CFB Zeitgeist Score
34
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 55th percentile.
Jayven Williams
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
18 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to BYU
2025Mississippi State
2026BYU
CB · MISSISSIPPI STATE · SEC
Jayven Williams
- 3
- #15
- 6-2 | 185 lb
- Mobile, AL
Heisman Heat
#14918
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Mississippi State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Mississippi State -> BYU | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Kennesaw State -> Mississippi State | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jayven Williams
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jayven Williams
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 11g
18Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
21Tackles
1.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 18): needs 31/game over remaining 2.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 18): needs 41/game over remaining 2.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jayven Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Mississippi State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
18 56th
SOLO
10 56th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
1 43rd
INT
1 65th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-17@ Southern Miss | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 24-20vs Arizona State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 63-0vs Alcorn State | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 4 | W 38-10vs Northern Illinois | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | L 34-41vs Tennessee | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 3 tackles |
| Wk 6 | L 9-31@ Texas A&M | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 21-23@ Florida | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | L 38-45vs Texas | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 38-35@ Arkansas | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-41vs Georgia | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 19-38vs Ole Miss | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 18 | 10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Mississippi State5-8HC: Jeff Lebby · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | 18 | 10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 18 | 10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 18 | #2161/4942 | 56th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 1.0 | #2051/4972 | 59th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 1 | #308/869 | 65th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 1 | #1241/2184 | 43rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 1 | #1051/1878 | 44th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 10 | #1996/4584 | 56th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 4.0 | #463/578 | 20th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 4 | #484/578 | 16th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Road4g | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses6g | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort
34Below cohort
Concern: sacks (23rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · CB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jayven WilliamsMississippi StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 60% simBlake FletcherAir Force· 58% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 54% sim
QB hurries
Passes defended
Interceptions
Solo tackles
Tackles for loss
Tackles
Sacks
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Press Corner
Long and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line.
CB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ronald Williams Jr.’s 2022 season.
Ronald Williams Jr.
93%match
#2
Tyric LeBeauf
92%
#3
CD Daniels
90%
#4
CD Daniels
87%
#5
Markel Reed
87%
Matches Ronald on
PD rate
Tackle volume
Weight
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Markeith Williams's sophomore season at Miami (2023).
Markeith Williams
90%match
#2
Ethan Erickson
86%
#3
Lavario Wiley
86%
#4
Kalen Carroll
85%
#5
Champ Lewis
85%
Matches Markeith on
Class year
Height
Tackle volume
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Lebby
Pass share
41.8%
390 pass / 543 run
Plays / game
71.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.7%
308 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State
Played his entire career under Jeff Lebby.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMobile, AL
Height6'2"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionCB
Jersey15
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMississippi State
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kennesaw State | CB3 | #14918 | #15095 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | SEC | CB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Mobile, AL |
| 2024 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | CB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Mobile, AL |