT

269 of 269 attempts matched to play-by-play

269 of 269 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

6.9278 of 185 QBs

Sack rate

7.2%137 of 185 QBs

Sacked on 7.2% of dropbacks (137 of 185) — and still 78 of 185 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

20% of attempts (53)

72%comp

Air -2.6 · YAC 7.5 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

41% of attempts (110)

73%comp1 INT

Air 4.6 · YAC 3.3 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

24% of attempts (65)

60%comp2 INT

Air 13.8 · YAC 2.7 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

15% of attempts (41)

44%comp3 INT

Air 31.4 · YAC 8.3 avg

Overall 65.1% completion on 269 attempts · 44% completion on 41 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2026 baseline

No situation moves him more than 27 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-21 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 7/104 (6.7%) · league sack rate 4.5%

Down 2

-2 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/90 (6.7%) · league sack rate 5.0%

Down 3+

+27 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 8/87 (9.2%) · league sack rate 8.3%

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Teams and coaches

2026TCU4-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Balanced

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 50 (#65 of 145). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

50Rotational starter #65 of 145?

13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass yards (93rd percentile). Concern: sack rate (25th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#40 / 157 · 75th pct

12.3%

Success rate#63 / 157 · 60th pct

43.8%

EPA / dropback#67 / 157 · 58th pct

0.20

Interception rate#81 / 157 · 49th pct

2.2%

Sack rate#119 / 157 · 25th pct

7.2%

Box-score rates (8)

Pass yards#11 / 159 · 93rd pct

2207

Yards / att#45 / 159 · 71st pct

8.2

Completion %#60 / 159 · 63rd pct

65.1%

Pass TDs#57 / 159 · 60th pct

Rush TDs#57 / 159 · 52nd pct

Rush yards#84 / 159 · 47th pct

109

Interceptions#114 / 159 · 23rd pct

Fumbles lost#114 / 142 · 12th pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 281 dropbacks

44Zeitgeist Passer Rating72nd of 119 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 143.0 54th of 119 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks this quarterback 18 places lower than passer rating does: passer rating cannot see sacks, and a sack comes on 7.5% of dropbacks; and the schedule adjustment debits the defenses faced.

Positive-play rate weight 24%

44.7%32nd pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · -1.9% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

7.7656th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · -0.5 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

7.6%19th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · +0.1% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (7 of 288 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2026 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home5g	286	1.8	8.9	0.6
Road2g	302	1.0	8.0	1.5

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	282	1.7	8.9	0.8
Weeks 8+2g	256	0.5	6.4	0.5

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Sonny Dykes

Pass share

50.8%

270 pass / 261 run

Plays / game

66.4

8 games

Scheme: Balanced.

TCU’s two quarterbacks

Jaden Craig	Threw in all 8 games · 175 of 269, 2,207 yds, 11 TD, 6 INT · 8.2 yards an attempt on 269 attempts · ran for 109 yds, 2 TD
Adam Schobel	Threw in 1 of 8 games · 0 of 1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · 0.0 yards an attempt on 1 attempt · ran for 8 yds, 0 TD

Box score. Every quarterback on the team who has thrown a pass this season.

Awards

Player standing · 2026

Impact starter

269 pass attempts and 67 carries in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than nearly every FBS quarterback who plays every week.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

50 · #65 of 145 QBs

Unranked recruit. Now #65 at the position.

Jaden Craig

Style of play

This week

What’s being said

His most important play this season

In the news this week

What they’re talking about

In the news this season

What they’re talking about

Week by week

What fans said

Latest stories

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

The latest game

The season, game by game

Highs and lows

Where he ranks

Pass targets

Passing profile

Situational

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

TCU’s two quarterbacks

Awards

Impact starter

First season at TCU, 8 games

2022